BMIE Market 10504
Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,665 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±519 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,987 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,735 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,243,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130,492 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10504 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 32.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +13.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +13.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 23 (range 17–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10504. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.5 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57.8 | 58 | 35% | +20.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 35.1 | 35 | 25% | +8.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,665 | 67 | 40% | +26.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 40% | +39.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,458 | 64 | 20% | +12.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 13.6 | 57 | 35% | +20.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 32.6 | 18 | 25% | +4.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,665 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 250,001 | 100 | 20% | +20.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.8 | 16 | 50% | +8.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 13.6 | 57 | 30% | +17.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (62)
By cuisine
Italian 8 · Bakery 7 · Sandwiches 7 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · European 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Bakery 7 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aardvarks' Lounge | Bar | 53 Old Route 22 | open | |
| Amore Pizzeria & Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1 Kent Pl | open |
| Armonk Country Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 397 Main St | open |
| Armonk House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 111 Bedford Rd | open |
| Beascakes Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 575 Main St | open |
| Bill Lauro, Cpa, P.c | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 451 Main St | open | |
| Blu Pup Pup Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 409 Main St | open |
| Bluestone Lane Armonk Cafe Bluestone Lane | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 575 Main St | open |
| Broadway North Pizzeria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 393 Main St | open |
| Casa Tequila | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 465 Main St | open |
| Centurion Westchester | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 402 Main St | open | |
| Cor Performance Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 130 Business Park Dr | open | |
| David Chen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 85 Old Mount Kisco Rd | open | |
| Fine & Rare | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 536 Main St | open | |
| Flybrook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12 Maple Ave | open | |
| Fortina Fortina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 17 Maple Ave | open |
| Gavi Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 15 Old Route 22 | open |
| Greenwich Pasta House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 94 Business Park Dr | open |
| Indi-Q | Casual dining · Bar | Indian · BBQ | 61 Old Route 22 | open |
| Insalata Pomidoro | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 111 Bedford Rd | open |
| Iris Spa In North Castle Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 385 Main St | open | |
| It Must Have Been the Bake | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| K.A.S Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 123 Business Park Dr | open |
| Kira Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 575 Main St | open |
| Kitchen 273 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 111 Bedford Rd | open | |
| Klo Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 111 Bedford Rd Ste 3 # Store | open | |
| Koku Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 454 Main St | open |
| La Lanterna Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15 Old Route 22 | open | |
| La Mer Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 407 Main St | open |
| Last Licks | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 395 Main St | open |
| Livanos Restaurant Inc Dba City Limits | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 430 Bedford Rd Ste 207 | open | |
| Longfords Armonk | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 402 Main St | open |
| Macelleria Italian Steakhouse Armonk | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 111 Bedford Rd | open |
| Made In Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 111 Bedford Rd | open |
| Mariachi Mexico Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 405 Main St | open |
| Melts Gourmet Grilled Cheese | Other | Sandwiches | 144 Bedford Rd | open |
| Meraki Taverna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean | 450 Main St | open |
| Moderne Barn Armonk Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 430 Bedford Rd Ste 207 | open | |
| Moderne Barn Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 430 Bedford Rd | open |
| Nick's Pizza & Ice Cream | Dessert | Pizza · Italian · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 405 Bedford Rd | open |
| Opus 465 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 465 Main St | open | |
| Restaurant North | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 386 Main St | open |
| Rice Modern Chinese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 111 Bedford Rd | open | |
| Schriefer's Armonk Deli and Catering | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches | 459 Main St | open |
| Shake Shop | Café | Coffee | 99 Business Park Dr | open |
| Souperman Gourmet Soups | Other | Sandwiches | 465 Main St | open |
| Sugar Hi | Bakery | Bakery | 380 Main St | open |
| Sugarhi | Cakes & Dessert | Ice Creams & Candies | Bakery | Bakery | 380 Main St # 1821 | open |
| Tandoori Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 61 Old Route 22 | open | |
| Tazza Cafe Tazza Cafe Ridgefield | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 382 Main St | open |
| The Bagel Emporium The Bagel Emporium | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 391 Main St | open |
| The Beehive | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 30 Old Rte 22 | open |
| The Burger Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 144 Bedford Rd | open |
| The Fold Taqueria & Tequila Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Mexican · Burgers | 402 Main St | open |
| The Granola Bar Of Armonk | Café | Coffee | 575 Main St | open |
| The Seafood Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 471-475 Main Street | open |
| Three Amigos & Little Lili | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 465 Main St | open | |
| Three Little Pigs BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 465 Main St | open |
| U Crazy Chef | Quick service | 465 Main St | open | |
| U Crazy Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 94 Business Park Dr | open |
| Urs Broderick Furrer, Pc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 84 Business Park Dr Ste 302 | open | |
| Zero Otto Nove Zero Otto Nove | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 55 Old Rte 22 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 22 | 22 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 20 | 20 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 27 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 36 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 38 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 44 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 44 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 26 | 18 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 25 | 17 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 38 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 41 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 41 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |