BMIE Market 06443
New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,657 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,020 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,049 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $168,462 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 51.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,025 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±741 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $584,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,970 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 36.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06443 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +2.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +5.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +34.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 44 (range 40–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06443. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.6 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.0 | 61 | 35% | +21.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 55.6 | 56 | 25% | +13.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,657 | 79 | 40% | +31.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,462 | 98 | 40% | +39.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,020 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.4 | 50 | 35% | +17.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.1 | 32 | 25% | +8.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,657 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,462 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 2.6 | 59 | 50% | +29.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 5.4 | 50 | 30% | +15.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 34.5 | 56 | 20% | +11.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (73)
By cuisine
Coffee 12 · American 11 · Italian 10 · Pizza 10 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Seafood 5 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · Chinese 3 · Breakfast 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Bar 13 · Quick service 12 · Café 10 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Specialty food shop 4 · Catering 2 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegre Gourmet Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 670 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Amato’s Pizza & Pasta Amato's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 391 Durham Rd | open |
| Angelo Giannopoulos Dba Nicks Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American · Greek | 200 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Ashley's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 724 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Ashley's Ice Cream Cafe Ashley's Ice Cream | Dessert · Quick service · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee | 44 Shorelands Dr | open |
| Auntie Anne's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | I-95 Service Plaza | open |
| Bar Bouchée | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European | 8 Scotland Ave | open |
| Bradley and Wall Gourmet Foods | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches | 96 Wall St | open |
| Brother Mike's Madison | Bar · Casual dining | American | 56 Academy St | open |
| Cafe Allegre | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Coffee | 725 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Carvel | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | I-95 Service Plaza | open |
| Cinnabon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | I-95 Southbound Between Exits 62 & 61 | open | |
| Circle Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1278 Durham Rd | open |
| Clam Castle / Taco Pacifico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1324 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Cohen's Bagel Company | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1347 Boston Post Rd #105 | open |
| Comomango | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 52 Wall St | open |
| Cristy's Madison | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 73 W Wharf Rd | open |
| Davis Mountain Bar | Bar | 323 Copse Rd | open | |
| Donahue's Madison Beach Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1320 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dr. Katrina Furey, Md, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 147 Durham Rd Ste 12a | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1315 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 6443 I-95 | open |
| Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 136 Samson Rock Dr | open |
| Elizabeth's Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 885 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Evans Compound | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bar | open | ||
| Evolution coffee roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 49 Old Farms Rd | open |
| Fat Duck Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 44 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Fish Tale Restaurant Madison Drive In Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food · Seafood | 724 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Food Court | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 724 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Friends & Company Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 11 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Fuffy Brothers Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1324 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Grand Apizza Madison Grand Apizza Madison | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 734 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Grand Apizza Pizza Truck | Food truck | Pizza · Italian | 734 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Great Wall Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 508 Old Toll Rd #8018 | open |
| Ice Cream Shack | Dessert · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 1308 Boston Post Rd | open |
| James Madison House Bar & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 508 Old Toll Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service | 611 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Jia Mei Asian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 105 Wall St | open |
| Lenny & Joe's Fish Tale Lenny & Joe’s Fish Tale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 1301 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Life Bowls | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 757 Boston Post Rd | open |
| M & J Beach Grille and Seafood | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · American | 87 Surf Club Rd | open |
| Madison Coffee House | Café | Coffee | 724 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Mama Deluca's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 613 Boston Post Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | Rt-95 Southbound (Between Exit 62-61) | open |
| Meriano's Bake Shoppe | Food truck · Dessert · Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | 200 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Moonshots | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 175 Fort Path Rd Ste 104 | open |
| New Haven Apizza & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 319 Durham Rd. (Rt. 79) | open |
| Occasional Coffeehouse | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | North Madison Congregational Church, 1271 Durham Rd | open |
| Petrillo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | open | |
| Petrillo's Pizza Pub & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · Italian | 51 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Pho Madison | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1306 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Popeyes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 721 Route 95 S, I-95 Southbound Service Plaza | open |
| Port Bar | Bar | Sandwiches | 94 W Wharf Rd | open |
| Portofino Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 497 Old Toll Rd | open |
| Red Tomato Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 37 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Rj Cafe & Bistro | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 768 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Savvy Tea Gourmet | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 121 Samson Rock Dr | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 613 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Steamed | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 670 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | I-95 Northbound | open |
| Summer Hill Catering | Bakery · Catering | Bakery | 257 Summer Hill Rd | open |
| Taco Pacifico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 209 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Taco Pacifico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1324 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Tangytowne | Bar | 63 Nathans Ln | open | |
| Taqueria Los Jefes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12 School St | open |
| The Old School House Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 268 Boston Post Rd | open |
| The Shoreline Vine | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 724 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| The Wharf Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 94 W Wharf Rd | open |
| Tilt Tavern | Bar | open | ||
| What's Cookin | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Italian · Breakfast | 78 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Willoughby's Coffee & Tea Willoughby's Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 752 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Spotlight Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 Boston Post Rd | closed | |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 613 Boston Post Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 31 | 31 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 35 | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 34 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 32 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 49 | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 45 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 37 | 11 | 16 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 44 | 37 | 14 | 13 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 43 | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 44 | 39 | 21 | 9 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 48 | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 47 | 41 | 21 | 11 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 44 | 40 | 17 | 13 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | — | NAICS2022 |