BMIE Market 95366

San Joaquin County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,954 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±934 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,736 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,575 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,991 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$112,097 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,977 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$707,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95366
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+105.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+290.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 40–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.5 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95366. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.9	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.1	70	35%	+24.6
Market Momentum Score	84.8	85	25%	+21.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,954	80	40%	+32.2
Median household income (ACS)	112,097	87	40%	+35.0
Households (ACS)	6,736	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	35%	+27.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.6	36	25%	+9.0
Population (ACS)	18,954	80	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	112,097	87	20%	+17.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	44.4	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	44.4	79	30%	+23.6
20-year restaurant growth	105.3	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (87)

By cuisine

Coffee 13 · American 9 · Bakery 8 · Mexican 8 · Dessert 6 · Asian 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Japanese 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 14 · Bar 12 · Bakery 10 · Café 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Winery / distillery / taproom 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Matter of Taste	Bar	French	111 E Main St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1553 Colony Rd	open
ARTZY Cafè	Café	Coffee	968 Goodwin Dr	open
Austin's Coffee Crafters	Coffee shop	Coffee	222 W River Rd Ste A	open
Austin’s Coffee Crafters	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	222 W River Rd	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1501 N Jack Tone Road	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	150 N Wilma Ave	open
Brothers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · American	1201 W Main St #1	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	744 North Jack Tone Road	open
Burgess Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	115 E Main St	open
Canal Street Grille	Casual dining · Bar		1225 Canal Blvd	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	1410 Colony Rd	open
China Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1170 W Main St	open
Colony Rd Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1220 Colony Rd	open
Country Skillets	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1140 Colony Rd	open
Delight Indian Cuisine Dhaba	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1290 W Colony Rd Ste #110	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1290 W Colony Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1501 Jack Tone Road Pilot Travel Center	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1220 W Colony Rd	open
Dutchman Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		19814 N Ripon Rd	open
Ede's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	424 W Main St	open
Esmeralda's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1222 W Colony Rd	open
Fina	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 W River Rd	open
Franzia Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		17000 E State Highway 120	open
Garcia's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17717 E State Highway 120	open
Gold Dust Pizza Ripon Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	110 W Main St	open
Ice Cream Emporium	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	120 W Main St	open
Isabel's Vintage Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	102 W Main St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1442 Colony Rd Ste B	open
Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	704 N Jack Tone Rd	open
Juice It Up! Ripon Town Square	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	1201 W Main St Ste 20	open
Klean Eatz Market & Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	222 W River Rd	open
Klean Eatz Sourdough Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	222 W River Rd Ste C	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	334 E Main St # 336	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1022 Frontage Rd	open
Kungfu Tea Ripon	Café		1201 W Main St Ste 20	open
Las Casuelas Las Casuelas Restaurant	Bar	Mexican · Spanish / tapas	107 E Main St	open
Lili's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		17229 CA-120	open
Lucca Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		16265 E River Rd	open
Main Street Inn	Bar		130 E Main St	open
Masumi Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1140 W Colony Rd	open
Matt Dempewolf &amp Associates, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		125 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1382 W Colony Road	open
McManis Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		18700 E River Rd	open
Mood ‘n Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17717 E State Highway 120	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1201 W Main St	open
My Garden Cafe My Garden Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	1201 W Main St #19	open
My Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1222 Colony Rd	open
Nammies Flour Tortillas Tortilla	Bakery	Bakery · Mexican	231 California St	open
New China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1201 W Main St Ste 16	open
Olde Towne	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	15040 CA-120	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	1422 W Colony Road	open
Pearl Crop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17641 French Camp Rd	open
Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 W Main St	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	748 N. Jack Tone Rd	open
Premiere Marketing & Training, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		580 N Wilma Ave Ste A	open
Primos Restaurant And Tequila Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		222 W River Rd Ste G	open
Primos Restaurant and Tequila Bar	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	222 W River Rd	open
Quiznos	Quick service		1550 W Colony Rd	open
Ripon Coffeehouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	150 N Wilma Ave Ste 10	open
Ripon Inn	Bar			open
Ripon Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	125 E Main St	open
Ripon Taphouse	Brewery / taproom		222 W River Rd Ste C	open
Ripon VFW Post 1051	Bar		12455 E West Ripon Rd	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	150 N Wilma Ave	open
Round Table Pizza N Wilma Ave Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	150 N Wilma Ave	open
Smallcakes Cupcakery And Creamery	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1222 Colony Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1483 Colony Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	338 E Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1402 Colony Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1201 West Main St Suite 21	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1402 Colony Rd Suite B	open
Sunshine Donut Co	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1201 W Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1421 W Colony Rd	open
Tandoori Grill Ripon Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1402 W Colony Rd #D	open
Taqueria Ripon El Molcajete	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	108 E Main St	open
The Vault Wine Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	111 E Main St	open
The Vine House	Bar		222 W River Rd Ste B	open
The Vine House	Bar	French	222 W River Rd	open
The Wine Group	Winery / distillery / taproom		17000 CA-120	open
Tj Cinnamons	Coffee shop	Coffee	1553 W Colony Rd	open
Togo's TOGO'S Sandwiches	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1340 W Colony Rd	open
Travelin' Tom's Coffee of Lodi	Café	Coffee	838 Cobblestone Ct # A	open
Twisted Tulip Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1550 W Colony Rd	open
Wallie's Diner	Casual dining	American	229 W Main St	open
Yummy Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1201 W Main St Ste 16	open
Barnwood Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		338 E Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	17	10	4	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	8	3	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	18	16	11	2	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	22	20	12	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	19	17	10	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	19	6	9	4	1	NAICS2002
2004	25	23	10	8	5	2	NAICS2002
2005	24	22	6	10	6	2	NAICS2002
2006	23	22	8	12	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	29	26	8	14	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	27	25	10	11	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	24	23	10	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	27	26	13	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	27	26	14	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	23	12	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	28	27	14	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	26	24	10	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	28	26	11	11	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	27	26	9	12	5	1	NAICS2012
2017	27	26	12	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	27	13	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	29	13	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	34	17	11	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	35	34	15	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	40	18	14	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	43	39	18	13	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95366. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95368	4.1 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.