BMIE Market 11030

Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,051 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±969 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,962 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,488 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$234,966 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,428 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±614 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,766,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±89,158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11030
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-5.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 30–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	35 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11030. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.1	87	40%	+34.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.6	59	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	35.0	35	25%	+8.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,051	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	234,966	99	40%	+39.8
Households (ACS)	6,205	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.3	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	18,051	80	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	234,966	99	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-5.7	18	20%	+3.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (67)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · American 10 · Italian 8 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Japanese 5 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · European 3 · Sushi 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Greek 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Pizza 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
435 Manhasset Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	435 Plandome Rd	open
9898 Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1191 Northern Blvd # A	open
Alessandro's Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1496 Northern Blvd	open
Angie's Long Island	Bar		550 Plandome Rd	open
Antonino's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	997 Northern Blvd	open
Benihana Benihana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2105 Northern Blvd	open
Best Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	17 Bayview Ave	open
Bistro North	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	300 Community Dr	open
Buttercooky Bakery Buttercooky Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	140 Plandome Rd	open
Cafe Continental	Café	Italian · European · Coffee	1538 Northern Blvd	open
Caffe Bene	Bakery	Bakery	1504 Northern Blvd	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	490 Plandome Rd	open
Chocolate Works	Dessert	Dessert	346 Plandome Rd	open
Cipollini	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	2110 Northern Blvd	open
Cipollini Pronto	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2110 Northern Blvd	open
Claddagh Irish Whiskey	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	1129 Northern Blvd #312	open
Cordon Blue Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	71 E Shore Rd	open
Duchess Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	439 Plandome Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	370 Plandome Rd	open
East Shore Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	73 E Shore Rd	open
Edison's Ale House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	550 Plandome Rd	open
For Five Coffee Manhasset For Five Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	292 Plandome Rd	open
Gigi’s Plant Based Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	369 Plandome Rd	open
Gino's of Manhasset Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	451 Plandome Rd	open
Globus Coffee Llc	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	426 Plandome Rd	open
Greens Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	436 Plandome Rd	open
Herb and Olive	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek · European	172 Plandome Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1586 Northern Blvd	open
JOE & THE JUICE	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1579 Northern Blvd	open
Kiko Ramen Manhasset	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	480 Plandome Rd	open
Kissaki Kissaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	407 Plandome Rd	open
La Coquille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1669 Northern Blvd	open
Landmark Diner	Coffee shop	Coffee	1023 Northern Blvd	open
Limani Limani	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	northern bvld	open
Louie's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	339 Plandome Rd	open
Manhasset Benihana	Restaurant (service type not stated)		<p>2105 Northern Blvd, Manhasset, NY, 11030	open
Manhasset Grand Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		71 E Shore Rd	open
Manhasset Sandwich	Other	Sandwiches	2101 Northern Blvd	open
Munsey Park Bagel	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1661 Northern Blvd	open
Orlando's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	369 Plandome Rd	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1586 Northern Blvd	open
Pearl East	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	1191 Northern Blvd	open
Pranzo Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1482 Northern Blvd	open
Ralph's Coffee Ralph's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1970 Northern Blvd	open
Randazzo's Pizza of Manhasset	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	568 Plandome Rd	open
Rmmd Inc., Manhasset Bagels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	510 Plandome Rd	open
Sarabeth's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1440 Northern Blvd	open
Schout Bay Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	118 Plandome Rd	open
SoBoL Manhasset	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	439 Plandome Rd	open
Soup Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1430 Northern Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	375 Plandome Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1100 Northern Blvd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1542 Northern Blvd	open
Stresa Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	1524 Northern Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	69 E Shore Rd	open
Sweetgreen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	1595 Northern Blvd	open
TCBY	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	444 Plandome Rd	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		1586 Northern Blvd	open
TGI Fridays	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1445 Northern Blvd	open
The Whale Tea Manhasset	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	445 Plandome Rd	open
Toku	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	2014 Northern Blvd	open
Umberto's of Manhasset Umberto's of Manhasset	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	439 Plandome Rd	open
Villa Milano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	168 Plandome Rd	open
Y T Lin Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		73 E Shore Rd	open
Au Bon Pain	Bakery	Bakery	300 Community Dr	closed
Las Vinas Bar Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		118 Plandome Rd	closed
Pita Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	444 Plandome Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	28	26	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	35	34	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	36	30	17	7	6	1	NAICS1997
1999	36	30	19	7	4	1	NAICS1997
2000	36	30	19	7	4	1	NAICS1997
2001	40	34	23	6	5	1	NAICS1997
2002	38	33	22	6	5	—	NAICS1997
2003	41	35	20	8	6	1	NAICS2002
2004	47	37	23	7	6	2	NAICS2002
2005	46	37	22	8	7	2	NAICS2002
2006	42	33	19	8	6	2	NAICS2002
2007	37	28	16	7	5	3	NAICS2002
2008	38	25	17	4	4	4	NAICS2007
2009	37	27	17	5	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	40	29	18	6	4	2	NAICS2007
2011	42	33	20	6	7	1	NAICS2007
2012	40	32	20	6	6	—	NAICS2012
2013	40	33	20	7	6	—	NAICS2012
2014	40	33	19	7	7	—	NAICS2012
2015	41	34	19	9	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	35	30	17	7	6	1	NAICS2012
2017	41	32	18	9	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	41	33	18	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	41	34	19	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	31	17	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	34	18	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	31	19	7	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	37	33	20	7	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11030. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11020	2.0 mi	3	2023
11576	2.2 mi	39	2023
11021	2.3 mi	78	2023
11023	2.4 mi	13	2023
11042	2.5 mi	11	2023
11507	2.5 mi	15	2023
11577	2.7 mi	25	2023
11005	2.9 mi	2	2016
11050	3.2 mi	82	2023
11362	3.2 mi	63	2023
11024	3.2 mi	3	2020
11040	3.3 mi	106	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.