BMIE Market 11042

Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	520 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	93.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	0.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11042
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	211.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	10 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	6 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	8 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11042. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	6.1	6	40%	+2.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	8.0	8	35%	+2.8
Market Momentum Score	19.5	19	25%	+4.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 6 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	141	9	40%	+5.7
Households (ACS)	0	1	20%	+0.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 8 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	35%	+5.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	780.1	0	25%	+0.1
Population (ACS)	141	9	20%	+2.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8.3	20	50%	+10.0
10-year restaurant growth	-21.4	13	30%	+3.9
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · American 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Buffet 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Au Bon Pain	Other	Sandwiches	1981 Marcus Ave	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	2335 New Hyde Park Rd	open
Cje Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	1985 Marcus Ave	open
Frankie Dee's Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		410 Lakeville Rd Ste 209	open
Garden Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	2001 Marcus Ave # G120	open
Gourmet Quad Cafe	Buffet		1 Dakota Dr	open
Granite Express Cafe	Café	Coffee	1999 Marcus Ave	open
House of Spices	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	3000 Marcus Ave Suite 2W10	open
J C Narra	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3000 Marcus Ave Ste LL	open
Li Restaurant Holdings Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1981 Marcus Ave	open
Liquid Ice Energy Drink	Bar · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Marcus Avenue cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	450 Lakeville Rd	open
Morton's The Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	3333 New Hyde Park Rd	open
Nrgize NrGize Lifestyle Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	1111 Marcus Ave	open
Quantum Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3333 New Hyde Park Rd	open
Soup Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2335 New Hyde Park Rd	open
The Green Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1979 Marcus Ave	open
J & S Ii Cafe Inc	Casual dining	American	1983 Marcus Ave Ste C113	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	9	1	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	1	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	1	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	2	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	11	4	2	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	11	3	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	13	4	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	14	4	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	4	5	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	18	14	4	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	12	3	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	9	2	3	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	14	3	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	15	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	—	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	10	—	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	11	—	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11042. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11005	0.9 mi	2	2016
11004	1.1 mi	34	2023
11020	1.3 mi	3	2023
11040	1.3 mi	106	2023
11362	1.8 mi	63	2023
11426	2.0 mi	24	2023
11030	2.5 mi	33	2023
11001	2.5 mi	44	2023
11021	2.5 mi	78	2023
11507	2.5 mi	15	2023
11363	2.7 mi	10	2023
11596	2.9 mi	37	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.