BMIE Market 06418
New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±299 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,914 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,855 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $78,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 46.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,452 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $258,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,850 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06418 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +38.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +38.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +71.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 43 (range 39–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06418. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.8 | 69 | 40% | +27.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.7 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 79.7 | 80 | 25% | +19.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,205 | 74 | 40% | +29.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,542 | 60 | 40% | +24.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,850 | 77 | 20% | +15.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 35% | +28.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 29.5 | 21 | 25% | +5.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,205 | 74 | 20% | +14.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,542 | 60 | 20% | +12.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 38.5 | 87 | 50% | +43.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 30% | +24.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 38.5 | 58 | 20% | +11.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (60)
By cuisine
Pizza 9 · Sandwiches 9 · American 8 · Coffee 7 · Italian 6 · Bakery 5 · Asian 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · Vietnamese 2 · African 1 · Caribbean 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 17 · Bar 11 · Bakery 7 · Specialty food shop 7 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 degrees | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 181 Main St | open |
| A.M. Bagel | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 111 New Haven Ave | open |
| Apollo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 235 Roosevelt Dr | open |
| Archie Moore's Archie Moore's Milford | Bar · Casual dining | American | 17 Elizabeth St | open |
| Badas Enterprises, Ltd. Dba Heav'nly Donuts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 658 New Haven Ave | open | |
| BADSONS Beer Co. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 251 Roosevelt Dr | open | |
| Bar None | Bar | 87 Elizabeth St | open | |
| Bartone's Apizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 143 Main St | open |
| Crrm New Haven Donuts Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 New Haven Ave | open | |
| Derby Cigar Shop | Bar | 656 New Haven Ave | open | |
| Derby Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 143 Main St | open |
| Dew Drop Inn | Bar · Casual dining | 25 North Ave | open | |
| Dibe Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 49 Pershing Dr | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 25 New Haven Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 530 New Haven Ave Orange Derby Shopping Center | open |
| Emily's Steak and Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 90 Pershing Dr | open | |
| Fortune Pavilion Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 656 New Haven Ave | open | |
| Fratellis of Derby | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 181 Main St | open |
| H 'Cue Texas BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 148 Elizabeth St | open |
| Heav'nly Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 658 New Haven Ave | open |
| House of Bones BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1 New Haven Ave | open |
| In and Out Deli | Specialty food shop · Bar · Quick service | Sandwiches | 41 Elizabeth St | open |
| Italian Pavilion Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 90 Pershing Dr | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 50 Pershing Dr. | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7 Pershing Drive | open |
| Lasowiak | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 63 Derby Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 44 Division St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 652 New Haven Ave | open |
| Michelinos Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 143 Main St | open |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 44 Pershing Dr. | open |
| NY halal food | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | German / Eastern European | 64 Division St | open |
| Oishi Sushi & Hibachi All you can eat | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 49 Pershing Dr | open |
| Over The Hill Tavern Iii | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 131 Hawkins St | open | |
| Panera Bread | Café | Coffee | 70 Pershing Dr | open |
| Phoenix Vietnamese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 49 Pershing Dr | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 70 Pershing Drive | open |
| Quiznos | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 600 New Haven Ave | open |
| Retro Grub & Pub | Casual dining · Bar | American | 87 Elizabeth St | open |
| River Rock Tavern | Bar | 5 Main St | open | |
| Riverwalk Social | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 17 Elizabeth St | open |
| Roseland Apizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 350 Hawthorne Ave | open |
| Seasonal Sweets And Catering | Bakery | Bakery | 101 Elizabeth St | open |
| Sherman's Taphouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 181 Main St | open |
| Southern Chicken and Waffle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Chicken / wings · American | 64 Division St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 552 New Haven Ave Derby New Haven Ave E | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 60 Pershing Dr | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 676 New Haven Ave Unit A-4 | open |
| Talmadge Street, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Pershing Dr | open | |
| The Original Jerry's Apizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 49 Pershing Dr | open |
| The Quail and Ale Neighborhood Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 328 Derby Ave | open | |
| Tipsy Tomato Bar and Pizzeria | Bar | Pizza · Italian | 656 New Haven Ave | open |
| Tre Bacala Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 285 Main St | open | |
| Twisted Vine Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 285 Main St | open |
| Valley Diner Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 636 New Haven Ave | open |
| Viva Tacos | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Mexican | 41 Elizabeth St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 709 New Haven Avenue | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 49 Pershing Drive | open |
| Yolandas Bakery Deli and Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Caribbean · Bakery · Sandwiches · Pizza · African | 17 Hawthorne Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 656 New Haven Ave | open |
| Dunkin Donuts | Coffee shop | Coffee | 208 New Haven Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 21 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 28 | 25 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 30 | 28 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 29 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 30 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 31 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 37 | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 35 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 36 | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 37 | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 32 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 35 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 32 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 31 | 29 | 12 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 36 | 34 | 15 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 38 | 36 | 17 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 35 | 14 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |