BMIE Market 01588
Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,258 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,279 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,733 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,903 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $92,486 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $427,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,792 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01588 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 22.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +162.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 23 (range 19–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01588. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 73.1 | 73 | 40% | +29.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59.4 | 59 | 35% | +20.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 47.6 | 48 | 25% | +11.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,258 | 71 | 40% | +28.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,486 | 76 | 40% | +30.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,279 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 60 | 35% | +21.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.5 | 36 | 25% | +9.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,258 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,486 | 76 | 20% | +15.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 60 | 30% | +18.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 44 | 20% | +8.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (43)
By cuisine
American 9 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Dessert 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · BBQ 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 9 · Bakery 6 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 588Tavern | Bar · Brewery / taproom | 588 Fletcher St | open | |
| Bella Luce Art Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 34 Douglas Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1141 Providence Rd | open |
| Corner Pizza Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 125 Church St | open | |
| D&ng Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1229 Providence Rd | open | |
| Daily Bread Bakery & Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 76 Church St | open |
| Divine Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 123 Church St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 72 Church St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4 N Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1083 Providence Rd | open |
| Get Baked Potato Company | Food truck | 2 Maple St | open | |
| Godfathers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1144 Providence Rd | open |
| Gray Barn | Bar | BBQ | 2 Elm Pl | open |
| Grille 122 | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | grill 122, Providence Rd | open |
| Harry's Famous Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 185 Church St | open |
| Highland Farms | Casual dining · Bar | 218 Church St | open | |
| Jube's Family Restaurant Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1227 Providence Rd, 1227 Providence Rd | open |
| Jumbo Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 1115 Providence Rd | open |
| King Jade | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1229 Providence Rd | open |
| Kyoto Bar & Grill Kyoto Japanese Restaurant - Worcester | Casual dining · Bar | Japanese · Asian | 185 Church St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1190 Providence Rd | open |
| Mix Fountain Afro-Fusion Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | 1164 Providence Rd | open | |
| Murder Hill LLC - Brewery & Taproom | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 670 Linwood Ave | open | |
| New China Pacific | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 683 Linwood Ave | open |
| New England Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 1115 Providence Rd | open |
| On A Roll Food Truck | Food truck | American · Hot dogs | open | |
| Peg's Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 87 Church St | open |
| Purgatory Beer C Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 670 Linwood Ave Ste 1 | open | |
| Revival 122 | Bar | American | 1227 Providence Rd | open |
| Robyn's Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 670 Linwood Ave | open | |
| Samarpan Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 206 N Main St | open | |
| Stephanies Daily Grind | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1 Plummers Corner | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 56 Church St | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Fast casual | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 100 Valley Pkwy | open |
| Suteki Asian Fusion Sushi & Lounge Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Asian | 683 Linwood Ave | open |
| The Green Plate | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 167 Church St | open |
| The Little Coffee Bean | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1 Plummers Cor | open |
| The Neighborhood Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 125 Church St | open |
| The Valley Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 98 Church St | open |
| Timeout Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 185 Prescott Rd | open | |
| Valley Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 40 Plummer Ave | open | |
| Village House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 199 N Main St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 23 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 24 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 22 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |