BMIE Market 10475
Bronx County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 42,578 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 18,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±976 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 40,931 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 18,911 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $62,712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,933 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,253 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $33,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,338 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 51 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10475 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +8.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +45.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +75.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +142.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 57 (range 52–62) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10475. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 71.2 | 71 | 40% | +28.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.8 | 70 | 35% | +24.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 71.9 | 72 | 25% | +18.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 42,578 | 95 | 40% | +38.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,712 | 35 | 40% | +13.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 18,821 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 45.7 | 79 | 35% | +27.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.0 | 65 | 25% | +16.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 42,578 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,712 | 35 | 20% | +6.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 8.5 | 66 | 50% | +32.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 45.7 | 79 | 30% | +23.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 75.9 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (99)
By cuisine
American 13 · Bakery 12 · Dessert 11 · Chinese 9 · Sandwiches 8 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 7 · Burgers 6 · Asian 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · BBQ 3 · Caribbean 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Korean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 26 · Bakery 16 · Dessert 13 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Buffet 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Applebee's Grill + Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2276 Bartow Ave | open | |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2059 Bartow Ave | open | |
| Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | 200 Baychester Ave. Space #K9 | open |
| Bagel Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 2214 Bartow Ave | open |
| Bagels On Bartow | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 2033 Bartow Ave | open |
| Bay Plaza Crumbl Cookies | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 2276A Bartow Ave, The Bronx, New York 10475 | open |
| Bay Plaza Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · American | 2051 Bartow Ave | open |
| Bay Plaza City Pop Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 360 Baychester Ave | open | |
| BBQS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | Bay Plaza | open |
| Bellemy Loop | Bar | 120 Bellamy Loop | open | |
| Bobo's Crab Shack (co-op City) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 691 Co Op City Blvd | open |
| Bp Charleys Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 Baychester Ave | open | |
| Bronx NY - Bartow Ave Wetzel's Pretzels | Quick service | 2069 Bartow Avenue, Bronx, New York, 10475 | open | |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 2059 Bartow Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers | 2200 Bartow Ave | open |
| CANDYLAND | Dessert | open | ||
| Capri II Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | Dreiser Loop | open |
| Capri IV Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 2073 Bartow Ave | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 200 Baychester Ave. | open |
| Checkers | Quick service | 344 Baychester Ave | open | |
| Chick-fil-A | Quick service | 2276 Bartow Ave | open | |
| Chick-fil-A 2276 Bartow Avenue | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2276 Bartow Ave | open | |
| Chicken Now | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Chicken / wings | 200 Baychester Ave FF3 | open |
| Chip City Chip City | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2122 Bartow Ave Unit 116 | open |
| Cinnabon Cinnabon | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Co-op City, Chinese Buffet | Buffet | Chinese | 691 Co OP City Blvd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 2069 Bartow Ave | open |
| Crepes Nyc | Café | Coffee | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen / Orange Julius | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Dallas BBQ Dallas BBQ | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 2160 Bartow Ave | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 3484 Boston Rd. | open |
| Dragon City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2102 Bartow Ave | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 3804 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 4090 Boston Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2035 Bartow Ave Co-op City Mall | open |
| Gees Gourmet Deli Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 4028 Boston Rd # 1123 | open |
| Georgette Sea N Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4090 Boston Rd | open |
| Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant Golden Krust | Bakery | Caribbean · Bakery | 691 Co OP City Blvd | open |
| Grp Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2085 Bartow Ave | open | |
| Guang hui restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chinese · American | 125 Dreiser Loop | open |
| Hostess Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3505 Conner St | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 4340 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Jade Palace Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 163 Einstein Loop | open |
| Jimmy Best Chinese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4004 Boston Rd | open |
| Kaijin Seafood Buffet | Buffet | Seafood · Sushi · Japanese | 691 Co-op City Blvd | open |
| Kennedy Fried Chicken & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 157 Dreiser Loop | open |
| Kmart Little Caesars Pizza Station | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 300 Baychester Ave | open |
| KPOT Korean BBQ and Hot Pot KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot-Orlando,FL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Korean · BBQ | 200 Baychester Ave 207A (2nd Floor | open |
| Luna Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4006 Boston Rd | open |
| Master Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | Mall at Bay Plaza, 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3550 Conner St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2010 Bartow Ave | open |
| Mcreid Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 691 Co Op City Blvd | open | |
| Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Nathan's Famous Nathan's Famous Malaysia | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Noches de Colombia Bronx | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Olive Garden Italian Restaurant Olive Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 270 Baychester Ave | open |
| Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 2100 Bartow Ave | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 340 Baychester Ave | open |
| Pastel Cupcakes | Dessert | Dessert | 140 Elgar Pl | open |
| Pd Retail Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 Baychester Ave Ste 110a | open | |
| Pear Tree Nails Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 691 Co Op City Blvd Unit K | open | |
| Pepperidge Farm | Bakery | Bakery | 3353 Noell Ave | open |
| Pimento Caribbean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 4018 Boston Rd | open |
| Pizza Chop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2045 Bartow Ave | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 360 Baychester Ave | open |
| Pretzel Maker | Quick service | 200 Baychester Ave | open | |
| Quality Of Life Juices | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 169 Einstein Loop | open |
| R&r Roosevelt Field, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 200 Baychester Ave | open | |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 2090 Bartow Ave | open |
| Sabrosito Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 200 | open |
| Sangria Cafe | Café | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 2085 Bartow Ave | open |
| Sarene Craft Beer Distributors | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 3301 Merritt Ave | open | |
| Sarku Japan Sarku Japan | Quick service | Japanese · Asian | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Sbarro Sbarro | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Scotch Bonnet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 200 BAYCHESTER AVE, 6 | open |
| Section 5 Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 133 Einstein Loop N | open |
| Seven Seas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2051 Bartow Ave | open | |
| Shake Shack Shake Shack | Quick service | Burgers · American | 344 Baychester Ave | open |
| Soup Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2136 Bartow Ave | open | |
| Src Collison Inc Dba-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4124 Boston Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 346 Baychester Ave | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 200 Baychester Ave Ste FF6 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3351 Conners Street | open |
| Thai Fa Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 200 Baychester Ave Ste Ff4 | open |
| The City Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 900 Baychester Ave 2nd Fl | open | |
| Thruway Bar & Lounge | Bar | 2195 New England Thwy | open | |
| Tiger King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Tea / bubble tea | 200 Baychester Ave Ste 212B | open |
| Two Bro Yogurt | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Ugly Dumpling Ugly Dumpling Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chinese · American | 270 Baychester Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4330 Boston Rd | open |
| Wetzel's Pretzels Wetzel's Pretzels | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Bakery | 2069 Bartow Ave | open |
| Woops! | Dessert · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Dessert | 200 Baychester Ave | open |
| Bartow Meats Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2059 Bartow Ave | closed | |
| Bartow Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2045 Bartow Ave | closed |
| Hook & Reel Cajun Seafood & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 200 Baychester Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 21 | 21 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 25 | 4 | 15 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 33 | 28 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 29 | 7 | 19 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 31 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 31 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 32 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 32 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 32 | 7 | 20 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 35 | 33 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 37 | 35 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 34 | 32 | 8 | 19 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 34 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 34 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 39 | 12 | 23 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 46 | 44 | 12 | 28 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 42 | 13 | 26 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 51 | 47 | 12 | 30 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 46 | 13 | 28 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 47 | 45 | 14 | 28 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 44 | 11 | 27 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 51 | 48 | 14 | 26 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 55 | 51 | 13 | 29 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |