BMIE Market 01106

Hampden County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,853 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,021 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,107 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$147,935 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,512 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,802 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$452,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,080 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01106
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 3–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.8 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	13 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01106. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.6	85	40%	+33.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.3	59	35%	+20.7
Market Momentum Score	13.2	13	25%	+3.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,853	78	40%	+31.0
Median household income (ACS)	147,935	96	40%	+38.4
Households (ACS)	5,748	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.6	82	25%	+20.5
Population (ACS)	15,853	78	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	147,935	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 13 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-33.3	8	50%	+4.1
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 5 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · American 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alex's Bagel Shop	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	398 Longmeadow St	open
Batch Ice Cream Scoop Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	682A Bliss Rd	open
Bertucci's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	674 Bliss Rd	open
Black Horse Realty Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		785 Williams St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	711 Bliss Road	open
Fletcher's BBQ Shop and Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · American	408 Longmeadow St	open
Frankie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	809 Maple Rd	open
Grapevine Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	753 Maple Rd	open
Great Harvest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	714 Bliss Rd	open
Hu Ke Lau	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	827 Williams St	open
Iron Chef Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	927 Shaker Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	819 Williams St	open
Kimmell's Bagel Shop	Bakery	Bakery	786 Williams Street	open
Li's Brothers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	795 Maple Rd	open
Ll Corner Realty Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		813 Williams St	open
Lola's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	732 Bliss Rd	open
Longmeadow Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		785 Williams St	open
Max Burger MA	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	684 Bliss Rd	open
One Way Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		807 Maple Rd	open
Posto Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	674 Bliss Rd	open
Royal Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)		827 WILLIAMS St Ste B	open
Semolina Bread	Restaurant (service type not stated)		696 Bliss Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	708 Bliss Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	819 Williams St Unit M	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	925 Shaker Rd	open
Sushi Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	791 Williams St	open
The Latest Kraez	Restaurant (service type not stated)		469 Longmeadow St	open
The Lounge - Bay Path College	Bar		588 Longmeadow St	open
The Meeting House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		827 Williams St	open
Ume Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	732 Bliss Rd	open
White Hut Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	791 Williams Street	open
Riggio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	809 Maple Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	5	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	8	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	12	7	2	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	13	9	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	17	14	9	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	14	8	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	15	8	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	16	9	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	18	10	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	23	20	12	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2016	20	17	12	1	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	20	17	11	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	18	13	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	16	10	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	14	9	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	6	—	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	11	6	—	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	5	—	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01106. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01108	2.6 mi	24	2023
01001	3.4 mi	31	2023
01105	3.5 mi	20	2023
01028	3.5 mi	35	2023
01118	3.9 mi	13	2023
01144	4.1 mi	1	2008
06082	4.3 mi	76	2023
01103	4.3 mi	32	2023
01128	5.0 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.