BMIE Market 99204

Spokane County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,643 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±757 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±372 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,681 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,301 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,277 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,335 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$397,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62,673 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 99204
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-81.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 10–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 99204. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.6	52	40%	+20.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.1	38	35%	+13.3
Market Momentum Score	27.6	28	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,643	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	58,277	27	40%	+10.7
Households (ACS)	4,050	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.7	50	25%	+12.6
Population (ACS)	7,643	67	20%	+13.4
Median household income (ACS)	58,277	27	20%	+5.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-7.7	20	30%	+5.9
20-year restaurant growth	-50	4	20%	+0.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6th Avenue Tea	Coffee shop	Coffee	1427 W 6th Ave	open
9th St Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		926 S Monroe St	open
Breeze Way Cafe	Café	Coffee	820 S Mcclellan St Ste 114	open
Jacob's Java Jacob's Java	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	526 S Washington St	open
Lebanon Restaurant & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	707 W 5th Ave	open
Liquid Planet Universe	Coffee shop	Coffee	105 W 8th Ave Ste 136	open
Marcus P.i. Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 W 9th Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	517 W Third Avenue	open
Mustard Seed Management Co., Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 S Jefferson St Ste 300	open
Park Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	103 W 9th Ave	open
Rut Bar and Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	901 W 14th Ave	open
Spokane Alano Club	Bar		1700 W 7th Ave	open
Tay Tay's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	507 S Howard St	open
Thai Lunch Box	Food truck	Thai · Asian	417 S Browne St	open
The Silver Spoon Tea House	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1427 W 6th Ave	open
Thomas Hammer Coffee Roasters (l3 Cafeteria)	Coffee shop	Coffee	101 W 8th Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	75	64	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	64	54	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1996	59	50	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	61	50	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	39	30	13	16	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	39	31	13	16	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	37	29	12	14	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	35	26	11	13	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	36	29	11	10	8	4	NAICS1997
2003	32	24	9	9	6	4	NAICS2002
2004	32	26	10	10	6	3	NAICS2002
2005	33	26	11	11	4	3	NAICS2002
2006	36	29	13	11	5	3	NAICS2002
2007	29	20	5	10	5	3	NAICS2002
2008	28	18	4	11	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	24	16	4	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	22	16	4	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	14	2	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2012	18	13	2	7	4	2	NAICS2012
2013	17	13	2	7	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	18	13	2	6	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	16	12	3	5	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	17	13	3	5	5	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 99204. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
99201	1.2 mi	148	2023
99203	1.6 mi	21	2023
99258	1.7 mi	1	2016
99202	2.3 mi	86	2023
99207	3.4 mi	78	2023
99205	3.5 mi	79	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.