BMIE Market 10516

Putnam County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,362 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±341 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,289 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,412 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$140,225 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,099 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,824 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$639,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,108 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10516
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	37.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10516. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.1	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.5	52	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	41.1	41	25%	+10.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,362	62	40%	+24.6
Median household income (ACS)	140,225	95	40%	+37.9
Households (ACS)	2,213	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.3	50	35%	+17.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	37.3	15	25%	+3.7
Population (ACS)	5,362	62	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	140,225	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.8	23	50%	+11.5
10-year restaurant growth	5.3	50	30%	+15.0
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

Coffee 13 · Italian 8 · American 7 · Dessert 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mexican 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Café 11 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
45 Fair Street Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 Fair St	open
ABC Soup	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11 Old Postal Rd	open
Angelina's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	43 Chestnut St	open
Angie’s Bake Shop & Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	116 Main St	open
B & L Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	3182 US-9	open
Bozerinos	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	122 Main St	open
Carlo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Burgers · Sandwiches · Pizza · Noodles / ramen / pho	3182 US-9	open
Choripan al Paso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3182 US-9	open
Cold Spring Bake Shoppe	Bakery	Bakery	131 Main St	open
Cold Spring Candy Co.	Dessert	Dessert	11 Main St	open
Cold Spring Coffee Pantry	Coffee shop	Coffee	3091 Route 9	open
Cold Spring Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	92 Main St	open
Cold Spring Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	120 Main St	open
Cozy Corner Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	131 Main St	open
Cro' Nest	Bar		15 Main St	open
Deli & Pizzeria Dulce Encuentro	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	3556 US-9	open
Deli el Descanso	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	3083 US-9	open
Dolcigno Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian	91 Main St	open
Doug's Pretty Good Pub	Casual dining · Bar		54 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	33 Chestnut St	open
Garden Cafe	Café	Coffee	116 Main St	open
Go-Go Pops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	64 Main St	open
Homestyle Creamery	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	351 Main St	open
Hudson Hil's Market & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	129-131 Main St	open
J. Murphy's On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	184 Main St	open
Jnn Ii Corporation D B A Nicolas Italian Restauran	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3620 Route 9	open
Juanita's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	289 Main St	open
Kapé Mo	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Filipino	75 Main St	open
Le Bouchon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	76 Main St	open
Moo Moo's Creamery - The World’s Best Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	32 West St	open
New Ming Moon Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	106 Main St	open
Nicola's Italian Restaurant And Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3620 US-9	open
Pasta by Design	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	245 Main St	open
R&R Cigars Private Lounge	Bar		3467 US-9	open
Rincon Argentino/ Café Sumak	Café	Coffee · Latin American (other)	21 Main St	open
Riverview Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	45 Fair St	open
Rowseelee	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	81 Main St	open
rōz coffee + design	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1806 NY-9D	open
Rt 9 Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza	3556 Rte 9	open
Silver Spoon Restaurant and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	124 Main St	open
Spice Revolution	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	161 Main St	open
Sweet E’s Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3091 US-9	open
Sweet Harvest Cafe	Café	Coffee · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	82 Main St	open
Sweet Tambourine	Dessert	Dessert	38 Main St	open
The Foundry Rose	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Main St	open
The Main Course	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Bar	Coffee · Sandwiches	39 Chestnut St	open
The Pantry	Café	Coffee	75 Main St	open
The Village Scoop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1 Railroad Ave	open
Tutto Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	349 Main St	open
Whistling Willie's American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	184 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	16	12	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	12	1	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	9	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	9	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	9	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	9	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	19	15	11	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	18	14	11	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	15	12	10	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	18	12	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	18	11	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	17	10	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	21	20	13	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	17	10	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	17	10	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	22	19	10	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	19	17	9	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	23	21	12	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	21	20	12	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	24	22	14	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	21	14	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	20	13	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	19	12	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	19	11	4	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	22	18	11	4	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	21	20	11	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10516. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12508	4.7 mi	54	2023
12524	5.0 mi	59	2023
10579	5.0 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.