BMIE Market 02053
Norfolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,744 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±206 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,752 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,613 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $173,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,575 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $617,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,040 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02053 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +4.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +56.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 17–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02053. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.9 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57.1 | 57 | 35% | +20.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 54.6 | 55 | 25% | +13.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,436 | 75 | 40% | +30.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,750 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,744 | 74 | 20% | +14.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.6 | 41 | 25% | +10.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,436 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 173,750 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 4.2 | 61 | 50% | +30.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 56.3 | 69 | 20% | +13.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (41)
By cuisine
American 7 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 6 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Chinese 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Burgers 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 109 Main St | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 67B Main St | open |
| dolce dolce | Bakery | Bakery | 74 Main St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 126 Main Street | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 81a Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 42 Summer St | open |
| East Bay Donuts, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 81 Main St | open | |
| Faltaos Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 135 Village St | open | |
| Famous Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 94 Main St | open |
| Gaetano's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 74 Colonial Rd | open |
| Gaetano's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 74 Main St | open |
| Galante's Restaurant | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 320 Village St | open |
| Golden Bamboo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 67C Main St #108, Medway, MA 02053 | open |
| Hang Tai Too | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Thai | 75 Main St | open |
| Happy Hatter Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food · American | 98 Main St | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 67B Main St Ste 102 | open |
| Kawaii Sushi Asian Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 98 Main St suite 106b | open |
| Mansfield MA #272 - Mansfield Crossing Area Mooyah | Quick service | 321 School Street, Suite 140 | open | |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 67 Main St | open |
| Medway Cafe | Casual dining · Bar | American · Burgers | 74 Main St | open |
| Medway Lotus Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 128 Milford St | open |
| Medway Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 102 Main St | open |
| Medway VFW post 1526 | Bar | 123 Holliston St | open | |
| Medway Village Pizza & Subs | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Pizza | 135 Village St | open |
| Medway Village Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 135 Village St | open |
| Muffin House Cafe Muffin House Cafe | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 116 Main St | open |
| Papa Gino's Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 74 Main St | open |
| PJ's Smoke N Grill | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 112 Main St | open |
| Rancho Cantina By Pangea Cuisines LLC | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 123 Holliston St | open | |
| Restaurant 45 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 45 Milford St | open |
| Sabina Doyle's Good Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food · American | 116 Main St | open |
| Snow Stop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 123 Holliston St | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | Main street | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 67A Main St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 67c Main St Unit 110 | open |
| Supreme Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 67C Main St Unit 107 | open |
| Szechuan Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 106 Main St | open |
| Tingley's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 122 Main St | open |
| Yama Fuji | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 74 Main St #8 | open |
| Zio Paolos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | open | |
| Get Josette, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 116 Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 14 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 23 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 28 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 26 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |