BMIE Market 06401

New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,315 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,258 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±478 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,237 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,142 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$86,178 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,595 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,476 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$285,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06401
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+79.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+79.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+47.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	35 (range 32–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06401. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.1	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.1	72	35%	+25.2
Market Momentum Score	85.2	85	25%	+21.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,315	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	86,178	69	40%	+27.7
Households (ACS)	7,258	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	79.0	89	35%	+31.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.6	44	25%	+11.0
Population (ACS)	19,315	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	86,178	69	20%	+13.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36	86	50%	+43.2
10-year restaurant growth	79.0	89	30%	+26.7
20-year restaurant growth	79.0	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (71)

By cuisine

Pizza 16 · American 8 · Italian 8 · Asian 7 · Latin American (other) 7 · Coffee 6 · Chinese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Mexican 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Bar 14 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 7 · Café 5 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
232 On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	232 Main St	open
Ansonia Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	344 Main St	open
Ansonia Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	669 Main St	open
Bangkok Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	76 Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	20 Pershing Dr	open
Carrie's Flour Garden LLC	Bakery	Bakery	5 Pond Dr	open
Casa Bianca Pizza Ansonia Casa Bianca Pizza Ansonia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	669 Main St	open
Charged Ansonia	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	36 Pershing Dr	open
Chasers Bar & Lounge	Bar		8 Water St	open
Chifrijo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other)	311 Main St	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	289 Main St	open
China Sea Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	25 Maple St	open
Colossal Kielbasa Homestyle Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	47 Benz St	open
Connecticut Food and Beverage Trucks LLC	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Howard Ave	open
Copper City Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	82-84 Main St	open
DiGiovanni's Café & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	344 Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	137 139 N Main St	open
Duchess Duchess Restaurants	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	60 Pershing Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	39 Pershing Dr	open
Eastern Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	669 Main St	open
Emma’s Pizzaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	384 E Main St	open
Familia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	143 N Main St	open
Food Trucks & Co.	Food truck		1 Howard Ave	open
Frank's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	284 N Main St	open
Highland Pub	Bar		1328.5 Highland Ave	open
Hillside Cafe & Pub	Bar · Casual dining · Café	Coffee	20 N Spring St	open
IslandDen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	252 Main St	open
Judicious ZI	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	714 Main St	open
Kaptan Pizza house & Kabob restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	242 Main St	open
Koi Sushi Steak & Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	375 Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	147 N Main St	open
Legacy Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		232 Main St	open
Lulu Pazzo	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza · American	314 Main St	open
M.A.D Sisters Kitchen and Cocktails Crave	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	102 Main St	open
Massimino's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	85 Main St	open
Master's Table Community Meals	Restaurant (service type not stated)		61 N Cliff St	open
Mint After Dark	Bar		350 Main Street Ansonia	open
Mint Kitchen & Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		350 Main St	open
Moon Star Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	100 Division St #110	open
Munch Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	560 Main St	open
Oriental Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	143 N Main St	open
Osiris Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		364 Main St	open
Palma Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas	171 Main St	open
Paradise Restaurant & Banquet Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		557 Wakelee Ave	open
Pasquale's Apizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	284 N Main St	open
Perfect Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	228 Pershing Dr	open
Pilgrim Bar-B-Que and Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	375 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	20 West Main St New Haven	open
Polish Pantry Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		215 Pershing Dr	open
RED Planet Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	311 Main St	open
Retro Bar and Char	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	313 Main St	open
Roma Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	150 Wakelee Ave	open
Rosa Mina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	384 E Main St	open
Rosie's Halal Food Deli and Convenience Store	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Halal / kosher	95 Wakelee Ave	open
Safari Caffeine Lounge	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	336 E Main St	open
Santini's Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	124 Beaver St	open
Scone Sweet Scone LLC	Bakery	Bakery	85 Brook St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	20 W Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	350 W Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	205 Division Street	open
Taco Central	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	317 Main St	open
The hub	Bar		313 Main St	open
The Original Antonio's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	314 Main St	open
The Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		370 E Main St	open
The Vegetist	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Vegetarian · Vegan	51 Bridge St	open
The village cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	52 Platt St	open
Un Encanto Colombiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	51 Bridge St	open
V M Incorporated Of Ansonia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		472 Main St	open
Warszawa Polish Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	350 Main St	open
Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	54 Pershing Dr #9	open
Zanis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	184 Wakelee Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	23	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	27	22	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	21	16	8	6	2	5	NAICS1997
1999	23	18	9	5	4	5	NAICS1997
2000	21	18	9	5	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	22	19	11	6	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	23	21	10	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	22	19	8	9	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	24	21	6	13	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	21	18	5	11	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	20	17	3	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	15	3	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	2	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	15	2	12	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	17	15	2	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	18	16	4	11	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	27	24	6	16	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	5	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	6	14	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	24	4	18	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	24	24	8	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	28	27	9	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	25	9	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	26	12	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	27	14	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	31	27	13	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	32	28	14	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	38	34	18	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06401. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06418	1.4 mi	36	2023
06483	2.9 mi	29	2023
06525	3.7 mi	11	2023
06484	4.5 mi	100	2023
06477	4.7 mi	70	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.