BMIE Market 99203

Spokane County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,468 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,224 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,192 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,335 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,372 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,052 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$483,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,913 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 99203
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+23.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 99203. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.3	83	40%	+33.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.9	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	36.8	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,468	83	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	104,372	84	40%	+33.4
Households (ACS)	9,224	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.6	21	35%	+7.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.8	73	25%	+18.3
Population (ACS)	21,468	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	104,372	84	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-4.6	21	30%	+6.4
20-year restaurant growth	23.5	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · American 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Grill + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2007 E 29th Ave	open
Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	1928 S. Tekoa	open
Bennidito's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1426 S Lincoln St	open
Bottle Bay Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom		503 1/2 E 30th Ave	open
Brain Freeze Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3107 A Grand Blvd	open
Brew Peddler	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	802 E 29th Ave	open
Etten Industries Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2918 S Grand Blvd	open
Gena’s Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	501 E 30th Ave	open
Gordy's Sichuan Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	501 E 30th Ave	open
Hidden Bagel	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	1001 W 25th Ave	open
Lean Kitchen - South Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	802 E 29th Ave Ste 3	open
Madeleines Cafe & Patisserie	Coffee shop · Catering	Coffee	606 W 20th Ave	open
Madeline's Cafe' & Patisserie	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	811 W 26th Ave	open
Manito Tap House	Casual dining · Bar		3011 S Grand Blvd	open
Remedy	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3809 S Grand Blvd	open
Republic Pi	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	611 E 30th Ave	open
Rockwood Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	315 E 18th Ave	open
Slickrock Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2926 S Grand Blvd	open
Spokane, WA (Shiv) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1306 N. Division St.	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3719 S Grand Blvd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2928 S Grand Blvd	open
The Chalet Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2918 S Grand Blvd #2530	open
The Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1001 W 25th Ave	open
Thomas Hammer Coffee Roaster Thomas Hammer Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3173 S Grand Blvd	open
Twisted Sugar	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2009 E 29th Ave	open
Villaggio Pizza Wine Martinis	Bar		611 E 30th Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	22	19	10	8	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	21	18	9	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	24	21	10	8	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	10	7	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	9	4	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	19	17	9	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	16	9	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	18	9	4	5	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	17	8	4	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	20	8	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2009	23	22	8	8	6	—	NAICS2007
2010	24	23	9	8	6	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	22	8	8	6	1	NAICS2007
2012	25	23	9	7	7	1	NAICS2012
2013	24	22	8	7	7	1	NAICS2012
2014	25	23	9	8	6	1	NAICS2012
2015	28	27	11	9	7	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	24	10	8	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	10	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	21	11	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	20	9	6	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	21	10	6	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 99203. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
99204	1.6 mi	12	2023
99202	2.2 mi	86	2023
99258	2.5 mi	1	2016
99201	2.8 mi	148	2023
99207	4.2 mi	78	2023
99223	4.6 mi	50	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.