BMIE Market 01569

Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,304 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,477 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±391 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,569 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,349 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$124,222 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,555 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$443,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,876 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	29.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01569
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+31.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+90.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 18–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01569. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.1	82	40%	+32.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.1	72	35%	+25.2
Market Momentum Score	74.0	74	25%	+18.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,304	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	124,222	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	5,477	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	31.3	72	35%	+25.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.7	54	25%	+13.5
Population (ACS)	14,304	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	124,222	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	31.3	72	30%	+21.5
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Pizza 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Breakfast 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · European 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 9 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bee Juice Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	140 Blackstone St	open
Bert's Breakfast & Lunch	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	492 Quaker Hwy	open
Big Daddy’s Bites	Quick service	Burgers · American	85 S Main St	open
Corbin Associates Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		775 Quaker Hwy	open
Depot Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	11 S Main St	open
Dudley's Dogs	Food truck · Quick service	Hot dogs	660 Douglas St	open
Dudley’s Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	16 Cross Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	158 N Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	30 Lackey Dam Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		250 South Main Street	open
Gia Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	785 Quaker Hwy	open
Gram’s Griddle ‘n Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	775 Quaker Hwy	open
Hanna's Place	Bar	American	775 Quaker Hwy	open
Harry's Famous Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6 S Main St	open
Jumbo Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	5 Douglas St	open
Just Fire Systems	Restaurant (service type not stated)		44 Depot St	open
Kapi's Pub	Bar · Casual dining	American	270 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	200 Quaker Hwy	open
McGuff’s Bar	Bar		12 Parkis Ave	open
Niko's Pizza Chicken & Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	294 N Main St	open
North End Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	316 N Main St	open
Nor’easter Blizzard’s	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	278 N Main St	open
Papa Gino's Papa Gino's	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	158 N Main St	open
Quaker Deli & Convenience	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	544 Quaker Hwy	open
Quaker Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		466 Quaker Hwy #1603	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5 S Main St	open
Sweet Wise Ice Cream	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
That Secret Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		535 Quaker Hwy	open
The Burger Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	316 N Main St	open
The Cupcake Girl	Bakery	Bakery	336 N Main St	open
The Fudge Lady	Dessert	Dessert	11 S Main St	open
The Gray's Entertainment Emporium	Bar · Quick service		Blackstone St	open
The Oyster Cabin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		785 Quaker Hwy Ste A	open
The Table Family Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		775 Quaker Hwy	open
The UXLocale	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	European	510 Hartford Ave W	open
The Valley Bean	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	336 N Main St	open
Uxbridge House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11 S Main St	open
Yummies Drive-Up	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		146 Mendon St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	18	12	6	4	2	6	NAICS1997
1999	16	11	5	4	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	15	11	5	4	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	14	11	4	5	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	5	4	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	16	6	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	15	7	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	7	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	6	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	6	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	7	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	8	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	18	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	20	8	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	21	7	10	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01569. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01529	3.0 mi	1	2016
01525	3.0 mi	1	2016
01588	4.5 mi	21	2023
02876	4.7 mi	3	2023
02826	4.8 mi	3	2017

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.