BMIE Market 98446

Pierce County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,634 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,712 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±475 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,173 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,045 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$101,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,945 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$487,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98446
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+400.0% DERIVED: 2012 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2009–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.58) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	90 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98446. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2009–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.58, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.4	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.7	90	35%	+31.4
Market Momentum Score	92.7	93	25%	+23.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,634	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	101,938	82	40%	+32.9
Households (ACS)	5,257	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	400	100	35%	+34.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	14,634	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	101,938	82	20%	+16.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	400	100	30%	+29.9
20-year restaurant growth	250	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (15)

By cuisine

American 2 · Burgers 2 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Quick service 5 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Bar 4 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Chalet Tavern	Bar			open
Clear View Realty	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4623 152nd St E	open
Dukes Tacoma Waterfront	Bar	American · Seafood		open
Gravity Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	17505 Canyon Pkwy E	open
Hanna Landis Designs	Café		18402 39th Ave E	open
Hops n Drops Hops n Drops "A Neighborhood Gathering Place"	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	5314 176th St E	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	17507 Canyon Pkwy E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	17509 Canyon Pkwy E	open
MOD Pizza MOD Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	17513 Cyn Pkwy E Ste A	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17021 Canyon Pkwy E	open
Rainier Sprouts	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian	10310 Vickery Ave E	open
Reed's Sweet Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		3516 192nd St E	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5308 176th St. East	open
Universal Foam Rubber & Uph	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	11818 Bingham Ave E	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2009	2	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	—	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98446. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98445	1.4 mi	9	2023
98373	2.7 mi	96	2023
98375	3.0 mi	48	2023
98447	3.3 mi	—
98444	3.7 mi	65	2023
98387	4.9 mi	31	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.