BMIE Market 12524

Dutchess County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,026 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±591 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,496 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±338 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,598 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,369 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±160 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$398,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,044 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	59 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12524
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	35.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+1.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-3.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	60 (range 53–66) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12524. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.5	78	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.4	42	35%	+14.9
Market Momentum Score	45.5	46	25%	+11.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,026	77	40%	+30.7
Median household income (ACS)	99,034	80	40%	+32.1
Households (ACS)	6,496	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-3.3	22	35%	+7.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	39.3	14	25%	+3.4
Population (ACS)	15,026	77	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	99,034	80	20%	+16.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	1.7	58	50%	+29.1
10-year restaurant growth	-3.3	22	30%	+6.5
20-year restaurant growth	25.5	50	20%	+9.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (129)

By cuisine

American 25 · Sandwiches 17 · Italian 13 · Coffee 12 · Pizza 12 · Asian 9 · Dessert 9 · Latin American (other) 9 · Mexican 9 · Bakery 8 · Burgers 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Japanese 6 · Breakfast 4 · Chinese 4 · Sushi 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Indian 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 84 · Quick service 20 · Bar 16 · Casual dining 14 · Bakery 11 · Dessert 11 · Café 8 · Specialty food shop 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
18 North Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	18 Westage Dr	open
3 Guys Pizza Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1083 Route 9 Ste 44	open
A&W Restaurants A&W Restaurants	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Burgers · American	59 W Merritt Blvd	open
Akari Sushi 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	17 Merritt Blvd	open
Alps Sweet Shop	Dessert	Dessert	1054 Main St	open
Antonella's Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	738 US-9	open
Arj Management Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		59 W Merritt Blvd	open
Athena Gyro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1113 Main St	open
Azteca Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	150 Osborne Hill Rd	open
Beast	Casual dining · Bar	American	1064 Main St	open
Belegrina Kafenio and Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Greek · Coffee	818 NY-52	open
Berts Bread House	Bakery	Bakery	19 Robinson St	open
Blue Dream Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		150 Osborne hill Rd	open
Bonsai 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Thai · Sushi	738 US-9	open
Brass Rail	Bar	American	542 Route 9	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	730 Route 9	open
Carvel	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	172 Main St	open
CASA Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1545 NY-52	open
Chakra Bowls Fishkill	Café	Coffee	992 Main St	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	26 W Merritt Blvd	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	26 W Merritt Blvd	open
Charlie Brown's of Fishkill Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Steakhouse · Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	18 Westage Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10 Westage Dr	open
Cibo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Sandwiches	1126 Main St	open
Cilantro Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	986 Main St	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11 Merritt Blvd	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4 Merritt Blvd	open
Danny's Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1113 Main St	open
Dennys	Casual dining	American	6 Schuyler Blvd	open
Dolce Von Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1083 Route 9 Ste 1	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	703 Route 9	open
Domo Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1140 Main St	open
Don Nico Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	453 Route 9	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	680 US-9	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	747 Rte 9	open
Dutchess County Cigar Company	Bar		753 US-9	open
Dutchess Donuts & Creamery	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	847 Route 52	open
Eleven 11 Grille & Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		1111 Main St	open
Elisa's Takeouts	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs	847 Rte 52	open
Empire Bagels Empire Bagels Cortlandt Manor	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	738 US-9 Unit C6	open
Farm To Table Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1013 Route 9	open
Fast Eddie's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		50 Elm St	open
Feeling Kinda Kozy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1126 Main St	open
Fishkill Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1042 Main St	open
Fishkill Food Art Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1111 Main St	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	10 Westage Drive	open
Five Guys Burgers & Fries	Quick service		703 Route 9	open
Florina's Wood Fired Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	225 Ny-82	open
Friendly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1053 Main St	open
Frozenberry	Dessert	Dessert	6 Broad St #1259	open
G & G Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	733 Route 9	open
Gamal & Ashraf Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1545 Route 52 Ste 22	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	56 W Merritt Blvd	open
Golden Buddha Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	985 Main St	open
Grab & Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	60 Merritt Blvd	open
Green Garden Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	986 Main St #2	open
Guadalupe Mix Restaurant and Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	213 NY-82	open
Gymkhana Cuisine Of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	18 Westage Dr	open
Halal Bros Fishkill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Halal / kosher · American	733 US-9	open
Hometown Deli & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	812 Rte 52	open
Hot Stuff Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8 Church St	open
Hudson Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	18 Westage Dr	open
Hudson Sandwich Company	Other	Sandwiches	1004 Main St Ste 1	open
I-84 Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	853 Route 52	open
il Barilotto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1113 Main St	open
Il Figlio Enoteca	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	992 Main St	open
Izla of Fishkill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	703 US-9	open
Jade China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	738 US-9	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	584 Rt. 9	open
La Sorella	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	992 Main St Ste 22	open
Laby's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	73 Old Glenham Rd	open
Latin Mix Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Latin American (other) · Sandwiches	37 Elm St	open
Little Asia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	17 Merritt Blvd	open
Mamma Carmela's Italian Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1004 Main St	open
Mandee's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · American	37 Elm St #2	open
Materials &amp Technologies Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		182 Old Route 9 Ste 1	open
Maya Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	448 US-9	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	453 Us Rte 9 (Duchess Mall)	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2400 Rt 9	open
Mia's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Breakfast	461 Route 9	open
New Hudson Family Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Westage Dr	open
Osborne Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	117 Osborne Hill Rd	open
Paesanos Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1545 New York 52	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	11 Merritt Boulevard	open
Piano Piano Wine Bar	Bar		1064 Main St	open
Pizza & Stuff	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	50 Elm St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18 Westage Dr Ste 12	open
Pizza Phil of Fishkill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1545 NY-52	open
Red Line Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	588 US-9	open
Ruby Tuesday of Fishkill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers · American	25 Westage Dr	open
Sal's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	973 Main St	open
Salsa Fresca Mexican Grill Salsa Fresca Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	584 US-9	open
Sapore Steak House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Italian · American	1108 Main St	open
Savona's Pizzeria Fishkill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	17 Merritt Blvd	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	747 US Route 9	open
Sotano Food & Wine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	1036 Main St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	Ransley Square, 11 US-9	open
Stephano's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1053 Main St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	738 Route 9	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17 Merritt Blvd., US Rt 9	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	18 Westage Dr., 9B	open
Suchi Ya	Restaurant (service type not stated)		738 Route 9	open
Sushi 101	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	738 Route 9	open
Sushi Village Fishkill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1545 Route 52	open
Sushi Village Fishkill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	1545 NY-52,	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3 Elm Street	open
Tanjore Cuisine of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	992 Main St	open
That Cafe	Specialty food shop · Quick service	American · Sandwiches · Middle Eastern	37 Elm St	open
The Bagel Shoppe	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	986 Main St	open
The Cakery Fishkill	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1004 Main St	open
The Dutchess Biercafe	Café · Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	French · Coffee	1097 Main St	open
The Spot	Food truck		461 Route 9	open
The Tomato Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1123 Main St	open
The White House Bar	Bar		1107 Main St	open
Think Big Money Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1053 Main St	open
Tikal maya restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	48 Elm St	open
Toro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Japanese · Asian	1004 Main St	open
Tradicionez	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other)	1004 Main St	open
Trattoria Locanda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1105 Main St	open
Tutti-Fruity Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	1545 NY-52	open
Urim & Patrick, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		973 Main St Ste A	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	25 Elm St	open
Whistling Willie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		738 Route 9	open
Wing Sing Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1004 Main St Ste 7	open
Winner Takes All Events, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1545 Route 52 Ste 13	open
Wood Fired AMA Kitchen & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	1083 US-9	open
Yorktown Fuel Services Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Elm St	open
R F Hudson Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1099 Route 9	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	41	38	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	46	43	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	41	37	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	42	40	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	40	38	18	14	6	2	NAICS1997
1999	36	34	18	12	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	38	35	21	9	5	2	NAICS1997
2001	45	42	24	11	5	2	NAICS1997
2002	47	42	23	13	5	1	NAICS1997
2003	53	47	24	15	7	2	NAICS2002
2004	58	51	26	15	7	2	NAICS2002
2005	60	53	26	18	7	1	NAICS2002
2006	63	56	27	19	9	1	NAICS2002
2007	60	56	29	20	7	1	NAICS2002
2008	56	53	26	20	7	1	NAICS2007
2009	57	53	28	19	6	1	NAICS2007
2010	60	55	30	19	6	2	NAICS2007
2011	66	61	32	21	8	3	NAICS2007
2012	62	57	31	20	6	4	NAICS2012
2013	65	61	32	21	8	3	NAICS2012
2014	67	64	31	25	8	3	NAICS2012
2015	68	65	29	28	8	3	NAICS2012
2016	69	66	30	27	9	3	NAICS2012
2017	70	67	31	24	10	3	NAICS2017
2018	61	58	28	22	5	3	NAICS2017
2019	62	59	29	22	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	63	59	28	22	5	4	NAICS2017
2021	66	63	27	25	7	3	NAICS2017
2022	69	64	27	27	8	4	NAICS2022
2023	65	59	27	25	5	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12524. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12527	2.9 mi	3	2018
12512	4.3 mi	1	2013
12590	4.4 mi	81	2023
12508	4.4 mi	54	2023
10516	5.0 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.