BMIE Market 03901

York County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,367 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,246 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,935 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,771 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,734 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,452 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±430 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$369,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,791 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 03901
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 6–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2012–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 03901. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2012–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.7	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.0	82	35%	+28.7
Market Momentum Score	95.4	95	25%	+23.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,175	68	40%	+27.1
Median household income (ACS)	94,771	77	40%	+30.9
Households (ACS)	3,367	69	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.3	83	25%	+20.8
Population (ACS)	8,175	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	94,771	77	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	500	99	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Breakfast 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aroma Joe's Coffee Aroma Joe's Coffee	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	67 School St	open
Bubba Fryes Wings & Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	40 Hall Rd	open
Corner Point Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1 Sullivan St	open
Dairy Delite	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	6 School St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	12 Sullivan Stree	open
Enzo Benzo Specialty Donuts	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	474 Portland St	open
Greenskeeper Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	12 Sullivan St	open
Happy Face Barbecue	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	12 Sullivan St	open
Hygge Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	12 Sullivan St	open
Maggie's Dine & Drive	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Breakfast · Coffee	503 Portland St	open
Mainely Local Yolks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	43 ME-236	open
Outlook Tavern & Patio Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		310 Portland St	open
Rooted CafÃ©	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	6 Sullivan St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10 Sullivan St	open
Table Of Plenty	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37 School St	open
The Cookie Shack	Bakery	Bakery	43 Knox Ln	open
Tower Light Bar	Bar		304 Pine Hill Rd	open
UNTRUCK'd Street Food Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	6 Sullivan St	open
Za Pie Society	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Pizza · Bakery	6 Sullivan St	open
Einstein's Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6 Sullivan St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	1	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	1	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	—	1	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	2	—	—	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	—	—	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 03901. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
03878	3.9 mi	27	2023
03906	4.8 mi	10	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.