BMIE Market 98686

Clark County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,243 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,114 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±412 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,385 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,849 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$596,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,648 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 98686
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+109.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+187.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 22–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 98686. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.5	83	40%	+33.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.6	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	54.0	54	25%	+13.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,243	82	40%	+32.9
Median household income (ACS)	107,801	85	40%	+34.2
Households (ACS)	8,114	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.5	54	35%	+18.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.8	69	25%	+17.3
Population (ACS)	21,243	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	107,801	85	20%	+17.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	9.5	54	30%	+16.1
20-year restaurant growth	109.1	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (51)

By cuisine

Coffee 14 · Asian 6 · American 5 · Pizza 5 · Burgers 4 · Japanese 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Café 13 · Quick service 10 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Casual dining 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angel’s Donuts & Ice Cream	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	9912 NE Highway 99	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13006 NE HWY 99	open
Big Als Ii Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2101 Ne 129th St Ste 200	open
Billygan's Roadhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		13200 NE Highway 99	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13309 NE 20th Ave	open
Blazzin Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9904 NE Highway 99	open
Brother Ass Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		11700 NE 54th Ct	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	13308 NE Hwy 99	open
Burgerville Burgerville	Quick service	Burgers · American	13309 NE Highway 99	open
Burgerville Burgerville	Quick service	Burgers · American	9909 NE Highway 99	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11811 NE 72nd Ave	open
Clean Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	13023 NE Highway 99 Ste 9	open
Contrarian's Game Cafe	Café	Coffee	14313 NE 20th Ave # A112	open
Deda's Fine Baked Goods	Bakery	Bakery	11819 NE Highway 99	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	13712 Ne 20th Ave Suite 1	open
Dutch Bros Coffee	Café	Coffee	14000 NE 20th Ave	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	14000 NE 20th Ave	open
Espresso Resource NW	Café	Coffee	5506 NE 114th St	open
Figaro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14300 NE 20th Ave	open
Gargantuan TEA	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	11202 NE 68th Ave	open
Harrp	Bar		7111 NE 179th St	open
Heathen Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom		2225 NE 119th St	open
I am Thai Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	14300 NE 20th Ave #202A	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		13009 NE Highway 99 Ste 300	open
Joy Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	9915 NE Hazel Dell Ave 318 C	open
Kokoro Ramen House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho	13307 NE Hwy 99 Ste 115	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11714 Ne 72Nd St	open
Legends Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	11418 NE 72nd Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	13002 Ne Hwy 99	open
Muchas Gracias Mexican Food Muchas Gracias Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	13009 NE Highway 99	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	13307 NE Highway 99	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'n' Bake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10501 NE Highway 99	open
Peet's Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13307 NE Highway 99 Ste 115	open
Pho 4Seasons	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	13023 NE Hwy 99	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13009 NE Highway 99	open
Second Mile Marketplace and Food Hub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11819 NE Hwy 99 C	open
Seize The Bagel Seize the Bagel	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	9904 NE Hwy 99	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	12909 Ne 99	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	14300 NE 20th Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	13009 NE Hwy 99 Suite 203	open
Sushi Chiyo Sushi chiyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	13307 NE Highway 99	open
T4 Vancouver	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	9908 NE Hwy 99	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	13204 N.e. Hwy 99	open
Taco Del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13307 NE Highway 99	open
The Human Bean The Human Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2423 NE 134th St	open
The Purrfect Cup	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	14204 NE Salmon Creek Ave	open
Tropical Sno	Dessert		2009 NE 117th St	open
WA1605 NE 20th Ave Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14000 NE 20th Ave	open
WSUV - Cafeteria	Buffet		14204 NE Salmon Creek Ave	open
Yo 2 Go Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	13307 NE Hwy 99	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	11	2	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	1	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	9	2	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	20	7	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	25	24	6	11	7	—	NAICS2007
2009	27	26	8	12	6	—	NAICS2007
2010	26	23	6	11	6	—	NAICS2007
2011	25	24	6	10	8	—	NAICS2007
2012	23	22	5	11	6	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	21	5	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	21	5	10	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	22	6	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	21	5	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	23	7	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	23	7	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	23	8	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	24	9	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	24	10	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	22	6	9	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	23	6	9	8	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 98686. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
98662	3.2 mi	87	2023
98665	3.2 mi	90	2023
98685	3.5 mi	28	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.