BMIE Market 01460
Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,280 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,804 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,924 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,477 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $149,722 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,172 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,016 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±507 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $658,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,925 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01460 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 13–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01460. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.0 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73.7 | 74 | 35% | +25.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.6 | 42 | 25% | +10.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,280 | 71 | 40% | +28.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 149,722 | 96 | 40% | +38.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,804 | 70 | 20% | +14.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 35% | +24.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.7 | 62 | 25% | +15.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,280 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 149,722 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.3 | 16 | 50% | +8.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 30% | +21.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 44.4 | 61 | 20% | +12.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (37)
By cuisine
Coffee 10 · Dessert 5 · American 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 9 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Jaxe | Bar | 806 Constitution Ave | open | |
| Act Iii Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 529 King St | open |
| Anthony's Coal Fired Pizza & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 201 Constitution Ave | open |
| Backstage Lounge and Bistro | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1208 Constitution Ave | open | |
| Cafe Monarch | Other | Sandwiches | 1 Monarch Dr | open |
| Chip Shots Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 245 Ayer Rd | open | |
| D.t.d. Lounge, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1208 Constitution Ave | open | |
| Dirigible Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 24 Porter Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 220 Great Rd Rt 2A | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 460 King St Shell Station | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 25 King St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 256 Ayer Rd | open |
| Ed's Weenies | Quick service | Hot dogs · Sandwiches | 600 Great Rd | open |
| Gourmet Donuts Gourmet Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 500 King St | open |
| Great Road Kitchen | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 613 Constitution Ave | open |
| Great Road Nutrition | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 675 Great Rd | open |
| Il Forno Il Forno | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 529 King St | open |
| J & J's Littleton Café | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 341 King St | open |
| Kamikoffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 24 Porter Rd | open |
| Littleton Cafe | Café | Coffee | 341 King St | open |
| Littleton Restaurant Group Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 584 King St | open | |
| Masala Bay | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 501 Constitution Ave | open |
| Menchie's Frozen Yogurt Menchie's Frozen Yogurt | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 504 Constitution Ave | open |
| Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 607 Constitution Ave | open |
| Pizza Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 653 Great Rd | open |
| Pub on the Common | Specialty food shop · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches | 486 King St | open |
| Sal's Express Pizza Sal's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 25 King St | open |
| Salut! Wine Bar | Bar | 1204 Constitution Ave | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 495 Great Rd | open |
| Stevie's Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1 Monarch Dr | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 287 Great Rd | open |
| Taka | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 602 Constitution Ave | open |
| Tavern in the Square | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 810 Constitution Ave | open |
| The Well @ Prosty's | Bar | 5 Harvest Ln | open | |
| Tre' Amici | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 529 King St | open |
| Yangtze River | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 584 King St | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 236 Great Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 16 | 9 | — | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 20 | 15 | 8 | — | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 15 | 13 | 6 | — | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 16 | 13 | 6 | — | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |