BMIE Market 95835
Sacramento County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 42,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,987 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±682 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 35,936 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 13,606 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $114,468 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $607,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,598 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95835 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +20.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +116.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +766.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5,100.0% DERIVED: 2001 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 64 (range 60–69) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.6 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95835. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.0 | 92 | 40% | +36.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 85.5 | 85 | 35% | +29.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 87.3 | 87 | 25% | +21.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 42,004 | 95 | 40% | +37.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 114,468 | 88 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,071 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 116.7 | 95 | 35% | +33.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.4 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 42,004 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 114,468 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 20.9 | 78 | 50% | +39.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 116.7 | 95 | 30% | +28.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 766.7 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 9 · Asian 7 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Italian 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Indian 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Bakery 2 · Korean 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Filipino 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 12 · Café 6 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alleyway Bites | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2820 New Market Dr #4306 | open | |
| Amador County Wineries | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | open | ||
| Bella Bru Cafe Bella Bru | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 220 Belfont Cir | open |
| Big Spoon Yogurt | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2281 Del Paso Rd Ste 130 | open |
| Bingsu Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Korean · Asian | 2711 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Bonchon Bonchon Chicken Philippines | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Chicken / wings · Asian | 4740 Natomas Blvd Suite 120 | open |
| Bubble Cone | Food truck | open | ||
| BurgerIM | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2731 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2241 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Chaat Kafé | Café | Indian · Coffee · Asian | 2721 Del Paso Rd #100 | open |
| Championz Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3150 Macon Dr | open |
| Chang's Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4660 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4730 Natomas Blvd, Ste 150 | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 4730 Natomas Blvd, Ste 150 | open |
| Curry Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 4680 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Delhi Oven | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 3150 Macon Dr | open |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 4630 Natomas Blvd Ste 130 | open |
| Dos Coyotes Border Cafe Dos Coyotes San Ramon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2701 Del Paso Rd Ste 160 Ste 160 | open |
| Drewski's Hot Rod Kitchen | Food truck | Corner of Portage Way and Mabry Drive | open | |
| Drunken Monkey Cantina | Bar | Casa Agua Quieta | open | |
| El Favorito Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2281 Del Paso Rd Ste 100 | open |
| El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Mexican | Del Paso Rd & Town Center Dr | open |
| Fire Wings Natomas Fire Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 2721 Del Paso Rd #110 | open |
| Five Guys | Quick service | 4630 Natomas Blvd Ste 100 | open | |
| Freebirds World Burrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2281 Del Paso Rd Ste. 100 | open |
| Friends Bar & Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4740 Natomas Blvd Ste 140 | open | |
| Jack's Urban Eats Jacks Urban Eats Elk Grove | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4730 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Jacqueline Cook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 4696 Brown Avenue | open |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4640 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2731 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Kabab King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 4740 Natomas Blvd Ste 150 | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 2221 Del Paso Rd | open | |
| Lil' Italy Restobar | Catering | Italian · Filipino | Inopacan Baywalk | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4710 Natomas Blvd Ste 140 | open |
| Monsoon Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 4740 Natomas Blvd #130 | open |
| Mr. Sun Tea Sacramento | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2711 Del Paso Rd Ste 100 | open |
| NAAN TWIST | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3511 Del Paso Rd Ste 110 | open | |
| Natomas Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2711 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2731 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 2701 Del Paso Road | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Pizza Twist Pizza Twist - Bakersfield, CA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3511 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Quickly | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2711 Del Paso Rd Ste 100 | open |
| Rafa's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2221 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Roly Poly Sandwiches | Other | Sandwiches | 4630 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4680 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Sac Town Ice Cream & Sandwiches | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2000 Club Center Dr Ste 100 | open |
| Sacramento - Natomas Blvd. Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4680 Natomas Blvd. Suite #170 | open |
| Saigon Alley Kitchen + Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 4630 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Sourdough & Co Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2731 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2851 Del Paso Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4650 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Strings Italian Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4730 Natomas Blvd Ste 170 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3511 Del Paso Road Suite F100 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4680 Natomas Blvd. Ste 140 | open |
| Sushi Elite | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4740 Natomas Blvd #100 | open |
| T4 清茶達人 Sacramento | Quick service | Chinese | 4660 Natomas Blvd | open |
| Taqueria El Burrito Taqueria El Arquito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | Park Place Shopping Center, 4730, 4740 Natomas Blvd #170 | open |
| Tasty Pot Natomas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 2731 Del Paso Rd Ste 110 | open |
| Tea for U | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 4660 Natomas Blvd Ste 120 | open |
| Teriyaki Maki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 2711 Del Paso Rd #110 | open |
| Teriyaki Time | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 4730 Natomas Blvd | open |
| The Hub Eats & Drinks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 4740 Natomas Blvd #140 | open |
| The Pizza Press (natomas) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2281 Del Paso Rd Ste 150 | open |
| Tuk Tuk Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 4630 Natomas Blvd #150 | open |
| Willie J's Burgers & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2010 Club Center Dr Ste 100 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 22 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 25 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 29 | 10 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 29 | 9 | 19 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 32 | 11 | 19 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 39 | 35 | 9 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 47 | 43 | 11 | 27 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 44 | 12 | 26 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 45 | 42 | 13 | 23 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 50 | 45 | 14 | 25 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 51 | 46 | 11 | 30 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 55 | 52 | 16 | 28 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |