BMIE Market 11763
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 29,973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,609 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±615 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,506 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,629 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $120,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,504 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,415 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $464,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,707 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 49 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11763 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +25.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +58.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +104.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 50 (range 46–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11763. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.7 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 71.8 | 72 | 35% | +25.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 75.2 | 75 | 25% | +18.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 29,973 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 120,783 | 91 | 40% | +36.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,537 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25.6 | 68 | 35% | +23.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.4 | 48 | 25% | +12.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 29,973 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 120,783 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 25.6 | 81 | 50% | +40.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25.6 | 68 | 30% | +20.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 58.1 | 70 | 20% | +14.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (82)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 16 · Coffee 13 · American 12 · Pizza 12 · Italian 9 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Mexican 2 · Caribbean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 20 · Specialty food shop 11 · Coffee shop 10 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 5 · Bar 4 · Buffet 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Lanza Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2004 Route 112 | open | |
| Ace Coffee Outpost | Coffee shop | Coffee | 500 Long Island Ave | open |
| Alberts Pizza of Medford | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2080 NY-112 | open |
| Ali's Halal Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Halal / kosher · Chicken / wings · Middle Eastern · American | 2920 NY-112 | open |
| Angora Food Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 2690 Route 112 | open |
| Anthony Matthew Caterers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 300 Mill Rd | open | |
| Antonio's Gourmet Deli & Cafe | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 3237 NY-112 Building 6 Suite 4 | open |
| Ari`s Halal | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Halal / kosher | 3135 NY-112 Unit C | open |
| Associate's Gourmet Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1699 Route 112 | open |
| Bagel Lovers Medford | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 2690 Route 112 | open |
| Bagels Your Way Cafe | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 2799 Route 112 | open |
| Best Bagels Around | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches · Breakfast | 700-9, Patchogue-Yaphank Rd | open |
| Big Italy Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 3147 Route 112 | open |
| Blue Ridge Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 899 Golf Ln | open |
| Cactus Cafe, Medford Cactus Cafe Tex-Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2799 NY-112 | open |
| Cafe Gia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Italian · Coffee | 700 Patchogue-Yaphank Rd | open |
| Cancha JJ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3110 Devon Ave | open | |
| Carolina Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2717A Medford Ave, Route 112 | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2301 Route 112 | open |
| Chan's Kitchen Jing Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2799 Route 112 Ste 3 | open | |
| Chicken Place Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 1761 Route 112 | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2846 Route 112 | open |
| Deli El Rinconsito Latino | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 3316 F Rte 112 | open |
| DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill | Quick service | 2846 Rt 112 | open | |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 2717 New York 112 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 3197 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Fatboysbbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 122 Peconic Ave | open |
| Friendly's Friendly's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 70080 Sills Rd | open |
| Gianna's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2080 Ny-112 | open |
| Golden Star | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2320 Route 112 | open |
| Goodfellas Cigars & Fine Tobacco | Bar | 2215 Route 112 | open | |
| Horseblock Hero's | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3692 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Hummingbird Jamacian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 3135 Route 112 Unit A | open |
| IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 700 E Patchogue Yaphank Rd | open |
| Island Empanada Island Empanada | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 2040 Route 112 | open |
| J & R's Steak House J & R's Steakhouse Calverton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 2330 RT-112 | open |
| Joels Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1699 Route 112 | open |
| K & T Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3316 Route 112 Unit C | open | |
| Koi | Bar | 129 Jamaica Ave | open | |
| La Margherita Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1229 Station Rd | open |
| Little Mexico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3253 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Lola’s Southern Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2717 Route 112 Ste A | open |
| Mama Bella's Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1600 NY-112 | open |
| May Gardens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 700 Patchogue-Yaphank Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1710 Route 112 | open |
| Medford Pastaria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · Italian · American | 3209 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Metropolis Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1711 Route 112 | open |
| Mill Pond Grill Room & Snack Bar | Buffet | 300 Mill Rd | open | |
| New Century Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1699 Route 112 | open | |
| New Yee Wo Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2690 Route 112 | open |
| NY Burger Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2080 NY-112 | open |
| Our Flavor Deli Gourmet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1761 Route 112 | open | |
| Pete & Gino's Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3692 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Pita House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 2016 Medford Ave | open |
| Pizza Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2799 Route 112 | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2664 New York 112 | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2975 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 3414 Route 112 | open | |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2771 NY-112, Kings Medford C-store | open |
| Renacimiento Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 2618 NY-112 | open |
| Route 112 Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1711 Route 112 | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 700 Patchogue Yaphank Rd | open |
| Smash & Serve Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 645 National Blvd | open |
| Stamos Steaks Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2330 Route 112 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2975 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 2775 New York 112 | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 700-60 Patchogue-Yaphank Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2920 Route 112 Ste 2 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 700-20 Patchogue Yaphank Rd. Bldg Unit 165001 Store #4 | open |
| The Turkish Pistachio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 2026 Medford Ave | open |
| The Vintage Beano and Vino Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3316 Route 112 | open | |
| Tim Hortons | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3414-Route 112 | open |
| Tim Hortons Tim Hortons | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3414 - Route 112 | open |
| Tony's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2277 NY-112 | open |
| Trio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2005 Route 112 | open | |
| Two J's Gourmet Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 899 Golf Ln | open |
| Victoria's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza · Chicken / wings | 3316 Route 112 | open |
| Victorious Pizzeria & Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2690 Route 112 | open |
| Weir's Corner Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 495 Granny Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches · American | 1820 Medford Ave | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2775 Route 112 | open |
| Yogomania | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2717 NY-112 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 22 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 25 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 25 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 25 | 13 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 26 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 19 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 39 | 33 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 39 | 34 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 41 | 35 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 43 | 37 | 14 | 19 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 40 | 37 | 12 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 43 | 39 | 12 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 45 | 41 | 13 | 22 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 46 | 41 | 12 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 41 | 37 | 10 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 41 | 13 | 24 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 39 | 12 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 45 | 41 | 13 | 22 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 47 | 43 | 14 | 23 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 44 | 14 | 23 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 45 | 14 | 25 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 51 | 49 | 16 | 27 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |