BMIE Market 01756

Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,325 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,839 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,091 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$132,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,533 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,840 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$616,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,959 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01756
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+88.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.22) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01756. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.22, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.4	75	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.5	62	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	68.9	69	25%	+17.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,325	64	40%	+25.6
Median household income (ACS)	132,256	93	40%	+37.4
Households (ACS)	2,118	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	35%	+25.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.9	24	25%	+6.0
Population (ACS)	6,325	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	132,256	93	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.4	78	50%	+39.2
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	13.3	41	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Italian 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abe’s Corner BBQ	Food truck	BBQ · Mediterranean	25 Cape Rd	open
Alicante Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Italian	84 Uxbridge Rd	open
Barry's Place Lounge	Bar		35 Hastings St	open
Ben's Soft Pretzels	Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	2 Southwick St	open
Blackstone Valley Pizza Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 Uxbridge Rd	open
Bramble and Bleu	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	16 Edward Rd	open
Deluxe House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	32 Hastings St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	4 Uxbridge Rd	open
George's Surp 'n Turf, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Burgers	116 Uxbridge Rd	open
Hide-A-Way Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	95 Uxbridge Rd	open
L&m Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 Hastings St	open
Labh Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 Hastings St Ste 108	open
Larry Joe's New England Firepit Larry's Giant Subs	Quick service · Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · BBQ · American	89 Hartford Ave E	open
Lowell's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	75 Cape Rd Route 140	open
Miss Mendon Diner	Casual dining	American	16 Uxbridge Rd	open
Muffin House Cafe Muffin House Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	32 Hastings St	open
New England Steak & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	11 Uxbridge Rd	open
Nonas Pizza Mendon - Hopedale	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	1 Cape Rd	open
Savanna Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5 Southwick St	open
SereniTea House	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	4 Maple St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	32 Hastings St	open
The Frosted Cupcake Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	4 Chapin Ct	open
The Greenhouse Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	3 Cape Rd	open
Uber Cafe	Café	Coffee	32 Hastings St	open
Vandervalk Farm & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		25 Lovell St	open
Willow Brook Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	16 Hastings St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	9	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	14	12	6	3	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	7	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	12	7	3	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	8	3	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	8	6	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	8	6	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	9	5	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	19	14	7	4	3	4	NAICS2002
2007	15	11	6	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	6	6	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	19	16	7	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	6	5	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	15	11	6	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	16	12	5	5	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	18	13	6	5	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	8	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	18	14	9	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	19	15	10	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	11	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	14	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	16	9	4	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	17	9	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01756. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01747	2.1 mi	7	2023
01504	3.8 mi	9	2023
02019	3.8 mi	45	2023
01529	4.3 mi	1	2016
01757	4.6 mi	70	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.