BMIE Market 01907
Essex County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,277 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,155 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,027 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,960 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $134,386 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,303 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $771,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,842 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01907 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +70.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +47.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 34–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01907. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.8 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.7 | 65 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 65.7 | 66 | 25% | +16.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,277 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 134,386 | 94 | 40% | +37.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,155 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.4 | 64 | 35% | +22.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.3 | 32 | 25% | +8.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,277 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 134,386 | 94 | 20% | +18.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 6.3 | 63 | 50% | +31.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.4 | 64 | 30% | +19.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 70 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (71)
By cuisine
Pizza 10 · Coffee 9 · American 7 · Mexican 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 5 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Japanese 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · Thai 2 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Bar 12 · Café 9 · Quick service 9 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aikia Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 447 Paradise Rd | open |
| Andrea's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 646 Humphrey St | open |
| Anthony's Pier 4 Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 153 Humphrey St | open |
| Bacci Chocolate Design | Dessert | Dessert | 17 Columbia St Ste 4 | open |
| Barstool Bites | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 450 Paradise Rd | open | |
| Beijing Palace Of Swampscott Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 430 Paradise Rd | open | |
| Bertucci's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 450 Paradise Rd | open |
| Bistro 37 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | open | |
| BoostBerry Acai & Smoothies | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 160 Humphrey St | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 505 Paradise Rd | open |
| Cafe Avellino | Café · Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 242 Humphrey St | open |
| Cafe Paolina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 646 Humphrey St | open |
| Captain Pizza Captain Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 3 Railroad Ave | open |
| Casa Groso, Swampscott, Ma | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 4 Redington Ter | open |
| Cheeburger Cheeburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 435 Paradise Rd | open |
| Chi Modern Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 435 Paradise Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 450 Paradise Rd | open |
| Cindy's Pizza and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 653 Humphrey St | open |
| Club Red | Bar | 57 Redington St | open | |
| Dirty Gringo's Mexican Cantina | Bar | Mexican | 94 Foster Rd | open |
| Dockside Pub | Bar · Casual dining | Seafood | 286 Humphrey St | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 430 Paradise Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 980 Paradise Rd | open |
| Eros Boba and Crepes | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Breakfast | 158 Humphrey St | open |
| Eventide Confections | Bakery | Bakery | 840 Humphrey St | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 980 Paradise Rd | open |
| Flip The Bird Swampscott Flip The Bird | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 450 Paradise Rd | open |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 450 Paradise Rd | open | |
| G Bar and Kitchen | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 256 Humphrey St | open | |
| Giovannis House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 15 Lewis Rd | open |
| Gourmet Fusion Inc Chi Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 435 Paradise Rd | open | |
| Gourmet Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Chinese | 430 Paradise Rd | open |
| Hawthorne By The Sea Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 299 Salem St | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 425 Paradise Road Suite 9 | open |
| Kell's Kreme | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs | 168 Humphrey St | open |
| Larray's Loaded Mac | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 450 Paradise Rd | open | |
| Lincoln's Landing | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 156 Humphrey St | open |
| Little G Market | Casual dining · Bar | 250 Humphrey St | open | |
| Mexicali Cantina Grill Mexicali Cantina Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 443 Paradise Rd | open |
| Mission Oak Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 141 Humphrey St | open |
| Nascar Refuel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 450 Paradise Rd | open | |
| Newman's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 252 Humphrey St | open |
| Nguyen's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 286 Humphrey St | open |
| Njord Haven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · European | 408 Humphrey St | open |
| O-Yo Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 136 Humphrey St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 433 Paradise Rd | open |
| Paradiso Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 15 Railroad Ave | open |
| Pico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Japanese · Sushi | 331 Paradise Rd | open |
| Pomona Cafe & Wine Bar | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Coffee | 128 Humphrey St | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1016 Paradise Rd | open |
| Red Rock Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 141 Humphrey St | open |
| Renzo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 197 Essex St | open |
| Sea Glass Wine & Beer | Bar | Humphrey St. | open | |
| Sea Side Cafe Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 128 Humphrey St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 450 Paradise Rd | open |
| Swampscott Italian Club | Bar | Italian | open | |
| Swampscott Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 197 Essex St | open |
| Swampscott Restaurant Operator Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 141 Humphrey St | open | |
| Thai Thani Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 408 Humphrey St | open |
| Thairiffic By The Sea | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 146 Humphrey St | open |
| The Cookie Monstah Cookie Monstah Food Truck | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery | 505 Paradise Rd | open |
| Three Hundred Fifty | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 222 Humphrey St | open |
| Tony Lena's Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 88 Cherry St | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 450 Paradise Road | open |
| Trust EY | Café | 801 Willopenn Dr | open | |
| UNO Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 970 Paradise Road | open |
| Vfw Post 1240 | Bar | 8 Pine St | open | |
| Volo Craft Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 152 Humphrey St | open |
| Wing Squad | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 450 Paradise Rd | open |
| Yan's China Bistro | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 146 Humphrey St | open |
| Zestfriendz | Bakery | Bakery | 286 Humphrey St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 26 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 30 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 36 | 18 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 34 | 15 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |