BMIE Market 10471
Bronx County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 23,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±491 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 22,922 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,054 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $103,046 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,156 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 45.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,699 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $414,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,509 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10471 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +13.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +10.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +68.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +90.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 43 (range 39–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10471. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.7 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63.4 | 63 | 35% | +22.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 66.9 | 67 | 25% | +16.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 23,798 | 84 | 40% | +33.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,046 | 83 | 40% | +33.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,331 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10.5 | 54 | 35% | +19.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.7 | 44 | 25% | +10.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 23,798 | 84 | 20% | +16.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,046 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 13.5 | 72 | 50% | +35.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10.5 | 54 | 30% | +16.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 68 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (81)
By cuisine
Coffee 13 · Sandwiches 12 · American 10 · Italian 7 · Mexican 6 · Japanese 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Sushi 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 17 · Specialty food shop 11 · Bar 10 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6025 Broadway Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6025 Broadway | open | |
| Addeo's Riverdale Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5654 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Asian Tokyo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 4685 Manhattan College Pkwy | open |
| Beccofino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 5704 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Best Deli & Grill | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 201- 203 W 242nd St. | open |
| Blue Charcoal Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5981 Broadway | open | |
| Broadway Joe's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5983 Broadway | open |
| Bronx Burger House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 5816 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers | 6007 Broadway | open |
| Burrito Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5975 Broadway | open |
| Caffe Buon Gusto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4572 Manhattan College Pkwy | open |
| Carlos & Gabby's Riverdale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Mexican · BBQ | 5685 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Castle Chicken And Shah's Express | Quick service | 5987 Broadway | open | |
| Chen‘s New China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5690 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Claudy's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 5981 Broadway | open |
| Connaughton's Riverdale Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · British / Irish pub food · American | 5700 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Cote Wine Bar | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 5639 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Dino's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5660 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Dolphin's Gourmet Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6052 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 5987 Broadway #89 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 6301 Riverdale Ave Mt Saint Vincent College | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 508 259th St | open |
| Earlybird | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 5628 Mosholu Ave | open |
| EJS Bakery and Cafe | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 462 W 261st St | open |
| Elizabeth | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5686 RIVERDALE Ave Floor 1 | open | |
| Estrellita Poblana Taqueria Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5975 Broadway | open |
| European Gourmet & Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · European | 5624 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Express Fish Fry N BBQ | Quick service | 3701 Breezewood Court | open | |
| Foodgod Truffle Fries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5987 Broadway | open | |
| Frank & Nino's Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6100 Riverdale Ave | open | |
| Frida Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5786 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Gleeson's Bar & Grill | Bar | 6115 Broadway | open | |
| Golden Phoenix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | Golden Phoenix, 5646 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Gourmet Market & Bagel | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5993 Broadway | open |
| Gruenebaum Bakeries | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 5663 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Healthy In Dyckman Juice Bar & Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 5908 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Hugo's Gourmet Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6469 Broadway | open |
| Jake's Steakhouse Jake’s Steakhouse - Bronx | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 6031 Broadway | open |
| Jarto E Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 5784 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Jay’s Place | Bar | 5782 Mosholu Ave | open | |
| Kelly Ryan's | Casual dining · Bar | American | 5790 Mosholu Ave | open |
| La Vida Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 6393 Broadway | open |
| Lake House Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 115 Van Cortlandt Park | open |
| Lloyd's Carrot Cake | Bakery | Bakery | 6087 Broadway | open |
| Majestic gourmet deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6119 Broadway | open |
| Mr Vigg Enterprises Inc | Bar | American | 5670 Mosholu Ave | open |
| New China Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5690 Mosholu Ave | open | |
| New King's Wok Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6669 Broadway | open |
| New Nagoya Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5786 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Nona's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6100 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Noni's Coffee and Deli | Casual dining · Coffee shop · Café | American · Coffee | 5921 Riverdale Ave | open |
| P & J Deli Farm Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5706 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5993 Broadway | open | |
| Planet Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5981 Broadway | open |
| Riverdale Bagels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 5650 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Riverdale Deli-grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5991 Broadway | open |
| Riverdale Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4576 Manhattan College Pkwy | open |
| Santa Fe Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 6025 Broadway | open |
| Shah's Halal Food Shah's Halal Food | Quick service | 5987 Broadway | open | |
| Sheza Coffee House | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 6050 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Skyclub Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 5701 Arlington Ave | open |
| Skyview Cafe | Café | Coffee | 5701 Arlington Ave | open |
| Skyview Cafe & Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5691 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Soup Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5661 Riverdale Ave | open | |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4513 Manhattan College Pkwy | open |
| Subway Restaurants | Other | Sandwiches | 5987A Broadway | open |
| The Barbecue Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 5788 Mosholu Ave | open |
| The Café at Wave Hill | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 675 W 249th St | open |
| The Candy Box | Dessert | 5684 Riverdale Ave | open | |
| The Greentree Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5693 Riverdale Ave | open |
| The Last Stop | Bar | 5977 Broadway | open | |
| The Pizza Block | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 5677 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Tierney Fine Foods Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5780 Mosholu Ave | open |
| Tijuana Nites | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 216 W 242nd St | open |
| Tokyo House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 5648 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Tortoise & Hare | Bar | 6115 Broadway | open | |
| Yohan's Deli and Grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5995 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Yukka Latin Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Latin American (other) | 5684 Riverdale Ave | open |
| Ibiza Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Latin American (other) | 220 W 242nd St | closed |
| Judean Hills Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5677 Riverdale Ave | closed | |
| Nova Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5784 Mosholu Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 34 | 22 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 33 | 23 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 36 | 28 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 37 | 27 | — | — | — | 10 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 38 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 11 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 31 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 39 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 43 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 44 | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 47 | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 50 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 48 | 32 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 19 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 49 | 33 | 13 | 17 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 36 | 15 | 18 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 51 | 38 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 47 | 36 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 53 | 39 | 15 | 22 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 49 | 36 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 56 | 37 | 15 | 20 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 54 | 37 | 15 | 20 | — | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 56 | 38 | 16 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 54 | 36 | 16 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 41 | 19 | 18 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 39 | 16 | 19 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 51 | 42 | 17 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |