BMIE Market 02021

Norfolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,630 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±323 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,561 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,762 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$143,381 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,315 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$710,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,845 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	48 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02021
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+2.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+17.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+54.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	44 (range 38–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02021. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.1	89	40%	+35.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.5	63	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	34.1	34	25%	+8.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,748	85	40%	+34.0
Median household income (ACS)	143,381	95	40%	+38.1
Households (ACS)	9,630	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	2.1	48	35%	+16.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.4	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	24,748	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	143,381	95	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.9	22	50%	+11.0
10-year restaurant growth	2.1	48	30%	+14.3
20-year restaurant growth	17.1	44	20%	+8.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (101)

By cuisine

Coffee 18 · Bakery 13 · Pizza 13 · Italian 12 · Dessert 11 · American 10 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 6 · British / Irish pub food 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Mexican 4 · Chinese 3 · Burgers 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Bakery 20 · Dessert 15 · Bar 13 · Quick service 13 · Coffee shop 11 · Café 10 · Casual dining 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Fast casual 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5hd Bistro	Café	Coffee	1017 Turnpike St Ste 33	open
99 Restaurants	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	362 Turnpike St	open
A Cut Above Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1036 Turnpike St	open
Alfredo Aiello Italian Foods, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2182 Washington St	open
Amber Road Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	635 Washington St	open
Ambience Resto-Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	592 Washington St	open
Amore Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	1 Beaumont St	open
Andrea’s Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 Washington St	open
Apollo Sub and Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	651 Washington St	open
Barstool Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 Washington St	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	130 Royall St	open
Bertucci's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	95 Washington St	open
Betsy And Sean Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		958 Turnpike St	open
Blue Hills Brewery	Brewery / taproom		1020 Turnpike St #3B	open
Blue Hills Culinary - Chateau de Bleu Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	800 Randolph St	open
C&c Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		614 Washington St	open
C.F. McCarthy's	Bar	British / Irish pub food	614 Washington St	open
Candy Creek	Dessert	Dessert	3 Osage Rd	open
Canton Center Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	607 Washington St	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		4 Washington St	open
Church St. Brewing Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	28 Draper Ln	open
Cobbs Corner Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	110 Washington St	open
Copper City Espresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	Canton Junction MBTA Station	open
Crisp Canton	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	955 Turnpike St	open
D & E Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	618 Washington St	open
D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	351 Turnpike St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	100 Washington Street	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	600 Neponset St.	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	725 Washington St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	360 Turnpike St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Coffee	22 Washington St, Cobb Corner Plaza	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2790 Washington St	open
Dunkin' Brands' Global Headquarters	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	130 Royall St	open
Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	538 Washington St	open
Elsie's Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	497 Washington St	open
Fitfuel Cafe	Café	Coffee	588 Washington St # 3047	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	95 Washington Street	open
Foodgod Truffle Fries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 Washington St	open
Froio Management Group, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		960 Turnpike St Ste 3b	open
Golden China	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	599 Washington St	open
Gourmet Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese · Chinese	95 Washington St	open
Grand Slam Pizza and Roast Beef	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza	355 Turnpike St #4	open
Halfway Cafe	Bar		95 Washington St	open
Harbar LLC Tortilla	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · Mexican	320 Turnpike St	open
Heritage pub and restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	200 New Boston Dr	open
Hilliards Confections	Dessert		95 Washington St	open
Hillside Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	2 Royall Ave	open
Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	375 Neponset St	open
Honey Dew Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	489 Bolivar St	open
Honey Dew Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2760 Washington St	open
Hri Services Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		399 Neponset St	open
Ivys Fine Cakes & Pastry	Bakery	Bakery	95 Washington St	open
Larray's Loaded Mac	Restaurant (service type not stated)		95 Washington St	open
Life's A Bagel	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	29 Washington St	open
Life's A Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	29 Washington St	open
Lobster Travel Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		345 Neponset St Ste 4	open
Maggie Moos	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	95 Washington St	open
Mahachai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	622 Washington St	open
Mai Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	323 Turnpike St Ste 4	open
Maria & Ricardo's	Bakery	Bakery · Mexican · Latin American (other)	320 Turnpike St	open
Matt Kelly's Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	541 Washington St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	41 Washington St	open
Napoli Pizza Canton	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	480 Neponset St	open
Neponset Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	497 Washington St	open
Neponset Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	480 Neponset St	open
Northern Spy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4 Rolling Mill Way	open
Orange Leaf Frozen Yogurt Canton	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	95 Washington St	open
Pearlie Mae's Cafe	Café	Coffee	45 Dan Rd	open
Pepsi Bottling Group Pepsi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		100 John Rd	open
Pete's Place Bar and Grill	Bar		614 Washington St	open
Pho 29	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	645 Washington St	open
Playa Bowls Playa Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	635 Washington St	open
Plenty Of Dough	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Beaumont St	open
Polpettos	Café	Coffee	45 Dan Rd	open
Pressed By Nomad	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	95 Washington St Ste 420	open
Rosario's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	601 Neponset St	open
Rosario's Rest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	521 Washington St # 3649	open
Rosetta's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	521 Washington St	open
Sharonna's	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	28 Draper Ln	open
Slices and Fried Chicken Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	323 Turnpike St #2	open
Sombero’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Sombreros Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	95 Washington St #600	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1 Washington St	open
Stone L'oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8 Washington St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	31 Washington St	open
Suffolk Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2790 Washington St	open
T&B Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		521 Washington St	open
Takara Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	538 Washington St	open
Tama Japanese Ramen & Bar	Bar	Japanese · Asian	2790 Washington St	open
Taylor Freezer Of New England	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	65 Shawmut Rd	open
The Alchemist Baker	Bakery	Bakery	563 Washington St	open
The Chubby Chickpea	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Food truck	Middle Eastern	588 Washington St	open
The Pasta Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	Rte 138	open
Thyme	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Bakery	515 Washington St	open
Topgolf Topgolf	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		777 Dedham St	open
Trillium - Canton	Brewery / taproom		100 Royall St	open
Trillium Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		110 Shawmut Rd	open
Turnpike Cafe	Casual dining · Bar		958 Turnpike St	open
Washington Donut	Bakery	Bakery	2790 Washington St	open
Waterfall Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	643 Washington St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	95 Washington St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	31	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	37	31	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	38	32	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	46	40	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	54	36	11	15	10	6	NAICS1997
1999	52	35	12	14	9	5	NAICS1997
2000	55	36	9	17	10	5	NAICS1997
2001	57	36	12	14	10	5	NAICS1997
2002	61	42	16	15	10	4	NAICS1997
2003	59	41	16	15	9	5	NAICS2002
2004	68	49	17	18	13	5	NAICS2002
2005	64	47	18	17	10	4	NAICS2002
2006	63	45	16	18	9	4	NAICS2002
2007	61	43	21	14	7	3	NAICS2002
2008	66	45	24	12	9	2	NAICS2007
2009	65	45	24	12	9	2	NAICS2007
2010	66	48	24	15	9	2	NAICS2007
2011	60	44	24	11	9	2	NAICS2007
2012	61	46	22	13	11	3	NAICS2012
2013	66	47	21	16	10	3	NAICS2012
2014	71	50	23	17	9	5	NAICS2012
2015	67	50	24	15	10	4	NAICS2012
2016	64	44	22	13	9	4	NAICS2012
2017	69	50	25	16	9	5	NAICS2017
2018	68	51	23	19	9	5	NAICS2017
2019	63	47	18	19	10	4	NAICS2017
2020	58	42	18	15	9	4	NAICS2017
2021	57	45	21	16	8	3	NAICS2017
2022	59	47	21	19	7	3	NAICS2022
2023	59	48	23	17	8	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02021. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02062	3.5 mi	78	2023
02368	3.7 mi	56	2023
02072	4.1 mi	57	2023
02322	4.7 mi	14	2023
02032	4.8 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.