BMIE Market 11576
Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,281 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±964 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,327 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±340 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,366 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,630 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $216,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 48.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,311 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,214,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,905 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11576 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +11.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 43 (range 41–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11576. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.6 | 84 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.0 | 64 | 35% | +22.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 70.3 | 70 | 25% | +17.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,281 | 74 | 40% | +29.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 216,250 | 99 | 40% | +39.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,327 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 35% | +24.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 31.8 | 18 | 25% | +4.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,281 | 74 | 20% | +14.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 216,250 | 99 | 20% | +19.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 11.4 | 69 | 50% | +34.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 30% | +21.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 62.5 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (57)
By cuisine
American 13 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Greek 4 · Japanese 4 · Mediterranean 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Sushi 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · European 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 6 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1024 Northern Blvd | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1063 Northern Blvd | open |
| Bennetties | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1800 Northern Blvd | open |
| Besito Mexican Restaurant - Roslyn NY Besito Mexican Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1516 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Bestow restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chinese | 1516 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Bistro Citron | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 1362 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Brass Swan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1363 Old Northern Blvd | open | |
| Bryant & Cooper | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 2 Middle Neck Rd | open |
| Cafe Europa | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 1221 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Delicacies Gourmet | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering | Sandwiches · American | 1354 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Diane's Bakery and Cafe | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 23 Bryant Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1063 Northern Blvd | open |
| Elonis Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1023 Northern Blvd | open | |
| Felice Roslyn | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1382 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Fratelli's Market Place | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1508 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Gatsby's Landing | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1362 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Gino's Parlor Of Roslyn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5 Railroad Ave | open |
| Go Greenly Yogurt & Coffee Bar | Dessert | Dessert | 1502 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Gold Coast Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Middleneck Rd | open | |
| Griffin | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1512 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Grille At East Hills | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 209 Harbor Hill Rd | open |
| Hendrick's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 1305 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Il Mulino New York - Long Island Il Mulino New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 1042 Northern Blvd | open |
| Joanne's Gourmet Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 1067 Northern Blvd | open |
| Kotobuki Kotobuki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1530 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Kyma Kyma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Seafood · Mediterranean | 1446 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| La Bottega Roslyn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1424 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Landmark Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1027 Northern Blvd | open |
| Limani Limani | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · European | 1043 Northern Blvd | open |
| Lml Hospitality Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1024 Northern Blvd | open | |
| Matsuya Quality Japanese Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1358 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| MP Taverna | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 1363 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Okaru | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1401 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Old Northern Boulevard Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1446 Old Northern Blvd | open | |
| Orchardrr Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5 Railroad Ave | open | |
| Organic Krush Kitchen and Eatery organic krush | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1508 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Poll Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Middleneck Rd | open | |
| PopUp Bagels Popup Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1388 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Prime 1024 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1024 Northern Blvd | open |
| Roslyn Events Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 Railroad Ave | open | |
| Roslyn Hospitality, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1305 Old Northern Blvd | open | |
| Roslyn Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Main St | open | |
| Shish Kebab Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Greek | 1380 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1087 Northern Blvd | open |
| Sweet Harbor Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1353 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Takumi Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1356 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Taverna Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1401 Old Northern Blvd | open | |
| The Jolly Fisherman & Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Main St | open | |
| thyme restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 8 Tower Pl | open |
| Toku Modern Asian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Middleneck Rd | open | |
| Trata Estiatorio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 1446 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Trattoria Diane | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 21 Bryant Ave | open |
| Uncle Steve's of Roslyn | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1 Railroad Ave | open | |
| Van Leeuwen Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1382 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Wild Fig | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mediterranean · American | 1085 Northern Blvd | open |
| Yolo Yogurt & Desserts | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 1355 Old Northern Blvd | open |
| Yuzu YUZU | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 1361 Old Northern Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 27 | 25 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 23 | 17 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 23 | 15 | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 24 | 16 | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 22 | 15 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 28 | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 31 | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 37 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 38 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 39 | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 39 | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 42 | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 39 | 25 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |