BMIE Market 10470
Bronx County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,698 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±470 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,293 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,882 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $90,046 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,669 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $497,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57,473 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10470 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +180.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 28–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10470. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 76.1 | 76 | 40% | +30.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.5 | 53 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 38.7 | 39 | 25% | +9.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,004 | 78 | 40% | +31.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 90,046 | 73 | 40% | +29.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,698 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.5 | 44 | 25% | +11.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,004 | 78 | 20% | +15.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 90,046 | 73 | 20% | +14.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -6.7 | 21 | 50% | +10.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 133.3 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (60)
By cuisine
Pizza 9 · American 6 · Caribbean 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Coffee 5 · British / Irish pub food 4 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Indian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 16 · Quick service 13 · Specialty food shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 242 Deli Food | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4781 White Plains Rd | open |
| 4718 Fast Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4718 White Plains Rd # A | open | |
| Behan's Public House | Bar | 4299 Katonah Ave | open | |
| Bella Napoli Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 524 E 240th St | open |
| Big Daddy's Caribbean Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 4406 White Plains Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4899 White Plains Rd | open |
| Cheffy Two Caribbean & American Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · American | 4759B White Plains Rd | open |
| Cofi Cafe | Café | Coffee | 4710 White Plains Rd # A | open |
| Deli Stop Shop Mart | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4702 White Plains Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 686c Nereid Avenue | open |
| Drips Restaurant and Lounge | Bar | Caribbean | 684 E 241st St | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast | 70 Major Deegan Expy Gulf Gas Station | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 4710 White Plains Road | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1 E. 233rd St BP | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 4201 Webster Ave Mobil Gas Station | open |
| Eduar2 taco & pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Pizza | 4235 Katonah Ave | open |
| Front Page 2 Restaurant & Lounge | Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining · Bar | Juice / smoothies | 4637 White Plains Rd | open |
| Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant Golden Krust | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 4708 White Plains Rd | open |
| Horse and Jockey, Bronx NY | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 4277 Katonah Ave | open |
| HotSpot Grill and Jerk | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 4850 White Plains Rd #4852 | open |
| Just One Tavern | Bar | 4279 Katonah Ave | open | |
| Katonah Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4307 Katonah Ave | open |
| Kelly's Pub | Bar | 23 E 233rd St | open | |
| Kennedy Fried Chicken & Burger Kennedy Chicken & Burger | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Halal / kosher | 4718 White Plains Rd | open |
| Kennedy's Fried Chicken & Pizza Kennedy Chicken & Burger | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 4400 White Plains Rd | open |
| Last Stop Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4609 White Plains Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 4711 White Plains Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 724 E 241st St | open |
| Mclean Deli Grocery | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 522 E 240th St | open |
| Mister Softee Truck | Food truck | 238th Street | open | |
| Ms. Cherry's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4710 White Plains Rd | open |
| Mughal Curry Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 4268 Katonah Ave | open |
| Mulligan's Fireside Pub | Bar | 4272 Katonah Ave | open | |
| New Happy Joy Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4713 White Plains Rd # A | open | |
| Patrizia's of Woodlawn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4358 Katonah Ave | open |
| Peppers Restaurant | Bar | American · Mexican | 4564 White Plains Rd | open |
| Peppinos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4701 White Plains Rd | open |
| Peter Dorcas Ventures Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4711 White Plains Rd | open | |
| Rambling House | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 4292 Katonah Ave | open |
| Red Flower Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4733 White Plains Rd | open |
| Rose's bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 4781 White Plains Rd | open |
| Saydul Sadia Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Indian | 4268 Katonah Ave | open |
| Sean's Quality Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · British / Irish pub food | 4273 Katonah Ave #4372 | open |
| Taste Delicious | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Mexican | 4643 White Plains Rd #1 | open |
| Tea Room at the Burren | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 4342 Katonah Ave | open |
| Tego Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4367 Webster Ave | open | |
| The Avenue | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4352 Katonah Ave | open | |
| The Burren | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · British / Irish pub food | 4342 Katonah Ave | open |
| The Execs Entertainment | Bar | 4465 Bronx Blvd | open | |
| The Famous Deli Corp. | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4201 Oneida Ave | open |
| The Hideout Tavern | Bar | 143 E 233rd St | open | |
| The Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4330 Katonah Ave | open | |
| The Oakleaf | Bar | 4280 Katonah Ave | open | |
| Tombstone Saloon | Bar | 119 E 233rd St | open | |
| Top Choice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 686 Nereid Ave | open |
| Traditional Irish Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 4268 Katonah Ave | open |
| Wonderful | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 518 E 240th St | open |
| Woodlawn Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4255 Katonah Ave | open |
| Keyamani Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4744 White Plains Rd | closed | |
| Los Masters Deli Grocery Llc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4653 Carpenter Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 23 | 10 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 7 | — | — | — | 13 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 19 | 7 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 8 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 7 | — | 9 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 11 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 26 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 32 | 28 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 34 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 16 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 18 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 18 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 29 | 11 | 17 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 17 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 30 | 11 | 18 | — | 7 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 17 | — | 8 | NAICS2022 |