BMIE Market 04841
Knox County, Maine · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,035 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,565 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±253 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,297 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,925 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $56,533 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 49.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,092 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $245,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,934 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 12.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 04841 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 56.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +89.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 33 (range 28–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.8 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 34 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 25 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 04841. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maine and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 301, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 34 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 49.7 | 50 | 40% | +19.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 25.3 | 25 | 35% | +8.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 19.1 | 19 | 25% | +4.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,035 | 66 | 40% | +26.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,533 | 24 | 40% | +9.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,565 | 69 | 20% | +13.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 25 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 35% | +5.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 51.2 | 9 | 25% | +2.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,035 | 66 | 20% | +13.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,533 | 24 | 20% | +4.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 50% | +7.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -18.2 | 14 | 30% | +4.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 9.1 | 39 | 20% | +7.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (89)
By cuisine
Seafood 19 · American 14 · Coffee 14 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Pizza 6 · Breakfast 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Thai 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Hot dogs 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Bar 19 · Casual dining 16 · Café 12 · Dessert 11 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Food truck 3 · Other 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oak | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 13 Oak St | open |
| Ada's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 449 Main St | open |
| Alaskan Captain brand | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 230 Park St | open |
| Amato's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 Park Dr | open | |
| Archer's on the Pier | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 58 Ocean St | open |
| Atlantic Baking Co. | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 351 Main St | open |
| Bean Maine Lobster Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 29 Gordon Dr | open |
| Bento Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 75 Maverick St | open |
| Bixby Chocolate | Dessert | Dessert | 1 Sea St Pl | open |
| Black Bull Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 420 Main St | open | |
| Bowden Enterprises | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 279 Main St Ste 7 | open | |
| Brass Compass Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Breakfast · Seafood · Coffee | 305 Main St | open |
| Breakwater Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1 Payne Ave | open |
| Broken Egg | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 421 Main St | open |
| China Coast | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 235 Camden St | open |
| Cjs Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Lindsey St | open | |
| Clan MacLaren | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Sandwiches | 397 Main St | open |
| Claws | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 743 Main St | open |
| Close to Home | Other · Dessert · Bakery · Café · Bar | Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 606 Main St | open |
| Coastal Maine Popcorn Co. | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Bakery | 371 Main St | open |
| Comida | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 421 Main St | open | |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 34 Park St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 212 Park Street | open |
| Dry Dock | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 1 Commercial St | open |
| Dunkin Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 265 Camden St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 632 Main St | open |
| Eat Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 Commercial St | open | |
| Eclipse | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar · Coffee shop · Bakery | Seafood · Coffee · British / Irish pub food · Bakery | 2 Park Dr | open |
| Evolving Office Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 235 Camden St Ste 32320 | open | |
| Fog Bar & Cafe | Bar · Casual dining | 328 Main St | open | |
| Gelato Rose | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 497 Main St | open |
| Hazel's Take-out | Quick service | Seafood · Burgers | 557 Old County Rd | open |
| Herbalife Affinity Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 75 Maverick St | open |
| High Tide | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 275 Main St | open |
| Highland Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 125 W Meadow Rd | open | |
| Hill's Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 266 Main St | open |
| Hole In the Wall Bagels Inc | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 754 Main St | open |
| Home Kitchen Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 650 Main St | open |
| Hong Kong Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 145 Camden St | open |
| In Good Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 415 Main St | open |
| J&J Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 11 Front St | open |
| Lemon Bar | Bar | 305 Main St | open | |
| Lily Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 421 Main St | open |
| Luce Spirits | Winery / distillery / taproom | 474 Main St | open | |
| Lulu's | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 23-31 Oak St | open |
| Mac Attack | Food truck · Quick service | American | 1 Park Dr | open |
| Main Street Markets | Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 435 Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 60 Camden St | open |
| Mé Lon Togo Rockland | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 Leland St | open | |
| Mulligan's RGC | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 606 Old County Rd | open | |
| Myrtle Street Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 12 Myrtle St | open | |
| Newtys Ice Cream and Espresso Bar | Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 367 Main St | open |
| North Beacon Oyster | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 421 Main St | open |
| Olive Rose Chocolates | Dessert | Dessert | 252 Main St | open |
| Park Street Grille | Casual dining · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Seafood | 1 Park Dr | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 190 Camden St Knox | open |
| Pizza On The Street | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · Italian | 15 Oak St | open |
| Primo Restaurant Primo Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 2 Main St | open |
| Primo Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2 Main St | open | |
| Rock City Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 316 Main St | open |
| Rock Harbor Pub & Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 416 Main St | open | |
| Rockland Cafe | Casual dining · Café | American · Coffee | 441 Main St | open |
| Rockland Food Trailer Amato's | Quick service | One Park Drive | open | |
| Roselyn Ocean | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 525 Main St | open |
| Roselyn Thai Fine Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 80 Camden St | open |
| Rotary Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10 Leland St | open |
| Ruckus Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 377 Main St | open |
| Rustica Cucina Italiana | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 315 Main St | open |
| Sammy's Deluxe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 488 Main St | open | |
| Shell's Southwest Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Seafood | Buoy Park, 3 Park Dr | open |
| Spice Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Thai · Asian | 59 Camden St | open |
| Stone Alley Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 218 S Main St | open | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 75 Maverick St | open |
| Suzuki's Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 419 Main St | open |
| Taboo BBQ | Brewery / taproom | 5 Payne Ave | open | |
| Thai Tugboat | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 525 Main St | open |
| The Bog | Quick service | American · Seafood | 1 Payne Ave | open |
| The gator lounge | Bar | 520 Main St | open | |
| The Landings Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1 Commercial St | open |
| The Lobster Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 346 Main St | open |
| The Oyster Bar at The Pearl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 275 Main St | open | |
| The Shack on Main Street | Café | Coffee | 346 Main St | open |
| TheSCENE | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 91 Camden St | open | |
| Trackside Station | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4 Union St | open |
| Tuck & Roll | Food truck · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 1 Harbor Park | open |
| Wasses | Food truck | Hot dogs · American | 2 N Main St | open |
| Waterworks Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 7 Lindsey St | open |
| YOIKI Japanese express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 164 New County Rd | open |
| Snappy's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 65 Park St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 25 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 27 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 33 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 39 | 37 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 46 | 45 | 25 | 17 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 44 | 43 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 40 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 42 | 41 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 44 | 43 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 46 | 44 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 46 | 44 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 48 | 46 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 44 | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 44 | 43 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 45 | 44 | 26 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 39 | 37 | 23 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 37 | 23 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 37 | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |