BMIE Market 06437
New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,067 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,856 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 22,375 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,596 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $137,615 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 51.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,717 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $515,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 47.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06437 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -7.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +33.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 39 (range 35–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06437. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.7 | 88 | 40% | +35.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.1 | 53 | 35% | +18.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 27.2 | 27 | 25% | +6.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,067 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 137,615 | 94 | 40% | +37.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,856 | 83 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -7.0 | 20 | 35% | +7.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.1 | 42 | 25% | +10.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,067 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 137,615 | 94 | 20% | +18.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.8 | 23 | 50% | +11.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -7.0 | 20 | 30% | +6.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (103)
By cuisine
American 15 · Coffee 15 · Italian 10 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 9 · Pizza 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Asian 7 · Juice / smoothies 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mexican 4 · Seafood 4 · Thai 4 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Breakfast 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Bakery 13 · Bar 11 · Coffee shop 11 · Dessert 11 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 10 · Café 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Food truck 4 · Other 2 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Garden Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 381 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| 4 & 20 Blackbirds | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 610 Village Walk | open |
| adas_kitchen__ | Bakery | Bakery | 2458 boston post rd | open |
| Anthony's of Guilford | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2392 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Ashley's Ice Cream Cafe Ashley's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 942 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Ayuthai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 2548 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Ballou's Wine Bar | Bar | 51 Whitfield St | open | |
| Bdk Alliance Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 725 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Bean Bean | Coffee shop | Coffee | 381 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Belle Vie Cafe | Coffee shop · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 20 Church St | open |
| Big Nanny's Baked Goods LLC | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 114 Farmview Dr | open |
| Bight | Bar | American | open | |
| Blazing Fresh Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 16 Church St | open |
| Blimpie | Other | Sandwiches | 1148 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Boss Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 643 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Brunches Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 2311 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Bufalina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1070 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Carpanzano's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1200 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Carson's On Whitfield | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2 Water St | open |
| Centro Pizza Italian Specialty | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 65 Whitfield St | open |
| Chapter One Food & Drink Guilford Chapter One Food and Drink | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 25 Whitfield St | open | |
| Cilantro Specialty Foods | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 85 Whitfield St | open |
| Country Tavern Cafe | Casual dining · Bar | 704 Long Hill Rd | open | |
| CT Shoreline Cars & Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 80 Carter Dr | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 490 Boston Post Rd 490 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dekes Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1013 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Deli Unlimited Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1099 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1486 Boston Post Road | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1200 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 556 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1675 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 900 Boston Post Rd | open |
| First & Last Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 535 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| First Garden Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 381 Boston Post Rd | open |
| food truck cinco de mayo | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 115 Broad St | open |
| Foodworks Natural Market and Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1055 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Fresh Monkee - Guilford Fresh Monkee Erie | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 842 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 961 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Grand Apizza Guilford Grand Apizza Madison | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 381 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Guilford Bistro & Grille Cafe | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 1016 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Guilford Coffee House | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1065 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Guilford CT #290 Mooyah | Quick service | Boston Post Road | open | |
| Guilford Lemonade | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 140 Seaside Ave | open |
| Guilford Lobster Pound | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 505 Old Whitfield St | open |
| Guilford Mooring | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 505 Whitfield St | open |
| Guilford Roasting Company | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 4 Hart Landing | open |
| hen & heifer | Bakery | Bakery | 23 Water St | open |
| iThai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1200 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Jaipore Xpress Jaipore Xpress | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 33 Water St Unit A | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 874 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Kamana Fine Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 1004 Boston Post Rd | open |
| KC's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 725 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Kohler Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 640 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| L & S Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 111 Goose Ln | open | |
| La Rosticceria | Bakery | Bakery | 500 Village Walk | open |
| Lemonate's | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 505 Whitfield St | open |
| Little Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2802 Durham Rd | open |
| Lorenzo's II Guilford, CT | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 516 Rte 80 | open |
| Lucky Thai Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1060 Boston Post Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 617 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Medad Stone Tavern | Bar | 197 Three Mile Crse | open | |
| MexItalē Kitchen, Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 2311 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Moon Shots Juice Co. | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1063 Boston Post Rd | open |
| MoonShots | Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1063 Boston Post Rd | open |
| MOOYAH Burgers, Fries & Shakes MOOYAH Burgers, Fries & Shakes | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1919 Boston Post Rd Suite 210 | open |
| Mr. J Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 100 Village Walk | open |
| Naples Restaurant & Pizza &pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 850 Boston Post Rd | open |
| New Star Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1200 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Okami Sushi Asian Fusion & Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 2311 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Pa's Place | Café | American · Sandwiches · Coffee | 514 Whitfield St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1919 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Pasta Avest & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 680 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Play Café | Café | Coffee | open | |
| Playa Bowls Playa Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1919 Boston Post Rd Unit 202 | open |
| Pokemoto Guilford Ct | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1065 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Prime on Whitfield | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 65 Whitfield St | open |
| Quattro's Italian Cuisine | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1300 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Red Rooster Baking Company | Bakery | Bakery | 16 Church St | open |
| Sheppards Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 5 Water St | open | |
| Shoreline Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 345 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Som Siam Thai Restaurant Guilford | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 63R Whitfield St | open |
| South Lane Bistro | Casual dining | 63 Whitfield St | open | |
| Stone House Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 506 Old Whitfield St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 934 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Sultan Kebab Food Truck Sultan Kebab | Food truck | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 110 Broad St | open |
| sweetFrog | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 891 Boston Post Road | open |
| Take The Cake | Bakery | Bakery | 2458 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Taqueria Cinco Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | Broad St | open |
| Thai Street, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 63R Whitfield St | open | |
| The Brownstone House Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 961 Boston Post Rd | open |
| The Hickory Kitchen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 725 Boston Post Rd | open |
| The Merch Lounge | Bar | 1016 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| The Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 901 Boston Post Rd | open |
| The Village Chocolatier | Dessert | Dessert | 79 Whitfield St | open |
| The Whole Enchilada The Whole Enchilada Westbrook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 381 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Thewave | Dessert · Food truck | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 116 Whitfield St | open |
| Three Girls Vegan Creamery | Specialty food shop | Vegetarian · Italian | 645 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Up & Away | Bar | 134 Great Hill Rd | open | |
| Vantaine Hospitality Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Whitfield St | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 570 Boston Post Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 830 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Nefb East Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2548 Boston Post Rd | closed |
| Rocco's off Wooster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 2311 Boston Post Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 30 | 30 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 34 | 33 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 28 | 27 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 39 | 38 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 35 | 32 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 38 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 38 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 34 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 35 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 40 | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 38 | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 36 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 39 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 40 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 39 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 38 | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 42 | 40 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 48 | 43 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 49 | 44 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 46 | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 42 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 44 | 42 | 23 | 12 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 41 | 25 | 9 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 42 | 39 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 45 | 41 | 23 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 47 | 41 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 40 | 22 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |