BMIE Market 06467

Hartford County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	405 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±259 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	156 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	157 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	60 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	52.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06467
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	573.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	19 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06467. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	18.6	19	40%	+7.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.3	43	35%	+15.2
Market Momentum Score	47.9	48	25%	+12.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 19 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	405	19	40%	+12.4
Households (ACS)	156	19	20%	+6.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+38.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	246.9	1	25%	+0.5
Population (ACS)	405	19	20%	+4.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	50%	+9.7
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (9)

By cuisine

Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Bar 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blackstone Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1678 Meriden-Waterbury Turnpike	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1850 Meriden-Waterbury Trnpike	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1731 Meriden Waterbury Tpke 1731 Meriden Waterbury Tpke	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1843 Meriden Waterbury Tpke Rd	open
Grace's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	1678 Meriden Waterbury Tpke	open
New England Muffin Factory	Bakery	Bakery	1678 Meriden-Waterbury Turnpike	open
Ragged Mountain Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar · Casual dining		1783 Meriden Waterbury Tpke	open
Sauced	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	409 Canal St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1842 Meriden WaterburyTurnpike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	7	3	1	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	2	1	5	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	2	1	5	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	9	2	2	5	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	2	—	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	3	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	2	1	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	2	1	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	1	1	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	3	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	2	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	2	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	8	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06467. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
06479	0.9 mi	30	2023
06444	1.6 mi	2	2016
06410	3.7 mi	45	2023
06489	3.7 mi	107	2023
06716	4.1 mi	25	2023
06451	4.3 mi	30	2023
06705	4.9 mi	55	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.