BMIE Market 11713

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,218 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±862 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±280 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,401 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,940 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,173 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,135 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$482,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11713
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+87.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11713. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.7	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.7	67	35%	+23.4
Market Momentum Score	45.7	46	25%	+11.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,218	70	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	108,173	86	40%	+34.3
Households (ACS)	3,169	68	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	9,218	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	108,173	86	20%	+17.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.3	22	50%	+10.8
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · American 4 · Italian 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A la llama grill	Casual dining · Bar	Latin American (other) · Mexican	991 Station Rd	open
Avino's Italian Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	108 S Country Rd	open
Bella Deli Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	430 Weaver Ave	open
Bellport Apothecary	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	151 S Country Rd	open
Bellport Bakery	Bakery · Quick service · Café	Bakery · Coffee	128 S Country Rd	open
Brewport Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	129 S Country Rd	open
Cafe Castello	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	141 S Country Rd	open
Carla Marlas ICE CREAM PARLOR & CANDY SHOPPE	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8 Bellport Ln	open
Choward's Fine Mints & Gum	Dessert	Dessert	1007 Station Rd	open
Cupcakes Galore	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	117 A S Country Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	790 S Sunrise Hwy BJs Wholesale Club	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1669 Montauk Hwy	open
Emociones Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	1610 Montauk Hwy	open
Fuji Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1733 Montauk Hwy	open
La Plage Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	14 Station Rd	open
Milano Pizza Milano Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10 Farber Dr	open
MJ's Sawgrass Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	14 Sawgrass Dr	open
Papa Nick's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	117 S Country Rd Ste C	open
Peter's on the Green	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	40 S Country Rd	open
PORTERS on the lane	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		19 Bellport Ln	open
Quickstop SUPER DELI ( STATION RD )	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	461 Station Rd	open
Rolling Grill Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	38 Michael Ave	open
Royal Oak Diner Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Station Rd	open
Seilenna	Coffee shop	Coffee	142 South Country Road	open
The Bellport	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	159 S Country Rd	open
The Cake Jar Shoppe	Bakery	Bakery	117 S Country Rd Ste A	open
The Halal Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	1735 Montauk Hwy	open
Waffles & Soul	Restaurant (service type not stated)		461 Station Rd	open
Weaver's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	430 Weaver Ave	open
Win Loung Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	117 S Country Rd	open
Bellport Brewing Company	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		14 Station Rd	closed
M And R Communications Distribution Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 Sawgrass Dr Ste 4	closed
Shelby’s Kitchen And Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	124 S Country Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	5	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	15	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	18	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11713. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11719	1.8 mi	3	2022
11772	2.6 mi	140	2023
11967	3.7 mi	51	2023
11980	3.8 mi	7	2023
11763	3.8 mi	49	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.