BMIE Market 10993

Rockland County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,888 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±807 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,769 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,689 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,189 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,746 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,557 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±719 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$303,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,806 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10993
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	29.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-38.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 12–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	32 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10993. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.7	52	40%	+20.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	32	32	35%	+11.2
Market Momentum Score	14.2	14	25%	+3.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,888	60	40%	+24.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,189	41	40%	+16.3
Households (ACS)	1,573	57	20%	+11.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.6	24	25%	+6.0
Population (ACS)	4,888	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,189	41	20%	+8.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-38.1	7	50%	+3.7
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Pizza 6 · American 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Quick service 10 · Bar 3 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Casual dining 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Boys From Italy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	32 Samsondale Plz	open
Babes Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	73 Railroad Ave	open
BAILEYS SMOKEHOUSE TO GO	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	69 E Railroad Ave	open
Best Cousin's Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	125 E Railroad Ave	open
Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	45 US-9W	open
C & R Deli & Pizza	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	87 Samsondale Ave	open
Carvel Ice Cream Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	37 S Route 9	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		32 S Route 9W	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7 Route 9W #G	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	40 S. Route 9W	open
Garden Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	61 S Route 9W	open
Grab & Go Bakery & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused		45 Route 9W	open
Hoyer's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	17 Route 9W	open
Italian Food Center	Casual dining	Italian · American	35 US-9W	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	48 North St	open
Kowloon House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7B S Route 9W	open
Marcella's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	61 S Route 9W	open
Off The Hook Of Haverstraw	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	15 S Route 9W	open
Papa's Pizza & Latin Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Latin American (other)	19 US-9W	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	91 South Route 9W	open
Scarecrow Fields Homebrewing Club	Brewery / taproom		93 Railroad Ave	open
Shah's Halal Food Shah's Halal Food	Quick service		91 Rte 9W	open
Stony Point Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		69 E Railroad Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	131 S Route 9W	open
TFS Burger Works	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	Rte 9W	open
The Hudson Water Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	125 State Route 9w	open
West Haverstraw Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	7 US-9W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	14	5	7	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	15	13	4	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	2	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	12	1	6	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	17	2	10	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	15	2	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	14	2	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	3	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	4	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	15	5	6	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	15	4	7	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	6	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	18	6	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	18	6	9	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	20	17	5	9	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	21	19	6	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	21	6	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	20	5	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	18	3	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	18	—	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	16	—	9	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	—	7	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10993. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10927	1.3 mi	25	2023
10923	1.6 mi	19	2023
10984	2.6 mi	1	2016
10548	3.0 mi	3	2023
10596	3.3 mi	3	2021
10956	4.0 mi	75	2023
10511	4.0 mi	5	2023
10920	4.1 mi	21	2023
10980	4.7 mi	21	2023
10970	4.9 mi	19	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.