BMIE Market 06410
New Haven County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,904 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,285 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,161 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,388 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $145,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,424 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,386 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $438,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,896 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 32.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06410 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +18.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +18.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +36.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 41–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06410. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 90.7 | 91 | 40% | +36.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71.0 | 71 | 35% | +24.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.1 | 64 | 25% | +16.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,904 | 88 | 40% | +35.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 145,179 | 96 | 40% | +38.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,285 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.4 | 62 | 35% | +21.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 15.6 | 51 | 25% | +12.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,904 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 145,179 | 96 | 20% | +19.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 73 | 50% | +36.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 18.4 | 62 | 30% | +18.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 18.4 | 45 | 20% | +8.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (85)
By cuisine
American 18 · Italian 13 · Coffee 11 · Pizza 11 · Dessert 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Bakery 8 · Asian 7 · Burgers 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Japanese 4 · Sushi 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Quick service 17 · Dessert 14 · Bakery 12 · Bar 10 · Coffee shop 10 · Casual dining 9 · Specialty food shop 6 · Café 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajhibachisteakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 195 Highland Ave | open |
| Amy Cakes LLC | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1072 S Main St | open |
| Ana Parzych Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 108 Elm St | open |
| Anthony's Pizzeria and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza | 912 S Main St | open |
| Apf Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 150 Main St | open | |
| Avanti Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 122 Elm St | open |
| Bagelicious Bagels of Cheshire | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 945 S Main St | open |
| Bella'Gio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 835 W Main St | open |
| Benvenuti Pizza co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 155 Highland Ave | open |
| Blackie's Hot Dog Stand | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American | 2200 Waterbury Rd | open |
| Blackies Hotdog Stand | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 293 Harrison Rd | open |
| Blender Bar Maplecroft/Stop & Shop Plaza | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 189 Highland Ave | open |
| Brix Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1721 Highland Ave | open | |
| Butcher Bros Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1410 Highland Ave | open |
| C.J. Sparrow | Bar · Casual dining | 908 S Main St | open | |
| Cheshire Coffee Cheshire Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 210 Old Towne Rd | open |
| Cheshire Craft Brewing | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 125 Commerce Ct | open | |
| Cheshire Pizza & Ale | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · American | 133 Highland Ave | open |
| Cheshire Place | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 532 W Main St | open |
| China Dragon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 460 W Main St | open |
| China Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 127 Highland Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 2061 Highland Ave | open | |
| Cocoa Shack | Bakery | Bakery | 55 Elm St | open |
| Cocoashak | Dessert | 2 Town Center Plz 55 | open | |
| Counter Weight Brewing Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom · Bar | Pizza · Italian | 7 Diana Ct | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1062 S Main St 1062 S Main St | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 21 Diana Ct | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1041 South Main St. | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 310 South Main St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1699 Highland Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 1953 Highland Avenue | open | |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 461 W Main St | open |
| Easy Oil Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1186 S Main St | open | |
| Fuoco Apizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 461 W Main St | open |
| IL Gusto | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 286 Maple Ave | open |
| Jake's Wayback Burgers | Quick service | Burgers | 1157 Highland Ave | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 959 S Main St | open |
| Joey's Falafel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 197 Main St | open | |
| Jwb Management Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 716 S Main St | open | |
| Konaki Restaurant Group Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 133 Highland Ave | open | |
| Lazy Susan's Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1076 S Main St 1076 | open |
| Lora's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 461 W Main St | open |
| Main Street Caffe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · American | 209 W Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 850 S Main St | open |
| Mercato Italian Kitchen & Bar - Cheshire Mercato Italian Kitchen & Bar- Shelton | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 1991 Highland Ave | open |
| Michael's Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 55 Elm St | open |
| Mr B's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 155 Highland Ave | open |
| Notch Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 905 Waterbury Rd | open |
| Paris Baguette Paris Baguette | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1973 Highland Avenue | open |
| Paul's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1127 Highland Ave | open |
| Peter's II Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1068 S Main St #3444 | open |
| Pho and Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 7 S Main St | open |
| Pizzeria Davinci | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1072 S Main St | open |
| Pop's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 528 W Main St | open |
| Pops Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Pizza | open | |
| Rose & Oak Mobile Bar and Events | Bar | DW Gem Services, 355 Highland Ave | open | |
| Rose Dairy | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 906 S Main St | open |
| Rossini's Italian Restaurant and Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 529 W Main St | open |
| Royster's BBQ Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1076 S Main St | open |
| Sakana Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 965 S Main St | open |
| Shake Shack Shops at Stone Bridge Shake Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Burgers · American | 2053 Highland Ave | open |
| Shef's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 1040 S Main St | open |
| Southside Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1057 S Main St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 944 S Main St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1989 Highland Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 187 Highland Ave Route 10 | open |
| Sweet Claude's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 493 W Main St | open |
| Sweet Claude's Ice Cream Parlor | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 828 S Main St | open |
| Sweetpea | Catering | Sandwiches · American | 912 S Main St | open |
| The Bean Coffee Roaster’s | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 118 S Main St | open |
| The Funky Monkey Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 130 Elm St | open | |
| The Mountain Road Bar and Grille | Casual dining · Bar | 105 Mountain Rd | open | |
| Toyo Sushi Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1109 S Main St | open |
| Tropicana Product Sales | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 615 W Johnson Ave Ste 219 | open | |
| Vespucci's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 150 Main St | open |
| Victorian House Restaurant & Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 226 Maple Ave | open | |
| Viron Rondo Osteria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 1721 Highland Ave | open |
| Wayback Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 957 S Main St # 12 | open |
| Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 957 S Main St #12 | open |
| Wayback Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 716 S Main St | open | |
| XpoArts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 88 Larson Ave | open | |
| Yougu Hibachi & Sushi Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 195 Highland Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1021 S Main St | open |
| Beyond Nutrition, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1076 S Main St | closed | |
| Cliff's Deli & Bakery Llc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 15 S Main St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 33 | 33 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 32 | 32 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 34 | 33 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 42 | 41 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 43 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 38 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 44 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 42 | 35 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 41 | 35 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 43 | 38 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 45 | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 43 | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 43 | 36 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 45 | 35 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 46 | 35 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 48 | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 46 | 36 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 45 | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 46 | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 49 | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 46 | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 46 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 46 | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 48 | 38 | 15 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 48 | 39 | 14 | 18 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 47 | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 53 | 41 | 14 | 19 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 53 | 42 | 15 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 45 | 14 | 22 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |