BMIE Market 06831

Fairfield County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,053 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,382 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,792 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,217 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$227,159 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,492 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,696,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±114,539 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06831
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 6–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06831. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.6	86	40%	+34.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.8	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	38.1	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,210	77	40%	+30.7
Median household income (ACS)	227,159	99	40%	+39.8
Households (ACS)	5,382	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.2	83	25%	+20.9
Population (ACS)	15,210	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	227,159	99	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	37.5	57	20%	+11.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Coffee 2 · European 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Specialty food shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
9th District Vets Club	Bar · Casual dining		14 Riversville Rd	open
Backcountry Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1323 King St	open
Bambou Asian Tapas & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	334 Pemberwick Rd	open
Bambou Asian Tapas and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Spanish / tapas	328 Pemberwick Rd	open
Banksville Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1053 North St	open
Castle View Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	2 Morgan Ave	open
Centro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	328 Pemberwick Rd	open
Cobber North	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1323 King St	open
Dash Café	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	Greenwich Office Park Building #5	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3000 Merritt Parkway CT Turnpike	open
Fairways at the Griff	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1323 King St	open
Glenville Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	243 Glenville Rd	open
Golf Shop	Bar		888 North St	open
Gville Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	17 Glenville St	open
LobsterCraft	Food truck			open
Longford’s Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	21 Glen Ridge Rd	open
Luca’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	21 Glenville St	open
Park Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	5 Greenwich Office Park	open
PopUp Bagels Popup Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	12 Riversville Rd	open
Rebeccas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European · American	265 Glenville Rd	open
The Country Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	1 Glenville St	open
The Lion Brasserie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		328 Pemberwick Rd	open
Zeemans Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	10	8	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	19	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	19	11	8	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	10	6	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	10	7	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	11	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	12	7	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	13	9	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	12	9	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 06831. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10504	3.7 mi	25	2023
06830	4.0 mi	92	2023
06807	4.1 mi	20	2023
10577	4.4 mi	4	2023
10604	4.7 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.