BMIE Market 12508

Dutchess County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,566 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±461 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,468 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,880 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,703 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,461 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,151 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$445,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,627 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	54 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12508
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+35.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+58.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+145.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+217.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	62 (range 58–66) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.0 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12508. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.1	79	40%	+31.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.1	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	86.5	87	25%	+21.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,566	81	40%	+32.4
Median household income (ACS)	92,461	76	40%	+30.2
Households (ACS)	8,468	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	58.8	86	35%	+30.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.6	23	25%	+5.7
Population (ACS)	19,566	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	92,461	76	20%	+15.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	35	86	50%	+43.1
10-year restaurant growth	58.8	86	30%	+25.8
20-year restaurant growth	145.5	88	20%	+17.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (125)

By cuisine

Coffee 16 · American 15 · Dessert 14 · Bakery 10 · Pizza 10 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Italian 8 · Asian 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Chinese 4 · Mexican 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Breakfast 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · French 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Thai 2 · Vegetarian 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Bar 26 · Dessert 17 · Café 14 · Bakery 13 · Casual dining 11 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 2 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Acesuoshun	Bar · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	195 Main St	open
All You Knead Artisan Bakers	Bakery	Bakery	308 Main St	open
Alps Sweet Shop	Dessert	Dessert	269 Main St	open
Asian Ginger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	451 Fishkill Ave	open
Baja 328 Tequila Bar Southwest Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	328 Main St	open
Bank Square Coffeehouse	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	129 Main St	open
Bau	Bar		161 Main St	open
Beacon Barking Frog	Bar		436 Fishkill Ave	open
Beacon Coffee Co. & Mercantile	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	344 Main St	open
Beacon Creamery	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	134 Main St	open
Beacon Falls Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	472 Main St	open
Big Mouth Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	387 Main St	open
BJ's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	213 Main St	open
BLEND SMOOTHIE BAR	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	135 Main St	open
Bombay Wraps	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	288 Main St	open
Brother's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	465 Main St	open
Café Amarcord	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	276 Main St	open
Chill Wine Bar	Bar		173 Main St	open
Cooper's	Casual dining · Bar	American	47 E Main St	open
Dave The Butcher	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	232 Main St	open
Deli & Pizza &pizza	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	451 Fishkill Ave Ste 4	open
Denning's Point Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		10 N Chestnut St	open
Dogwood	Bar		47 E Main St	open
Draught Industries	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	394 Main St	open
Dulce Cielo Mx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	288 Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	126	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	388 Fishkill Ave	open
East West Systems Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		516 Main St	open
Enoteca Ama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	297 Main St	open
Ernesto & Lucy Pizzeria & Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		332 Main St	open
Estilo Y Vino Wine Bar	Bar	Spanish / tapas	173 Main St	open
Five Pennies Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	288 Main St	open
Franks Tavern	Bar		632 Route 52	open
Fu Xing Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	250 Main St	open
Fuji	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese		open
Get Frosted Cupcakery	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	323 Main St	open
Glazed Over Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	315 Main St	open
Gourmetibles	Dessert · Café · Bakery	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	494 Main St	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	393 Main St	open
Håkan Chocolatier	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	462 Main St	open
Hang Hang Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		240 Main St	open
Healthy In Color	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	259 Main St	open
Hedgewood Assisted Living, Llc Akahedgew Ood Home For Adults	Restaurant (service type not stated)		355 Fishkill Ave	open
Homespun Foods	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Breakfast · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	232 Main St	open
Hudson Shawarma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	288 Main St	open
Hudson Valley Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7 E Main St	open
Hudson Valley Marshmallow Company	Dessert	Dessert	510 Main St	open
Industrial Arts Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		511 Fishkill Ave	open
Isamu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Chinese · Asian	240 Main St	open
Kennedy's Fried Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	392 Main St	open
Kitchen & Coffee	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Vegetarian	420 Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	262 Main St	open
La Barbirria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	389 Main St	open
La Tasca	Restaurant (service type not stated)		303 Main St	open
Lambs Hill	Bar			open
Liquid Fables	Bar		1 E Main St	open
Little Log Cabin Pie Shoppe	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	32 Old Town Rd	open
Long Cha Thai Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Thai · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	265 Main St	open
Lyonshare Public House	Bar	American	246 Main St	open
Main St. Retail Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		420 Main St	open
Matcha Thomas	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea		open
Max's On Main	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	246 Main St	open
Maximus deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		262 Main St	open
Melzingah Tap House	Casual dining · Bar		554 Main St	open
Meyer's Olde Dutch Food and Such	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	184 Main St	open
Miss Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	520 Main St	open
Momo Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)		288 Main St	open
More Good	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	383 Main St	open
Moreish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · European	207 Main St	open
Moroney's Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		439 Fishkill Ave	open
Mr V's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	297 Main St	open
Oak Vino Wine Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		389 Main St	open
One More Bite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	389 Main St	open
Paul Brady Wine	Bar		344 Main St	open
Peaceful Provisions	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	383 Main St	open
Pillow & Oats Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		385 Main St	open
Pizza and Stuff II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	332 Main St	open
Planet Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		294 Main St	open
Pleasant Ridge II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	208 Main St	open
Poppy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	184 Main St	open
Quinn's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	330 Main St	open
Retro FroYo	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	412 Main St	open
River Terrace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2 Beekman St	open
Roma Nova	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · Italian	6 Eliza St	open
Roma Nova	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Pizza	435 Fishkill Ave	open
Ron's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	298 Fishkill Ave	open
Rosie's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	441 Fishkill Ave	open
Royal Crepes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · French · European	303 Main St	open
Sal's Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1020 Wolcott Ave	open
Shmuck's Sweet Stuff	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	288 Main St	open
Spaghetti Taco's	Bar · Quick service	Italian	339 Main St	open
Stock Up	Other	Sandwiches	29 Teller Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	294 Main Street	open
Sukhothai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	516 Main St	open
Tara Indian Fusion Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		288 MAIN St	open
The Bagel Shoppe	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	466 Main St	open
The Beacon Bagel	Bakery	Bakery	418-488 Main St	open
The Beacon Daily	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	29 Teller Ave	open
The Pandorica	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	165 Main St	open
The Piggy Bank	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	446 Main St	open
The Plump Tomato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	441 Fishkill Ave	open
The Roosevelt Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	French	288 Main St	open
The Roundhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2 E Main St	open
The Vault	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	446 Main St	open
The Vegan Stuff	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	504 Main St	open
The Vinyl Room	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		396 Main St	open
The Wild Kitchen & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	416 Main St	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	441 Fishkill Ave	open
Trax Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	469 Fishkill Ave	open
Trax Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1 E Main St	open
Two Way Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		18 W Main St	open
Végétalien	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Vegan · Coffee	504 Main Street	open
Virgo's Sip n Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)		469 Fishkill Ave	open
Wonderbar Beacon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		449 Main St	open
Yankee Clipper Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	397 Main St	open
Yogo Waffle	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	504 Main St	open
Ziatun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	244 Main St	open
Zora Dora	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Main St & Cliff St	open
District Social	Bar		511 Fishkill Ave	closed
Main Squeeze Llc	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	144 Fishkill Ave	closed
Mary Kelly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	37 Lamplight St	closed
Nansense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	2 Eliza St	closed
Nemmi & M Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		451 Fishkill Ave Ste 4	closed
Qq Asian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1020 Wolcott Ave	closed
Tito Santana Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	142 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	14	5	9	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	13	6	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	16	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	16	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	20	16	8	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	27	22	10	9	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	30	25	11	9	5	3	NAICS2002
2005	26	21	11	7	3	3	NAICS2002
2006	26	21	10	9	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	31	25	15	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	27	24	11	10	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	32	28	14	10	4	3	NAICS2007
2010	34	29	16	10	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	34	29	15	9	5	3	NAICS2007
2012	33	28	16	8	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	39	34	18	10	6	3	NAICS2012
2014	40	34	19	10	5	4	NAICS2012
2015	40	35	21	10	4	4	NAICS2012
2016	43	38	21	13	4	4	NAICS2012
2017	47	40	18	16	6	5	NAICS2017
2018	49	40	22	12	6	7	NAICS2017
2019	55	46	23	14	9	6	NAICS2017
2020	55	45	25	12	8	6	NAICS2017
2021	53	45	25	12	8	5	NAICS2017
2022	60	52	28	16	8	6	NAICS2022
2023	62	54	28	15	11	6	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12508. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12527	1.8 mi	3	2018
12512	4.1 mi	1	2013
12524	4.4 mi	59	2023
10516	4.7 mi	20	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.