BMIE Market 10920

Rockland County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,451 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±878 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,835 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,554 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,012 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$145,567 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,373 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,239 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±256 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$582,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10920
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+61.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10920. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.8	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.6	59	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	34.9	35	25%	+8.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,451	68	40%	+27.3
Median household income (ACS)	145,567	96	40%	+38.2
Households (ACS)	2,835	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10.5	54	35%	+19.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.9	27	25%	+6.7
Population (ACS)	8,451	68	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	145,567	96	20%	+19.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.7	20	50%	+9.8
10-year restaurant growth	10.5	54	30%	+16.3
20-year restaurant growth	16.7	44	20%	+8.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 10 · Quick service 7 · Café 6 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andbar Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		285 N Route 303	open
Aniwatch Mom	Bar		56 N Grant Ave	open
Anna's Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · European	12 Old Haverstraw Rd	open
Bella Vita Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	69 Lake Rd	open
Beyond the Charts Astrology	Bar	Pizza		open
Bolzano Italian Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		75 Route 9 W	open
Burger Station	Quick service	Burgers · American	45 Lake Rd E	open
Cakes By Lilie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	75 Lake Rd	open
China Garden 168 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15 S Route 303 Ste 6	open
Congers Best Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	285 NY-303	open
Congers Community Cafe	Café	Coffee	8 Gilchrest Rd E	open
Congers Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2 Old Haverstraw Rd	open
Cornerstone	Casual dining	American	285 N Route 303	open
Devine's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 S Route 303	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	15 S Route 303	open
El Toro Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	109 South NY-303	open
Fitzpatrick's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		2 Vermont Ave	open
Hong Kong Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	285 NY-303	open
Indian curry N Spices	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	42 Lake Rd	open
Junction Pub	Bar · Casual dining		Lake Rd	open
Kelly's cafe & deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee · American	57-a Lake Rd	open
Kennelly's Grille House	Bar		926 S Route 9W	open
La Triestina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	75 N Route 9W	open
Last Chance Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		37 Lake Rd	open
Nicky's II Pizza and Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	57 Lake Rd	open
Papas Pizza Ll Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		285 N Route 303	open
Patricias Pizza II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	15 S NY-303	open
Peppermill South	Casual dining · Bar		31 Lake Rd	open
Primavera Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	38 Lake Rd E	open
Red Barn Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		306 NY-304	open
Restaurant X & Bully Boy Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		117 N Route 303	open
Rick's Club American	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	100 Lake Rd E	open
Ritas’ pizzería Hispanic & Mexican food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Latin American (other)	285 NY-303	open
Romolo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	77 S Route 303	open
Russ's Roadside Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Burgers	252 Brenner Dr	open
Sangria's Mexicana Restaurant & Tequila Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	97 S NY-303	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	285 Route 303 Store #1	open
Sweet Pete's	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	57 Lake Rd E	open
Sweetguy Ice Cream Co.	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	65 Lake Rd	open
The Station Kitchen and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	17 N Rockland Ave	open
Titanic Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	15 S Route 303	open
Titanic Deli	Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Breakfast · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	15 NY-303	open
Top Notch Nutrition congers	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	30 Lake Rd W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	16	12	8	3	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	7	2	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	12	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	17	14	10	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	9	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2004	21	17	8	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	19	13	6	5	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	20	14	8	4	2	4	NAICS2002
2007	22	16	10	4	2	4	NAICS2002
2008	19	14	9	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	24	19	9	8	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	22	17	8	7	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	26	20	9	10	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	26	21	8	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2013	26	19	9	8	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	27	20	10	8	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	30	23	12	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	29	23	12	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	27	22	12	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	29	23	12	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	27	22	11	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	28	23	12	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	26	23	12	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	20	10	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	21	13	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10920. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10989	2.3 mi	13	2023
10927	2.8 mi	25	2023
10956	2.9 mi	75	2023
10993	4.1 mi	13	2023
10994	4.4 mi	48	2023
10923	4.6 mi	19	2023
10960	4.7 mi	59	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.