BMIE Market 99217

Spokane County, Washington · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,774 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±567 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,423 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,306 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,850 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,413 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$377,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,947 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	51.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 99217
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 99217. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Washington and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 484, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.6	71	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.2	81	35%	+28.4
Market Momentum Score	87.5	87	25%	+21.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,441	83	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	73,620	53	40%	+21.2
Households (ACS)	8,399	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	83.3	89	35%	+31.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.1	91	25%	+22.8
Population (ACS)	21,441	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	73,620	53	20%	+10.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	83.3	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	120	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 9 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 11 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2nd Base Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3001 E Sanson Ave	open
Arbor Crest Wine Cellars Arbor Crest Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4705 N Fruit Hill Rd	open
Arbor Crest Wineries & Nursery Arbor Crest Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		4502 E Buckeye Ave	open
Beacon Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4848 E Wellesley Ave	open
Bigelow Bread Co.	Bakery	Bakery	7009 E Weile Ave	open
Bigelow Gulp	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	4215 E Francis Ave	open
Bison Bar	Bar · Casual dining		5183 N Market St	open
Cinnabon Maverik - Spokane 3615 Francis Ave Cinnabon	Quick service		3615 East Francis Avenue	open
Country Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3618 E Columbia Ave	open
Crazy Train Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5016 N Market St	open
Derailer Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5016 N Market St	open
Give It A Shot Espresso	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	4715 N Market St	open
Halletts Chocolates & Coffee	Dessert	Dessert	1419 E Holyoke Ave	open
Heavenly Special Teas Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	5012 N Market St	open
Humble Abode Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1620 E Houston Ave	open
JAX Golden Rule	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4715 N Market St	open
Jones Barbecue & Chingon Taco's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3901 E Wellesley Ave	open
Kismet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3020 E Queen Ave	open
Legacy Billiards Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		5303 N Market St	open
Market & Yale	Quick service			open
Mudslingers	Coffee shop	Coffee	7015 N Argonne Rd	open
Neon Moon	Bar		5028 N Market St	open
Orlando's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · American · Pizza	1810 N Greene St	open
Precious Things Fermentation Project	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8403 N Bruce Rd	open
Ruby's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Chinese · Asian	3009 E Diamond Ave	open
Spokane Community College Cafeteria	Buffet		1810 N Greene St	open
Sportsman Cafe & Lounge	Café	Coffee	6410 N Market St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4915 S Regal St	open
Statiom House Pizza	Bar		3020 E Queen Ave	open
Sweet Creek Eats	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Bakery	Deer park	open
The Bad Seed	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2936 E Olympic Ave	open
the northern rail	Bar		5209 N Market St	open
The Riff	Bar		5209 N Market St	open
The Roxie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5201 N Market St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	5	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	6	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	6	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	3	3	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	5	3	—	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	8	3	2	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	6	3	1	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	11	4	2	1	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	14	7	3	2	2	4	NAICS2007
2009	14	8	2	3	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	13	8	3	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	10	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	11	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	12	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	10	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	10	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 99217. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
99216	4.3 mi	57	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.