BMIE Market 01902

Essex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	50,066 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,028 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	18,657 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±826 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	45,139 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	18,354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$67,046 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,673 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$478,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,490 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01902
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+47.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+63.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 27–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01902. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.1	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.8	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	47.4	47	25%	+11.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	50,066	97	40%	+38.8
Median household income (ACS)	67,046	42	40%	+17.0
Households (ACS)	18,657	97	20%	+19.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.4	17	35%	+6.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.2	87	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	50,066	97	20%	+19.4
Median household income (ACS)	67,046	42	20%	+8.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.3	60	50%	+29.8
10-year restaurant growth	-11.4	17	30%	+5.2
20-year restaurant growth	47.6	62	20%	+12.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (67)

By cuisine

American 11 · Latin American (other) 11 · Caribbean 7 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 6 · Italian 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Mexican 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Dessert 2 · Thai 2 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Other 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelina's Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	57 Washington St	open
Antique Table Antique Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2 Essex St	open
April's Pub & Grill April's Pub and Grill Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		41 Buffum St	open
Atlas Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · Latin American (other)	120 Broad St	open
Audy's Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Caribbean	468 Chestnut St	open
Beachside Roast Beef and Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	207 Lewis Street	open
Beijing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	50 Essex St	open
Boston Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	61 Franklin St	open
Buchanan Cafe	Bar		648 Eastern Ave	open
Cafe Colombia	Café	Latin American (other) · Coffee	34 Acorn St	open
Caribe Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	61 Franklin St	open
Casa Amelia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	183 Lewis St	open
Ceviche Tropikal	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	78 Rockaway St	open
Charlie's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	188 Essex St	open
China Sails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	28 Union St	open
ChowdaHeads Food Truck	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		37 Breed St	open
Christopher's Cafe and Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	2 Lewis St	open
Coach petes corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	453 Chatham St	open
Crown Fried Chicken 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	256 Chatham St	open
D'amici's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	500 Eastern Ave	open
D'Empanadas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	112 Union St	open
Difillipo's Brick Yard Bar & Grill Brickyard Bar & Grill - Oberlin	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	163 Blossom St	open
District 45	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	43-45 Lewis Street	open
District 50 Social And Athletic Corporation, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		163 Blossom St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	116 Lewis St	open
Durum	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	437 Eastern Ave	open
El Malecon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	49 Union St	open
El Tipico Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29 Neptune Blvd	open
Estefani's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	106 Union St	open
Euphoria Night Club	Bar		130 Union St	open
Flax Pond	Other	Sandwiches	617 Chestnut St	open
Foul Play Sports Bar	Bar		159 Lewis St	open
Fuel 77	Café		301 Mount Vernon St	open
Giovanni's Pizza and Roast Beef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	15 Lewis St #4806	open
Good vibes nutrition MA	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	9a Broad St	open
Innergy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Ismeray's Pastries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	145 Chatham St	open
Ivory Pot Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	500 Eastern Ave	open
Jin's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	217 Lewis St	open
Karina's Decoration	Bakery	Bakery	116 Union St	open
Kennedy Fried Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1 Union St	open
La Parada	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Spanish / tapas	22 Union St	open
La Vigna Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Essex St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	24 Union St	open
Lucille Wine Shop & Tasting Room	Bar		776 Washington St	open
Mandee's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	65 Goodridge St	open
Mildred's Corner Cafe	Casual dining	American	45 Lewis St	open
Monte's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	141 Eastern Ave	open
Oli's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	34 Acorn St	open
Olympic Gardens Pub & Grill, Inc.	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		41 Buffum St	open
Oye Bonita	Casual dining · Bar		157 Lewis St	open
Pelican Pub & Grille	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		874 Washington St	open
Pizza Lovers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	61 Essex St A	open
Pollo Centro Pollo Centro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	20 Union St	open
Real 28	Coffee shop	Coffee	1500 Washington St #214	open
Rincon Criollo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	15 Union St	open
Rincon Macorissno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	350 Washington St	open
Roger & Julio, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41 Buffum St	open
Rosettis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Sugar Donuts Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		116 Lewis St	open
Sunset Caribbean Haitian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	49 Union St	open
The Golden Monkey Cafe	Café	Southeast Asian (other) · Coffee · Asian	468 Chestnut St	open
Tony Tipico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	268 Essex St	open
Tula Flavor Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Caribbean	244 Washington St	open
Vicky's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	135 Essex St	open
Victoria's International Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · European	207 Lewis St	open
Yummy House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Thai · Chinese · Coffee · Asian	114 Broad St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	27	19	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	32	25	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	28	20	4	15	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	32	24	6	16	2	6	NAICS1997
2000	32	25	5	17	3	5	NAICS1997
2001	33	26	7	15	4	5	NAICS1997
2002	32	20	6	12	2	10	NAICS1997
2003	31	21	5	14	2	8	NAICS2002
2004	30	23	7	15	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	34	26	7	16	3	6	NAICS2002
2006	32	23	9	12	2	7	NAICS2002
2007	34	27	6	19	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	35	28	6	19	3	4	NAICS2007
2009	45	37	9	26	2	5	NAICS2007
2010	41	34	8	24	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	43	36	8	25	3	4	NAICS2007
2012	38	31	7	22	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	41	35	10	23	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	38	32	9	22	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	38	32	9	22	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	40	33	10	22	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	37	30	8	22	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	30	7	22	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	38	30	8	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	42	34	11	21	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	38	32	12	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	30	14	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	36	31	13	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01902. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01901	0.8 mi	39	2023
01905	1.7 mi	36	2023
01907	1.8 mi	34	2023
01904	2.1 mi	26	2023
01908	3.1 mi	3	2016
01906	3.6 mi	84	2023
01960	4.6 mi	116	2023
02151	4.7 mi	95	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.