BMIE Market 11738
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,877 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,105 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,638 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,610 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $140,121 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,085 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,903 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±456 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $484,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,572 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11738 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +90.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +162.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 51 (range 47–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11738. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.0 | 85 | 40% | +34.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.2 | 67 | 35% | +23.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 67.3 | 67 | 25% | +16.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,877 | 80 | 40% | +32.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,121 | 95 | 40% | +37.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,105 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.3 | 69 | 35% | +24.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.3 | 32 | 25% | +8.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,877 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,121 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 5 | 61 | 50% | +30.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.3 | 69 | 30% | +20.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 90.9 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (68)
By cuisine
Coffee 9 · Dessert 8 · American 7 · Mexican 7 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Asian 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Spanish / tapas 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Filipino 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 14 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Café 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Specialty food shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 756 Horseblock Road Restaurant Group Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 756 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Adam M Nedvin Agency, Ltd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1025 Portion Rd Ste A | open | |
| All In Nutrition | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1294 Waverly Ave | open |
| Applebee's Grill + Bar Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | 1935 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Arcos Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · American · Spanish / tapas | 359 Horseblock Road | open |
| Bagels and Company | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 2318 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Bairrada Barbosa portugues Market proprietarios Jose e Gloria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 775 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 628 Horseblock Road | open |
| Bruno's Pizza | Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1100 Portion Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2250 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Cafe Caterina | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1080 Portion Rd | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 400A Horseblock Road | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2280 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Chubs Burgers Burritos and Heroes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 625 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Cupcake Girlz | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 769 Horseblock Rd | open |
| De Sousa & Coelho Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 630 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 781 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Don Taco | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Mexican | 820 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Dragos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2312 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Dulcemania lV Dulcemania mexico inc. | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Dessert · Juice / smoothies | 355 Horseblock Road | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1075 Portion Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1105 Horseblock Road | open |
| Euro Fresh Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Spanish / tapas · European | 882 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Familia Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2314 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Farmingville Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 19 Park Pl | open |
| FaxChix Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Spanish / tapas · Mexican | 868 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Frostie's Ice CreamTrucks | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 8 Fannie Dr | open |
| Gabino's Diner | Casual dining | Mexican · Latin American (other) · American | 777 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Goomba Johnny's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 374 Mooney Pond Rd | open |
| Hilltop Bagel Cafe | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 623 Horseblock Road | open |
| Infante Restaurant Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1100 Portion Rd Ste 5 | open | |
| Island Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 655 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Jarritos Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Caribbean | Horse Block, 357 Horseblock Road | open |
| Kabayan Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Filipino · Asian | 1075 Portion Rd | open |
| Konak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 773 Horseblock Rd | open |
| L.i. Wings-n-things | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings · BBQ · American | 1105 Horseblock Rd Unit H | open |
| La Placita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 711 Horseblock Rd | open |
| La Roma Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 401 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Lake Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1100 PORTION Rd Unit 2 | open |
| Los Amigos Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 1075 Portion Rd | open |
| Lotus Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1100 Portion Rd Ste 8 | open | |
| Lucky Fortune Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 759 Horseblock Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2301 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Moller's Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 625 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Mr. Lucky's Pub | Bar | 358 Mooney Pond Rd | open | |
| Nikki And Jamie Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 689 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Ole Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · European | 630 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Pasta Cucina Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 401 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Primo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2310 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Ralph's Italian Ices Ralph's Italian Ices- Lanoka Harbor, NJ | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 623 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Rio Douro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 800 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Roller Coasta Coffee Costa Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 769 Horseblock Road | open |
| Sam's Sushi Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 654 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Sapore Fino Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 400 Horseblock Rd | open |
| Shui Heun Chinese Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2310 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Sousa & Martins Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 868 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2280 N Ocean Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 400F Horseblock Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1105 Horseblock Road Unit E | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2425 N Ocean Ave | open |
| The Bread Palace Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 750 Horseblock Rd | open |
| The Grille in the Ville | Bar · Casual dining | 756 Horseblock Rd | open | |
| Tiki Hookah Bar | Bar | 1075 Portion Rd | open | |
| Village Pub | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 830 Horseblock Road | open | |
| Bio Smart Of Ny Inc | Coffee shop | Coffee | 779 Horseblock Rd | closed |
| Brendels Of Ny Bagels And Eatery | Bakery | Bakery | 1055 Portion Rd | closed |
| Chen Lotus Kitchen Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1100 Portion Rd | closed | |
| Tofu Chinese & Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1260 Waverly Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 17 | 14 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 17 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 20 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 28 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 30 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 31 | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 36 | 30 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 40 | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 38 | 32 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 41 | 38 | 11 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 40 | 13 | 20 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 46 | 43 | 12 | 22 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 44 | 41 | 11 | 21 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 43 | 40 | 11 | 21 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 45 | 15 | 19 | 11 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 47 | 42 | 13 | 20 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |