BMIE Market 11363

Queens County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,223 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±884 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,865 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,988 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,797 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$125,015 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,254 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±104 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,053,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105,341 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11363
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	49 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11363. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.3	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.4	52	35%	+18.3
Market Momentum Score	48.9	49	25%	+12.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,223	66	40%	+26.4
Median household income (ACS)	125,015	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	2,865	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	35%	+6.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.8	57	25%	+14.3
Population (ACS)	7,223	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	125,015	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	30%	+5.6
20-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	20%	+2.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Chinese 3 · Coffee 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Am Yours Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	Northern Blvd	open
B. K Sweeney's Station Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4215 235th St	open
Best Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4435 Douglaston Pkwy	open
Douglaston Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	44-23 Douglaston Pkwy	open
Dragon Express Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	42-36 235th St	open
Eastcoast	Bar · Café	Coffee	328 Manor Rd	open
Fern & Aurora Dessert Shop	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	39-02 Little Neck Pkwy	open
Giardino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4437 Douglaston Pkwy	open
Il Sapore Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	44-17 Douglaston Pkwy	open
Il Toscano - Douglaston	Restaurant (service type not stated)		42-05 235th St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	250-01 Northern Blvd	open
Picciotto Sicilian Street Food and Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		42-35 235th St	open
Smokin Aces Restaurants Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4215 235th St	open
Strawberry's Sports Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	42-15 235th St	open
The Plaza Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Mexican	40-45 235th St	open
Tihu Taiwanese Cuisine 醍醐台菜	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	249-11 Northern Blvd	open
Wine Time	Bar		40-45 235th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	6	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	7	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	7	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	11	6	3	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	4	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	6	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	10	7	1	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	6	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11363. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11362	1.1 mi	63	2023
11021	1.1 mi	78	2023
11361	1.5 mi	139	2023
11020	1.6 mi	3	2023
11364	1.9 mi	59	2023
11360	1.9 mi	25	2023
11023	2.0 mi	13	2023
11005	2.0 mi	2	2016
11359	2.1 mi	1	1996
11004	2.6 mi	34	2023
11042	2.7 mi	11	2023
11358	2.8 mi	147	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.