BMIE Market 06451

New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,851 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,022 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,419 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,473 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,255 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$239,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,671 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06451
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+172.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06451. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.8	71	40%	+28.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.9	48	35%	+16.8
Market Momentum Score	17.2	17	25%	+4.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,851	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	71,255	49	40%	+19.6
Households (ACS)	10,022	86	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.9	14	35%	+5.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.1
Population (ACS)	24,851	85	20%	+17.0
Median household income (ACS)	71,255	49	20%	+9.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	-18.9	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (93)

By cuisine

Pizza 20 · Italian 10 · American 9 · Latin American (other) 9 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Chinese 3 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Bar 15 · Bakery 8 · Quick service 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Café 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
105 Restaurant And Lounge	Bar		105 Colony St	open
AJ's Oasis Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	142 Hanover St	open
Alberto's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	587 Hanover Rd #1	open
Andrea's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	517 W Main St	open
Angelina's Apizza Meriden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	994 W Main St	open
Art of Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	89 Main St	open
Avanti Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	34 River Rd	open
Banana Brazil Grill	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian	124 Hanover St	open
Bentley's Little Jamaica Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	29 W Main St	open
Best Romano Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	470 Lewis Ave	open
Birria Mia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Lewis Ave	open
Boba & Beans	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	55 W Main St	open
Bogey's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		1090 Hanover Ave	open
Burgerim Meriden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	470 Lewis Ave	open
Casa di Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	103 Main St	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	470 Lewis Ave Ste 2052	open
Coco's lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		464 Colony St	open
Confections by Betsy	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Connecticut Culture Classic Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Lewis Ave Ste 2060	open
Connecticut Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	107 W Main St	open
Daisuki Ran	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		34 River Rd	open
Diablos Meriden	Bar		156 Grove St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	172 West Main Street	open
Downtown Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	33 W Main St	open
Downtown Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	33 W Main St	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	435 Lewis Ave, Midstate Medical Center	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	132 W Main St	open
El Mandao Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	82 W Main St	open
El Mariachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	81 W Main St	open
El mercadito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	445 Colony St	open
El Rincon Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	81 W Main St	open
family pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	81 W Main St	open
Frida Restaurant And Grocery Frida Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	151 Lewis Ave	open
Guambras Grill LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	231 W Main St	open
Hans Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Lewis Ave	open
Harry's Eatery	Coffee shop	Coffee	470 Lewis Ave	open
Honeyspot Pizza 4	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	93 Colony St	open
Hubbard Park Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	843 W Main St	open
Illiano's Restaurant and Pizzeria Illiano's Ristorante & Pizzeria Meriden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	510 W Main St	open
Imperio Disk Bar	Bar			open
Imperio Restaurant & Coffee	Bar		464 Colony St	open
Jimmy&apos S Pizza Of Meriden Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1068 Old Colony Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	291 Hanover St	open
La Brasa Grill & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	133 Hanover St	open
La Perla Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		295 Cook Ave	open
La Poblanita Grocery LLC	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Mexican	39 Colony St	open
Maloney's	Bar	American	676 W Main St	open
Marianna's Belltop Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	212 W Main St	open
Meriden Pizza Express Pizza Express	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	43 Colony St	open
Mind, Body & Soulfood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	511 W Main St	open
MrBeast Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches	470 Lewis Ave	open
Napoli Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	311 W Main St	open
New Four Corners Pizza Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1076 Hanover Rd	open
New Jade Garden 99 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	519 W Main St	open
New York New York Pizza & Deli	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5 Cross St	open
Old San Juan restaurant	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	200 Lewis Ave	open
Old San Juan sport bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		163 Springdale Ave	open
Palla Ecuadorian Flavor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	311 W Main St Ste 3	open
Pan Del Sinai II	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Latin American (other) · Juice / smoothies	47 Colony St	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	470 Lewis Ave	open
Panda House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	89 Main St	open
Pizza Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	286 W Main St #1	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	474 Chamberlain Hwy	open
Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	231 W Main St Ste 3	open
Pretzelmaker	Quick service		470 Lewis Ave	open
Ragozzino Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Ames Ave	open
Rocco's Village Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	121 Main St	open
Rooster's Chicken & Waffle	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Lewis Ave	open
Ryder's	Bar		467 W Main St	open
Ryders Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	500 W Main St	open
Sabor Ecuatoriano 3	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	443 Colony St	open
San Miguel restaurant	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Bakery	587 Hanover Rd	open
San Miguel Restaurant & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	133 Hanover St	open
Santos Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Lewis Ave	open
Sober City	Bar		327 New Hanover Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	325 Chamberlain Hwy	open
Swifts Smoke Lounge LLC	Bar		219 W Main St Ste B	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	467 W Main St	open
The 78 Dinner Theater	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		470 Lewis Ave #4064	open
The Flavor Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	589 Hanover Rd	open
The Little Rendezvous	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	256 Pratt St	open
The Reserve	Bar		16 Colony St	open
Thompson Chocolate	Dessert	Dessert	80 S Vine St	open
Tom's Place	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	55 Main St	open
Vi's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	1068 Old Colony Rd	open
Village Barn Sports Bar Llc	Bar		16 River Rd	open
Wise Guys Deli & Pizza LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	994 W Main St	open
Wooster Street Pizza Meriden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	482 Cook Ave	open
El Toro Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Lewis Ave	closed
Meriden Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Lewis Ave Ste 2044 # Fc	closed
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	470 Lewis Ave	closed
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	470 Lewis Ave Ste 2044 Spc 2044	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	25	17	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	33	25	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	41	30	12	16	2	11	NAICS1997
1999	39	29	12	15	2	10	NAICS1997
2000	41	31	11	14	5	10	NAICS1997
2001	41	30	13	11	6	11	NAICS1997
2002	39	31	11	14	6	8	NAICS1997
2003	36	30	11	13	6	6	NAICS2002
2004	38	31	13	11	7	6	NAICS2002
2005	41	36	13	16	7	4	NAICS2002
2006	39	36	15	16	5	3	NAICS2002
2007	37	35	7	23	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	40	37	8	23	6	3	NAICS2007
2009	39	35	6	23	6	4	NAICS2007
2010	42	38	8	24	6	4	NAICS2007
2011	40	35	9	20	6	5	NAICS2007
2012	42	36	9	20	7	6	NAICS2012
2013	42	37	10	19	8	4	NAICS2012
2014	43	40	11	21	8	3	NAICS2012
2015	41	36	12	17	7	5	NAICS2012
2016	37	32	11	15	6	5	NAICS2012
2017	41	36	12	18	6	4	NAICS2017
2018	41	36	14	17	5	4	NAICS2017
2019	39	33	14	15	4	4	NAICS2017
2020	36	32	15	12	5	3	NAICS2017
2021	37	33	15	14	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	38	32	15	13	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	35	30	11	15	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06451. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06450	2.5 mi	64	2023
06467	4.3 mi	10	2023
06410	4.6 mi	45	2023
06037	5.0 mi	51	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.