BMIE Market 11579

Nassau County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,769 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,055 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,073 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$193,590 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,271 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,315 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$986,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±189,040 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11579
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+112.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+142.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11579. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.5	76	40%	+30.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.1	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	77.7	78	25%	+19.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,033	61	40%	+24.2
Median household income (ACS)	193,590	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	1,769	59	20%	+11.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	35%	+25.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	33.8	17	25%	+4.2
Population (ACS)	5,033	61	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	193,590	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.4	78	50%	+39.2
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	112.5	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · European 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Casual dining 8 · Bar 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
311 Gas Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		311 Glen Cove Ave	open
B. Browns Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	66 Roslyn Ave	open
Beach Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	494 Prospect Ave	open
Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	347 Glen Cove Ave	open
Campground Beer Market	Bar		208 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Cliffside Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	56 The Blvd	open
COCO Confections and Coffee	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	365 Glen Cove Ave	open
Crb Restaurant Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		243 Glen Cove Ave	open
Dolcino Caffé- The Crafty Spoon	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Dessert	227 Glen Cove Ave	open
Dram One Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		225 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	347 Glen Cove Ave Unit #2	open
European Deli By Polish Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · German / Eastern European · European	602 Glen Cove Ave	open
Foster Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	39 Roslyn Ave	open
Gramaldi's Ristorante Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	243 Glen Cove Ave	open
Il Villaggio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	227 Sea Cliff Ave	open
K C Gallaghers	Bar · Casual dining	American	325 Sea Cliff Ave	open
La Spezia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	400 Glen Cove Ave	open
Maa's Indian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	242 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Maldon & Mignonette	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	243 Glen Cove Ave	open
Matt's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	303 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Musu	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Coffee	304 Sea Cliff Ave	open
North Shore Truckn'	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	67 Roslyn Ave	open
Oak Room Tavern	Bar		242 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Pezzi Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	500 Glen Cove Ave	open
Polish Kitchen Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		602 Glen Cove Ave	open
Roots	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	242 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Sea Cliff Bagel Cafe	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	478 Glen Cove Ave	open
Sea Cliff Boardwalk	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Cliff Way	open
Sea Cliff Daily Grind	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	230 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Sea Cliff Shave Ice	Dessert	Dessert	247 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Still Partners	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	225 Sea Cliff Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	347 Glen Cove Ave	open
Tavern 227	Casual dining · Bar		227 Sea Cliff Ave	open
The Metropolitan Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	39 Roslyn Ave	open
Tre Sorelle Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	347 Glen Cove Ave	open
Tupelo Honey	Restaurant (service type not stated)		39 Roslyn Ave	open
Village of Sea Cliff	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Robs Really Good Llc	Coffee shop	Coffee	100 Roslyn Ave	closed
Sea Cliff Bistro	Coffee shop	Coffee	230 Sea Cliff Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	11	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	12	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	13	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	5	2	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	11	8	1	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	11	7	2	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	6	2	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	3	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	12	9	2	4	3	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	5	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	10	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	8	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	13	9	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	17	14	10	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	8	2	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	19	14	9	3	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	20	16	11	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	11	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	20	10	4	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	19	11	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	17	10	3	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11579. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11547	1.0 mi	1	2015
11542	2.1 mi	82	2023
11050	2.6 mi	82	2023
11548	2.8 mi	18	2023
11545	3.1 mi	26	2023
11576	3.3 mi	39	2023
11560	3.8 mi	13	2023
11030	4.2 mi	33	2023
11577	4.2 mi	25	2023
11568	4.7 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.