BMIE Market 01432

Middlesex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,521 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,567 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,089 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,422 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$101,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,442 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$463,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01432
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01432. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.1	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.5	52	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	29.0	29	25%	+7.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,521	68	40%	+27.4
Median household income (ACS)	101,966	82	40%	+32.9
Households (ACS)	3,567	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.8	40	25%	+10.1
Population (ACS)	8,521	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	101,966	82	20%	+16.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.9	22	50%	+11.0
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	6.7	38	20%	+7.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Breakfast 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 7 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar 25	Bar		25 Main St	open
Cains Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 E Main St	open
Capri Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	60 W Main St	open
Carlins Restaurants	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	7 Depot Square	open
Crust and Crumbles	Bakery	Bakery	129 Sandy Pond Rd	open
Deven's Pizza & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	210 W Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	16 Park St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10 Andrews Parkway	open
Hasz Brew Haus	Brewery / taproom · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	50 Groton Harvard Rd	open
JP O'Hanlon's	Bar		9 Main St	open
Karyn's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	200 W Main St	open
Lazy Mary's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	30 Littleton Rd	open
Lucias Tavola	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	31 Main St	open
Mango Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	38 Littleton Rd	open
Markohs	Casual dining · Bar		43 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2 Sandy Pond Rd	open
Nashoba Club - Pizza & Taproom	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	14 Central Ave	open
Nasoya	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1 New England Way	open
Osawa Japanese Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	9 Main St	open
Ruby Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	210 W Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1 Mill Street	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4 Sandy Pond Rd	open
The Cottage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	18 Main St	open
The Cozy Maple Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	60 W Main St	open
The Grateful Dog	Food truck			open
The Ravioli Theory	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	25 Main St	open
The Witch's Brew	Bar · Quick service · Coffee shop	Coffee	12 Depot Sq	open
Tiny's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2 Groton School Rd	open
Union Coffee Roaster	Coffee shop	Coffee	25 Main St	open
Verona Pizza and Seafood	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18 Park St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2 Barnum Rd	open
Wok n roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	49 Park St	open
Woo Jung Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	174 W Main St	open
Parthenon Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	60 W Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	21	18	9	9	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	21	19	10	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	20	18	9	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	8	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	16	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	18	11	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	16	7	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	9	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	15	8	5	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	15	8	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	23	17	9	6	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	21	15	7	6	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	15	8	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	9	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	9	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	15	9	3	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	16	9	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	17	9	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	18	9	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	15	7	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	16	9	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01432. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01434	3.1 mi	3	2023
01450	3.2 mi	17	2023
01464	3.4 mi	8	2023
01451	4.5 mi	3	2023
01460	4.8 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.