BMIE Market 01904
Essex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,003 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,906 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±512 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,203 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,182 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $99,614 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,822 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±219 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $560,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,058 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01904 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -3.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +4.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +8.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 21–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01904. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.1 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.9 | 56 | 35% | +19.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 22.1 | 22 | 25% | +5.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,003 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 99,614 | 81 | 40% | +32.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,169 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -3.7 | 22 | 35% | +7.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.4 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,003 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 99,614 | 81 | 20% | +16.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.3 | 16 | 50% | +8.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -3.7 | 22 | 30% | +6.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 4 | 37 | 20% | +7.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
American 12 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 8 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Breakfast 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Greek 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 14 · Dessert 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy's Breakfast & Lunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 30 Boston St | open |
| Arctic Oil Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 172 Boston St | open | |
| Atha's Famous Roast Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Sandwiches | 25 Boston St | open |
| Brew North Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 200 Lynnfield St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 108 Boston Street | open |
| Burritos Pizza & Grill 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · Breakfast · Pizza · American | 617 Chestnut St # 617 | open |
| Casa Amelia Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6 Flax View Ter | open |
| Crispy Fried Chicken | Quick service | 164 Franklin St | open | |
| D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1 Broadway Cir | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 414 Broadway | open |
| De Mi Cocina Food Trucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 31 Stetson St | open | |
| Diamonds in the Rough at Gannon Golf Course | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | American | 6 Great Woods Rd | open |
| Dock 125 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 125 Lynnfield St | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 414 Broadway | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 50 Western Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 25 Boston St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 80 Boston St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 932 Lynnfield St | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 35 Washington St | open |
| El Nopal Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 577 Western Ave | open |
| Fauci's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4 Lynnfield St | open |
| Four Winds Pub & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 265 Broadway | open | |
| Franco American | Bar | 535 Western Ave | open | |
| Gannon's 19th Hole | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 60 Great Woods Rd | open | |
| Global Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 138 Boston St | open | |
| Hayes-menino, Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 338 Broadway | open | |
| Jade Pacifica | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 101 Lynnfield St | open |
| John's R&b, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 111 Western Ave | open | |
| John's Roast Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 111 Western Ave | open |
| K & J Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25A Boston St | open | |
| Kell's Kreme | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 237 Broadway | open |
| Kennedy Fried Chicken Kennedy Chicken & Burger | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 252 Western Ave | open |
| La Shingada Bar | Bar | 160 Franklin St | open | |
| Lazy Dog Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 328A Broadway | open | |
| Lucky Dragon Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 318 Broadway | open |
| Magic Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 164 Franklin St | open |
| Marquito's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 515 Chestnut St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 60 Boston St | open |
| Mino's Roast Beef | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 244 Broadway | open |
| Munchies | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 582 Chestnut St | open |
| New Style Asian Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Asian | 25 Boston St | open |
| Nick's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 50 Western Ave | open |
| Nickey's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 64 Lynnfield St | open |
| Origen Cafe | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 541 Chestnut St | open |
| Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 30 Boston Road, Brookside Shopping Center | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 180 Boston Street | open |
| Primo Pizza and Roast Beef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 200 Franklin St | open |
| Ripley's Backyard | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 65 N Bend St | open |
| Rollys Tavern Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 338 Broadway | open |
| Superior Roast Beef and Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Seafood | 200 Lynnfield St | open |
| Superior Scoops | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 200 Lynnfield St | open |
| T.n.inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 196 Franklin St | open | |
| Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 421 Broadway | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 124 Boston St | open |
| The Border Cafe | Café | Coffee | open | |
| Tony's Pub & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | American | 196 Franklin St | open |
| Town House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 35 N Franklin St | open |
| Uncommon Feasts Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 271 Western Ave Ste 106 | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 116 Boston St | open |
| Witch Wich Salem | Dessert | Dessert | 271 Western Ave | open |
| Wyoma Ice Cream Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 237 Broadway | open | |
| Yas Chicken YAS CHICKEN | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 111 Western Ave | open |
| Wyoma Dairy Twirl | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 237 Broadway | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 20 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 25 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 25 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 28 | 8 | 16 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 26 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 27 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 31 | 8 | 21 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 30 | 9 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 23 | 7 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 29 | 25 | 9 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 31 | 26 | 9 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2022 |