BMIE Market 95837

Sacramento County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	317 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	128 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	315 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	144 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$193,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60,102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$1,162,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±633,330 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95837
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	158.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	39 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	27 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95837. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.1	49	40%	+19.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	27.4	27	35%	+9.6
Market Momentum Score	40.8	41	25%	+10.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	317	16	40%	+6.3
Median household income (ACS)	193,500	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	128	16	20%	+3.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	189.3	2	25%	+0.5
Population (ACS)	317	16	20%	+3.1
Median household income (ACS)	193,500	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 3 · Pizza 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Fast casual 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Airport Dining Area	Other · Bar			open
California Pizza Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6850 Airport Blvd Ste 28	open
Escape Lounge - SMFB Escape Lounges US - Syracuse Hancock International Airport	Bar		6900 Airport Blvd Terminal B Arrivals	open
Escape Lounges Escape Lounges US	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		Terminal A, 6850 Airport Blvd W	open
Esquire Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	7330 Earhart Dr	open
Famous Famiglia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Iron Horse Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Jack's Urban Eats	Other	Sandwiches	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Local Flights	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Manchu Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6850 Airport Blvd	open
Old Soul at the Airport Old Soul	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Paesanos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Paesanos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6851 Lindbergh Dr	open
Peet's Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Rock'n Dock	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5999 Garden Hwy	open
Sbarro's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	Sacramento International Airport, 6850 Airport Boulevard	open
See's Candies See's Candies	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert	Sacramento International Airport, Terminal A, Boarding Area, center court, Post-Security	open
Sky Shades	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6850 Airport Blvd Ste 20	open
Squeeze Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6900 Airport Blvd # Terminal	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6942 Airport Blvd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	6900 Airport Blvd	open
Swabbies Mobile	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican		open
Swabbies On The River Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5871 Garden Hwy	open
TCBY	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Healthy / salads / bowls	6950 Airport Blvd	open
Vino Volo Vino Volo At Jacksonville International Airport	Bar		6900 Airport Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service		6900 Airport Blvd Terminal B	open
West Coast Sourdough SMF	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6900 Airport Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	1	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	3	—	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	4	3	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	7	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	5	4	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	5	4	—	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	12	7	5	1	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	12	8	6	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	11	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	9	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95837. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95835	4.3 mi	52	2023
95691	4.6 mi	69	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.