BMIE Market 98387
Pierce County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 50,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,080 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 16,746 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±656 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 43,173 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 15,384 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $106,872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,986 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,869 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $461,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 26.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98387 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +3.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +24.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +106.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +93.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 33 (range 30–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.74) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98387. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.74, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.9 | 92 | 40% | +36.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 81.5 | 82 | 35% | +28.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 66.7 | 67 | 25% | +16.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 50,774 | 97 | 40% | +38.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 106,872 | 85 | 40% | +34.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 16,746 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 24 | 66 | 35% | +23.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.1 | 88 | 25% | +21.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 50,774 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 106,872 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 3.3 | 60 | 50% | +29.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 24 | 66 | 30% | +19.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 106.7 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (60)
By cuisine
Coffee 14 · American 9 · Mexican 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Japanese 5 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Quick service 15 · Café 12 · Coffee shop 12 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aceituno's Mexican Food Aceituno's Mexican Food Spanaway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 17415 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 20517 Mountain Highway E | open |
| Banda Burrito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 20420 Mountain Highway | open |
| Barney and Bernie's Grocery Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 26620 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 22229 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 16615 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Café Elite Café Elite | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 22223 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Café Elite Café Elite | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 18129 Pacific Ave S | open |
| CK Polynesia LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 18407 Pacific Ave S Ste 5 | open |
| Coffeedeliv.coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 419 173rd St S | open |
| Cowgirl's Coffee (Spanaway) | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 17523 B St E | open |
| Crazy Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Mexican | 17302 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 17909 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Daughter Of Zion Kitchen LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | African · American | 74th Ave E | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 22219 Mountain Highway East | open |
| EG3 Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 20316 83rd Ave Ct E | open |
| Exchange Tavern | Bar | 16117 Park Ave S | open | |
| Flying Tomato | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 17106 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Gorgeous Grounds | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 19505 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Hidalgo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 17807 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Horse Play Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | American · Coffee | 17812 14th Avenue Ct E | open |
| Hot Chick A Latte | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 20027 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Iowa Steak Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 221 170th St S Ste 1 | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 20505 Mountain Hwy E | open | |
| Kampai Wings & Teriyaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 17707 Pacific Ave S Ste B1 | open |
| Kelley's Kafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 16302 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Kinza Teriyaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 22219 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Lazy J's Tavern | Bar | 15902 Pacific Ave S | open | |
| Mary Mary's Cafe | Café | American · Coffee | 16511 Pacific Ave S | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 20315 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Off The Grid Ice Cream | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 1716 203rd St Ct E | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | 20321 Mountain Highway E | open | |
| Papa Murphy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 22225 Mountain Highway East | open |
| Paqueteria Seattle 2 En el Area de Tacoma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 126 173rd St E | open | |
| Perk Central | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 18901 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Pizza Time | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 17316 Pacific Ave S, 17316 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Quadrant Homes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southeast Asian (other) | 1619 177th St E | open |
| Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 20717 Mountain Hwy E, | open |
| Roy Y Bar & Grill | Bar | 19306 Mountain Hwy E | open | |
| Royal Punjab Management Group 6,inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 17909 Pacific Ave S | open | |
| Samurai's Japanese Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Steakhouse · Asian | 19321 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Sam’s Bar And Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 16003 Pacific Ave S | open | |
| Spotted Cow Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 17415 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 210 166th St S | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 20401 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 22219 Mountain Hwy E. Suite F | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 20307 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 17415 Pacific Ave South Suite K | open |
| Subway Restaurants | Other | Sandwiches | 19614 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Sunny Teriyaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Korean · Japanese | 17415 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Sushi Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1226 194th St E | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 20527 Mountain Highway E | open |
| The Hideaway Sports Pub & Eatery | Bar · Casual dining | 23227 Mountain Hwy E | open | |
| TJ's Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 16701 Pacific Ave S | open | |
| Tonala Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 22225 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Umai Bento | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 17306 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Uncle Sams | Casual dining · Bar | American | 16003 Pacific Ave S | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 20307 Mountain Hwy E | open |
| Wok Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 17415 Pacific Ave S Ste Q | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 24 | 16 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 18 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 17 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 14 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 16 | 10 | 6 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 27 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 34 | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 36 | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 40 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 37 | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2022 |