BMIE Market 10950

Orange County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	68,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,395 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	16,780 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±587 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	47,226 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,106 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,931 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,095 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	21.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,720 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$486,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	77 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10950
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+24.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+208.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	85 (range 78–93) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10950. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	83.0	83	40%	+33.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.0	72	35%	+25.2
Market Momentum Score	71.0	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	68,136	99	40%	+39.7
Median household income (ACS)	78,931	61	40%	+24.3
Households (ACS)	16,780	95	20%	+19.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.3	67	25%	+16.8
Population (ACS)	68,136	99	20%	+19.8
Median household income (ACS)	78,931	61	20%	+12.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	30%	+19.9
20-year restaurant growth	120	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (113)

By cuisine

Coffee 15 · American 14 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 11 · Pizza 11 · Sandwiches 10 · Italian 9 · Asian 7 · Juice / smoothies 7 · Burgers 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Mexican 5 · Chinese 4 · Breakfast 3 · Caribbean 3 · Halal / kosher 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Seafood 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · German / Eastern European 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 16 · Bakery 15 · Bar 15 · Dessert 13 · Café 10 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Specialty food shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Fast casual 3 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
208 Country Side Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	809 NY-208	open
208 Grill Bar & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		590 State Route 208	open
A&l Tappan Gourmet Pizza Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		371 State Route 17M	open
Amendola's Pizzeria and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	28 Lake St	open
Amendola's Pizzeria and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	28 Lake St	open
Angelo's Sicilian Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	46 Millpond Pkwy	open
Anne's Sub 17	Other	Sandwiches	581 State Route 17M	open
Apex Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		405 NY-17M	open
Apex Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		405 State Route 17m	open
Apple Auto Body	Restaurant (service type not stated)		494 State Route 17M	open
Auntie Anne's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	288 Larkin Dr	open
Aza Bagels Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		791 State Route 17m Ste 2	open
Bagel Boys of Monroe	Bakery	Bakery	RT. NY-17M	open
Bagel World Bagel World	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	475 NY-17M	open
Beer World	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		695 New York 17M	open
Blend Smoothie and Salad Bar - Monroe Blend Smoothie & Salad Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	475 NY-17M	open
Bossi's Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	33 Lake St	open
Bourbon Cantina	Casual dining · Bar		74 Millpond Pkwy	open
Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	554 NY-17M	open
Bubble Tea-ology	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	56 Millpond Pkwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	831 NY-17M	open
Cake Celebrations	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8 Pope Ln	open
Captain's Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	547 State Route 17M	open
Celtic Lounge Monroe Ny	Bar		8 N Main St	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		320 Larkin Drive	open
Choco Cheese	Dessert	Dessert	3 Karlsburg Rd	open
Chocolate Decor	Dessert	Dessert	6 Quickway Rd	open
Cinnabon Monroe Cinnabon	Quick service		791 New York 17M	open
CocoArt Chocolate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	20 Prag Blvd	open
Coffee And Leaf	Coffee shop	Coffee	1017 State Route 17M	open
Cookoo's Nest	Bar		809 State Route 208 Ste 2	open
Dave's Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	371 NY 17M	open
Dave’s Daylight Donuts Daylight Donuts	Quick service		371 Route 17-M	open
Diana's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	809 NY-208, 809 NY-208	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	791 Route 17 M	open
Dorotka Europa Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · German / Eastern European	10 N Main St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	411 State Route 17M	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	State Route 17M	open
Dunkin'	Café	Coffee	10 Crescent Pl	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	791 Rt. 17 Blank	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1197 Route 208	open
Eataly Dairy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	48 Bakertown Rd	open
El Mentado	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	64 Millpond Pkwy	open
Empire Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	797 State Route 17M	open
Entre Tierras Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	66 Millpond Pkwy	open
Firm Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		290 Larkin Dr Ste 106	open
Foreign Objects Beer Company Monroe	Bar		150 W Mombasha Rd	open
Fuego Taqueria	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Burgers	1008 State Route 17M	open
Giovanni's Cafe	Café	Coffee	21 Old Quaker Hill Rd	open
Hillside Plaza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Vista Ln	open
Hong Kong Chinese Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	711 NY-17M #5	open
Hungarian Bakery & Specialty	Bakery	Bakery · German / Eastern European	17 Garfield Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	290 Larkin Dr	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	320 Larkin Drive	open
Jalisco Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	30 Carpenter Pl	open
K & D Pizza & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	695 RT-17M	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	330 Larkin Dr	open
Kosher Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	252 Acres Rd	open
La Rancherita La Rancherita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	101 Carpenter Pl	open
La Vera Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	43 Hillside Terrace	open
Lakay Buffet	Buffet	Caribbean	215 Larkin Dr	open
LaLima's Bakery	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	400 State Route 17M	open
Latinos American Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	3 Lake St	open
Lovebites Chocolate & Ice Cream Shoppe/cafe	Dessert	Dessert	2 Lake St Ste 4	open
Marina Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)		215 Larkin Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	501 Rt 17m	open
Meringues & More	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	15 Lemberg Ct	open
Mina's Spanish Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Caribbean	400 State Route 17M	open
Mirandafoods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Carpenter Pl	open
Monarca Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	438 Lakes Rd	open
Monroe Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	320 State Route 208	open
More Life Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies · Seafood	791 State Route 17M	open
O'Toole's Pub	Bar		15 Stage Rd	open
Okaeri Sushi Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	215 Larkin Dr	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	215 Larkin Dr	open
Ovm Food Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		288 Larkin Dr	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Café · Bakery · Fast casual	Coffee · Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	340 Larkin Dr	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	128 Bailey Farm Road	open
Pizzarama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	371 State Route 17M	open
Planet Pizza Monroe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	60 Millpond Pkwy	open
Plum House Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	12 Lake St	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	330 Larkin Dr	open
Raina's Family Restaurant & Gourmet Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	494 NY-17M	open
Rambler's Rest Monroe	Bar	British / Irish pub food	590 State Route 208	open
Salads & Such	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	475 State Route 17M Ste 15	open
Saona Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		46 Millpond Pkwy	open
Scalia & Co Craft Kitchen and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	785 State Route 17M #2	open
Scalia & Co Craft Kitchen and Bar	Bar	Italian · American	785 NY-17M	open
Scoops & Smiles	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	554 Route 17M	open
Somni NY Tapas - Mediterranean Fusion	Bar	Spanish / tapas · Mediterranean	15 Lake St	open
Somni Tapas Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Spanish / tapas	590 New York 208	open
Sonny's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	215 Larkin Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	128 Bailey Farm Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	475 Route 17M	open
Taínos Kitchen Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	400 NY-17M	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		290 Larkin Dr	open
Tequila Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	63 Still Rd	open
Tin Tin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	68 Millpond Pkwy	open
Tin Tin II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	475 NY-17M	open
Tosco's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Seafood	400 NY-17M	open
Tre Angelina's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Tulcingo Restaurant Co Of Oc I Tulcingo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	817 State Route 17M	open
Villa Positano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	475 State Route 17M	open
Village Hands Cafe	Café	Coffee · French · Breakfast	1010 NY-17M	open
Wah Mei Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	400 State Route 17M	open
Wally's Ice Cream Parlor II	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	846 NY-17M	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	288 Larkin Dr	open
Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	816 State Route 17M	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	330 Larkin Dr	open
Yossies Cafe & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	131 Acres Rd Unit 111	open
Yune's Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	371 State Route 17M	open
Javajo's Coffee Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	30 Millpond Pkwy	closed
Sano Salad	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	2 Lake St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	32	25	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	33	27	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	38	30	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	35	31	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	39	30	13	12	5	5	NAICS1997
1999	36	29	10	13	6	4	NAICS1997
2000	38	31	11	13	7	4	NAICS1997
2001	33	26	8	12	6	4	NAICS1997
2002	39	31	16	10	4	5	NAICS1997
2003	41	35	16	13	5	4	NAICS2002
2004	44	37	14	15	7	4	NAICS2002
2005	44	40	18	16	5	2	NAICS2002
2006	48	42	18	17	6	3	NAICS2002
2007	51	43	16	16	10	4	NAICS2002
2008	54	46	20	15	10	3	NAICS2007
2009	58	50	21	17	11	2	NAICS2007
2010	58	49	20	16	12	2	NAICS2007
2011	64	55	23	21	10	2	NAICS2007
2012	69	62	29	23	9	2	NAICS2012
2013	70	62	27	25	9	2	NAICS2012
2014	67	58	24	26	8	2	NAICS2012
2015	68	60	25	28	7	2	NAICS2012
2016	79	69	30	31	8	5	NAICS2012
2017	80	70	28	34	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	79	70	26	35	9	—	NAICS2017
2019	75	62	24	30	8	3	NAICS2017
2020	85	71	27	34	10	—	NAICS2017
2021	87	72	29	31	12	—	NAICS2017
2022	91	77	29	36	12	—	NAICS2022
2023	95	77	26	38	13	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10950. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10918	3.7 mi	30	2023
10910	4.1 mi	1	2016
10975	4.5 mi	1	2014
10917	4.8 mi	35	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.