BMIE Market 06333

New London County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,389 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±621 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,607 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,505 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$129,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,528 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$439,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06333
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	24.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 15–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06333. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.0	77	40%	+30.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.9	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	65.1	65	25%	+16.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,389	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	129,083	93	40%	+37.1
Households (ACS)	3,004	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.1	51	35%	+18.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.3	36	25%	+9.1
Population (ACS)	7,389	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	129,083	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	15.4	73	50%	+36.7
10-year restaurant growth	7.1	51	30%	+15.4
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 4 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Other 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Daddy's Noodle Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		295 Flanders Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	209 Flanders Rd	open
East Lyme Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	153 Boston Post Rd	open
Eastlyme Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		306 Flanders Rd	open
Five Guys	Quick service · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Burgers · Hot dogs · Breakfast	295 Flanders Rd	open
Flanders Donut & Bake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	327 Flanders Rd	open
Flanders Fish Market & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	22 Chesterfield Rd	open
Flavor King Ice Cream Trucks	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	32 Church Ln	open
il Pomod'Oro Restaurant & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	117 Boston Post Rd	open
Il Pomodoro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	360 Boston Post Rd	open
King's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	324 Flanders Rd #324	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	19 Chesterfield Rd	open
Osaka Asian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	324 Flanders Rd	open
Post Road Market	Other	Sandwiches	217 Boston Post Rd	open
Rebeka Fresh Pasta Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		135 Boston Post Rd	open
Rustic Cafe	Casual dining · Bar		516 Boston Post Rd	open
Smokey O'Grady's	Casual dining · Bar	American	306 Flanders Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	23 Chesterfield Rd	open
The Plum Tomato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10 Chesterfield Rd	open
The Shack The Shack Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	324 Flanders Rd	open
Yummy Yummy Pizzeria Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10 Chesterfield Rd	open
Zavala Mexican Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	135 Boston Post Rd	open
Frank's Gourmet Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		135 Boston Post Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	10	7	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	16	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	14	8	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	10	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	19	17	11	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	16	11	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	10	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	9	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	8	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	10	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	12	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	15	10	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	17	11	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	15	9	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06333. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06385	4.1 mi	38	2023
06357	4.8 mi	39	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.