BMIE Market 06525

New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,073 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±159 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,990 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,478 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$188,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,808 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$588,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06525
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+120.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06525. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.8	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.1	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	20.3	20	25%	+5.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,073	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	188,750	99	40%	+39.4
Households (ACS)	3,260	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.0
Population (ACS)	9,073	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	188,750	99	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abdd Arizona Ii Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		245 Amity Rd Ste 200	open
Abdd Iv, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		245 Amity Rd Ste 200	open
Abel Caterers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70 Bradley Rd	open
Blue Check Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	382 Amity Rd	open
Burnt Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	214 Amity Rd	open
Cafe 360	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	360 Amity Rd	open
Daily Bagel	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast	176 Amity Rd	open
Delis Delish	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	26 Selden St Ste A	open
Grimaldi's Coal Brick-Oven Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1646 Litchfield Tpke	open
Katey's Kitchen	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	260 Amity Rd	open
Katz's Deli & Restaurant	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1658 Litchfield Turnpike	open
Mediterranea Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1666 Litchfield Tpke	open
Micro Creamery Of Connecticut	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1652 Litchfield Turnpike	open
New England Brewing Company - Woodbridge	Brewery / taproom		175 Amity Rd	open
Paolo Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	208 Amity Rd	open
Rise & Grind Nutrition	Café	Coffee	1652 Litchfield Tpke	open
Savino Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		128 Ford Rd	open
Sleeping Giant Coffee Roastery (NO DRINKS - ONLY BEANS)	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	26 Selden St	open
Solun Tapas Bar	Bar	Spanish / tapas	245 Amity Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	Andrea's Plaza, 1660 Litchfield Turnpike D	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	214 Amity Rd	open
Thai Stories Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	16 Selden St	open
The Original Antonio's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	208 Amity Rd	open
Wheelers Restaurant & Taproom	Restaurant (service type not stated)		180 Amity Rd	open
Woodbridge Social	Casual dining · Bar		12 Selden St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	16	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	18	14	6	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	13	5	4	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	13	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	19	16	7	6	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	6	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	7	6	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	7	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	13	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	8	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06525. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06515	3.0 mi	31	2023
06514	3.3 mi	48	2023
06401	3.7 mi	34	2023
06524	4.1 mi	5	2023
06483	4.4 mi	29	2023
06418	4.8 mi	36	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.